GFDL - Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory

Gabriel Vecchi

Climate Change, Variability and Prediction Group

List of Publications

Recent Presentations

email: gabriel.a.vecchi at noaa.gov
phone: +1-609-452-6583
fax: +1-609-987-5063

Research Interests:

Ocean-atmosphere coupling
Climate change and variability

CV (updated Mrch 2012)

Data access:

1878-2006 North Atlantic tropical storm counts corrected for "missing storms". Based on Vecchi and Knuston (2008).
ASCII Text File.
1878-2008 Moderate duration North Atlantic tropical storm counts corrected for "missing storms" and short duration storm counts. Based on Landsea et al (2010).
Data Description
NetCDF File
ASCII Text File
1878-2011 North Atlantic hurricane counts corrected for "unobserved hurricanes". Based on Vecchi and Knutson (2011).
ASCII Text File

Research Themes:

Submitted papers:

Rosati, A., and co-authors (2013): The development and use of a decadal prediction system at GFDL. J. Climate (submitted).
Choi, K.-Y., and G.A. Vecchi (2013): A mechanism for ENSO asymmetry. J. Climate (submitted).

Papers in press:

Knutson, T.R., and coauthors (2013): Dynamical Downscaling Projections of Late 21st Century Atlantic Hurricane Activity CMIP3 and CMIP5 Model-based Scenarios. J. Climate (in press).
Meehl, G., and co-authors (2013): Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc. (in press).
Vecchi, G.A., R. Msadek, W. Anderson, Y.-S. Chang, T. Delworth, K. Dixon, R. Gudgel, A. Rosati, W. Stern, G. Villarini, A. Wittenberg, X. Yang, F. Zeng, R. Zhang and S. Zhang (2013): Multi-year Predictions of North Atlantic Hurricane Frequency: Promise and Limitations. J. Climate (in press) doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00464.1
Vecchi, G.A., S. Fueglistaler, I.M. Held, T.R. Knutson, M. Zhao (2013): Impacts of Atmospheric Temperature Changes on Tropical Cyclone Activity. J. Climate (in press) doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00503.1.
Doi, T., G.A. Vecchi, A.J. Rosati and T.L. Delworth (2013): Response to CO2 doubling of the Atlantic Main Development Region in a High-Resolution Climate Model. J. Climate (in press) doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00110.1
Colbert, A.J., B.J. Soden, G.A. Vecchi and B.P. Kirtman (2013): The impact of anthropogenic climate change on North Atlantic tropical cyclone tracks. J. Climate (in press).
Kosaka, Y., S.-P. Xie, N.-C. Lau and G.A. Vecchi (2013): An air-sea coupled mode over the Indo-Northwestern Pacific warm pool in boreal summer. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sciences. (in press).
Zhang, R. and co-authors (2013): Have aerosols caused the observe Atlantic multidecadal variability? J. Atmos. Sci. (in press) doi:10.1175/JAS-D-12-0331.1
Villarini, G., and G.A Vecchi (2013): Projected Increases in North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Intensity from CMIP5 Models. J. Climate (in press) doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00441.
Villarini, G., and G.A. Vecchi (2013): Multi-Season Lead Forecast of the North Atlantic Power Dissipation Index (PDI) and Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE). J. Climate (in press), doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00448.
DiNezio, P.N., G.A. Vecchi, and A.C. Clement (2013): Detectability of Changes in the Walker Circulation in Response to Global Warming. J. Climate (in press).

Recently published papers:

Yang., X. and co-authors (2013): A predictable AMO-like pattern in GFDL’s fully-coupled ensemble initialization and decadal forecasting system. J. Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00231.
Villarini, G., J.A. Smith and G.A. Vecchi (2013): Changing Frequency of Heavy Rainfall Over the Central United States. J. Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00043.
Vecchi, G.A., R. Msadek, T.L. Delworth, K.W. Dixon, E. Guilyardi, E. Hawkins, A.R. Karspeck, J. Mignot, J. Robson, A. Rosati, R. Zhang (2012): Comment on "Multiyear Prediction of Monthly Mean Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26.5N", Science, doi:10.1126/science.1222566
Doi, T., G.A. Vecchi, A.J. Rosati and T.L. Delworth (2012): Tropical Atlantic biases in the mean state, seasonal cycle, and interannual variations for a coarse and high resolution coupled climate model. J. Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00360.1
DiNezio, P.N., B.P. Kirtman, A.C. Clement, S.-K. Lee, G.A. Vecchi and A.T. Wittenberg (2012): Mean Climate Controls on the Simulated Response of ENSO to Increasing Greenhouse Gases. J. Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00494.
Villarini, G., and G.A. Vecchi (2012): 21st Century Projections of North Atlantic Tropical Storms from CMIP5 Models. Nature Climate Change doi:10:1038/NCLIMATE1530
Delworth, T. and coauthors (2012): Simulated climate and climate change in the GFDL CM2.5 high-resolution coupled climate model. J. Climate doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00316.1
Knutson, T.R., I.M. Held and G.A. Vecchi (2012): Hurricanes and Typhoons: Will tropical cyclones become stronger and more frequent? PAGES News 20(1).
Villarini, G. and G.A. Vecchi (2012): Statistical Modeling of the Power Dissipation Index (PDI) and Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE). J. Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00146.1
Villarini, G., G.A. Vecchi and J.A. Smith (2012): U.S. Landfalling and North Atlantic Hurricanes: Statistical Modeling of Their Frequencies and Ratios. Mon. Wea. Rev., doi:10.1175/MWR-D-11-00063.1