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Miyakoda, K., J. Sirutis, A. Rosati, T. C. Gordon, R. Gudgel, W. F. Stern, J. Anderson, and A. Navarra, 1995: Atmospheric parameterizations in coupled air-sea models used for forecasts of ENSO. In Proceedings of the International Scientific Conference on the Tropical Ocean Global Atmosphere (TOGA) Programme, WCRP-91, WMO/TD No. 717, World Meteorological Organization, 802-806.
Stern, W.F., 1995: Tropical intraseasonal variability in the GFDL/DERF GCM during AMIP. In Proceedings, the First International AMIP Scientific Conference, WCRP-92, WMO/TD No. 273, World Meteorological Organization, 137-142.
Stern, W., K. Miyakoda, 1995: Feasibility
of Seasonal Forecasts Inferred from Multiple GCM Simulations. Journal of
Climate: Vol. 8, No. 5, pp. 1071-1085.
Anderson, Jeffrey L., William F. Stern, 1996: Evaluating
the Potential Predictive Utility of Ensemble Forecasts. Journal of
Climate: Vol. 9, No. 2, pp. 260-269.
Stern, W. F., and J. L. Anderson, 1996: Interannual variability
of tropical intraseasonal oscillations in the GFDL/DERF GCM inferred from
an ensemble of AMIP integrations. In Preprints, 11th Conference on Numerical
Weather Prediction, American Meteorological Society, 15-16.
Stern, W. F., and C. T. Gordon, 1996: Specifying and modeling snow
cover in multi-year GCM integrations. In Research Activities in Atmospheric
and Oceanic Modelling, CAS/JSC Working Group on Numerical Experimentation,
Report No. 23 WMO/TD No. 734, 4.43-4.44.
Vitart, F., J. L. Anderson, and W. F. Stern, 1996: Potential predictability of tropical storms in an ensemble of forecasts. In Proceedings of the 20th Annual Climate Diagnostics Workshop, U.S. Dept. of Commerce/NOAA/NWS, 263-266.
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of Interannual Variability of Tropical Storm Frequency in an Ensemble of
GCM Integrations. Journal of Climate: Vol. 10, No. 4, pp. 745-760.
Anderson, J., H. van den Dool, A. Barnston, W. Chen, W. Stern, and J. Ploshay, 1998: Capabilities of dynamical and statistical methods for atmospheric extratropical seasonal prediction. In Proceedings of the Twenty-Second Annual Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop, Springfield, VA: NTIS, 46-49.
D'Andrea, F., S. Tibaldi, M. Blackburn, G. Boer, M. D"qu", M.R.Dix, B. Dugas, L. Ferranti, T. Iwasaki, A. Kitoh, V. Pope, D. Randall, E. Roeckner, D. Straus, W. Stern, H. Van den Dool, and D. Williamson, 1998: Northern Hemisphere atmospheric blocking as simulated by 15 atmospheric general circulation models in the period 1979-1988. Climate Dynamics, 14(6), 385-407.
Stern, W. F., 1998: Behavoir of tropical intraseasonal oscillations ub ab atmosphere-ocean coupled GCM. In Preprints, Ninth Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere, American Meteorological Society, 123-124.
Stern, W., and A. Rosati, 1998: Issues of orographic adjustment of SSTs in a spectral/coupled GCM. In Research Activities in Atmospheric and Oceanic Modelling, Report No. 27, WMO/TD-No. 865, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland, 6.21-6.22.
Vitart, F., J. L. Anderson, and W. F. Stern, 1998: Evaluation of the skill of an ensemble of GCM integrations in simulating seasonal tropical storm frequency, intensity and location. In Proceedings of the Twenty-Second Annual Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop, Springfield, VA: NTIS, 38-41.
Yang, Xiu-Qun, Jeffrey L. Anderson, William F. Stern, 1998: Reproducible Forced Modes in AGCM Ensemble Integrations and Potential Predictability of Atmospheric Seasonal Variations in the Extratropics. Journal of Climate: Vol. 11, No. 11, pp. 2942-2959.
Anderson, Jeffrey, Huug van den Dool, Anthony Barnston, Wilbur Chen, William Stern, Jeffrey Ploshay, 1999: Present-Day Capabilities of Numerical and Statistical Models for Atmospheric Extratropical Seasonal Simulation and Prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society: Vol. 80, No. 7, pp. 1349-1362.
Stern, W. F., and A. Rosati, 1999: Analyses of tropical intraseasonal oscillations from ensembles of coupled and atmospheric GCMs. In Proceedings, 23rd Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop, U.S. Dept. of Commerce/NOAA/NWS, 196-199.
Vitart, F., J. L. Anderson, W. F. Stern, 1999: Impact of Large-Scale Circulation on Tropical Storm Frequency, Intensity, and Location, Simulated by an Ensemble of GCM Integrations. Journal of Climate: Vol. 12, No. 11, pp. 3237-3254.
Stern, W. F., 2000: The role of tropical intraseasonal oscillations and the asian monsoon during 1997-98 from an atmospheric GCM ensemble. In Proceedings, 25th Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop, U.S. Dept. of Commerce/NOAA/NWS, 283-286.
I.-S. Kang, K. Jin, K.-M. Lau, J. Shukla, V. Krishnamurty, S.D. Schubert, D.E. Waliser, W.F. Stern, V. Satyan, A. Kitoh, G.A. Meehl, M. Kanamitsu, V. Ya. Galin, J.K. Kim, Akimasa Sumi, G. Wu and Y. Liu, 2002: Intercomparison of GCM simulated anomalies associated with the 1997-98 El Nino. Journal of Climate: Vol. 15, No. 19, pp. 2791-2805.
I.-S. Kang, K. Jin, B. Wang, K.-M. Lau, J. Shukla, V. Krishnamurty, S.D. Schubert, D.E. Waliser, W.F. Stern, A. Kitoh, G.A. Meehl, M. Kanamitsu, V. Ya. Galin, V. Satyan, C.-K. Park and Y. Liu, 2002: Intercomparison of the climatological variations of Asian summer monsoon precipitation simulated by 10 GCMs. Climate Dynamics (2002) 19: 383-395.
D. Waliser, W. Lau, W. Stern and C. Jones, 2002: Potential Predictability of the Madden Julian Oscillation. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. (in press)
D. Waliser, W. Stern, S. Schubert and K.M. Lau 2002. Dynamic Predictability of Intraseasonal Variability Associated with the Asian Summer Monsoon. Submitted for publication in Quart. J. Royal Meteor. Soc.
Waliser,D.E., K. Jin, I.-S. Kang, W. F. Stern, S. D. Schubert, K.-M. Lau, M.-I. Lee, V. Krishnamurthy, A. Kitoh, G. A. Meehl, V. Y. Galin, V. Satyan, S. K. Mandke, G. Wu, Y. Liu, and C.-K. Park; 2003.