Miyakoda, K., J. Sirutis, A. Rosati, and J. Derber, 1990: Experimental forecasts with an air-sea model: Preliminary results. In Air-Sea Interaction in Tropical Western Pacific, Beijing, China; China Ocean Press, 417-432.

Abstract: An air-sea model has been applied to the seasonal forecasting problem for a single case beginning 1 October 1979. The model consists of an atmospheric model and a global 1° x 1° resolution oceanic model, with a higher latitudinal resolution in the equatorial zone. The initial conditions are obtained by the 4-dimensional data assimilation system for the atmosphere and the ocean. The experiments reveal that strong air-sea interaction is evident, manifested in a close connection between the predicted sea temperature and the sea level pressure anomaly patterns. There is a certain degree of predictive skill up to 5 months for the ocean and beyond 9 months for the atmosphere. However, the systematic bias in the sea temperature prediction is pronounced.