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Bibliography - Timothy Marchok

  1. Elsberry, Russell L., Hsiao-Chung Tsai, Corie Capalbo, Wei-Chia Chin, and Timothy Marchok, June 2022: Opportunity for tropical cyclone lifecycle predictions from pre-formation to ending stage: Eastern North Pacific 2021 season. Atmosphere, 13(7), DOI:10.3390/atmos13071008.
    Abstract
  2. Hazelton, Andrew T., Kun Gao, Morris A Bender, Levi Cowan, Ghassan J Alaka Jr, Alex Kaltenbaugh, Lew Gramer, Xuejin Zhang, Lucas Harris, Timothy Marchok, Matthew J Morin, Avichal Mehra, Zhan Zhang, Bin Liu, and Frank D Marks, January 2022: Performance of 2020 real-time Atlantic hurricane forecasts from high-resolution global-nested hurricane models: HAFS-globalnest and GFDL T-SHiELD. Weather and Forecasting, 37(1), DOI:10.1175/WAF-D-21-0102.1143-161.
    Abstract
  3. Elsberry, Russell L., Hsiao-Chung Tsai, Wei-Chia Chin, and Timothy Marchok, June 2021: Predicting rapid intensification events following tropical cyclone formation in the western North Pacific based on ECMWF ensemble warm core evolutions. Atmosphere, 12(7), DOI:10.3390/atmos12070847.
    Abstract
  4. Hazelton, Andrew T., Zhan Zhang, Bin Liu, Jili Dong, Ghassan Alaka, Weiguo Wang, Timothy Marchok, Avichal Mehra, Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan, Xuejin Zhang, Morris A Bender, Vijay Tallapragada, and Frank D Marks, April 2021: 2019 Atlantic hurricane forecasts from the global-nested Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System: Composite statistics and key events. Weather and Forecasting, 36(2), DOI:10.1175/WAF-D-20-0044.1519-538.
    Abstract
  5. Marchok, Timothy, September 2021: Important factors in the tracking of tropical cyclones in operational models. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 60(9), DOI:10.1175/JAMC-D-20-0175.11265-1284.
    Abstract
  6. Elsberry, Russell L., Hsiao-Chung Tsai, Wei-Chia Chin, and Timothy Marchok, September 2020: Advanced global model ensemble forecasts of tropical cyclone formation, and intensity predictions along medium-range tracks. Atmosphere, 11(9), DOI:10.3390/atmos11091002.
    Abstract
  7. Harris, Lucas, Linjiong Zhou, Shian-Jiann Lin, Jan-Huey Chen, Xi Chen, Kun Gao, Matthew J Morin, Shannon L Rees, Yongqiang Sun, Mingjing Tong, Baoqiang Xiang, Morris A Bender, Rusty Benson, Kai-Yuan Cheng, Spencer K Clark, Oliver Elbert, Andrew T Hazelton, J Jacob Huff, Alex Kaltenbaugh, Zhi Liang, Timothy Marchok, Hyeyum Hailey Shin, and William F Stern, October 2020: GFDL SHiELD: A Unified System for Weather-to-Seasonal Prediction. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12(10), DOI:10.1029/2020MS002223.
    Abstract
  8. Tsai, Hsiao-Chung, Russell L Elsberry, Wei-Chia Chin, and Timothy Marchok, October 2020: Opportunity for early warnings of Typhoon Lekima from two global ensemble model forecasts of formation with 7-day intensities along medium-range tracks. Atmosphere, 11(11), DOI:10.3390/atmos11111162.
    Abstract
  9. Bender, Morris A., Timothy Marchok, Robert E Tuleya, Isaac Ginis, Vijay Tallapragada, and S J Lord, September 2019: Hurricane Model Development at GFDL: A Collaborative Success Story from an Historical Perspective. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100(9), DOI:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0197.1.
    Abstract
  10. Bender, Morris A., Timothy Marchok, C R Sampson, J A Knaff, and Matthew J Morin, August 2017: Impact of storm size on prediction of storm track and intensity using the 2016 Operational GFDL Hurricane Model. Weather and Forecasting, 32(4), DOI:10.1175/WAF-D-16-0220.1.
    Abstract
  11. Sampson, C R., E M Fukada, J A Knaff, B R Strahl, M J Brennan, and Timothy Marchok, June 2017: Tropical cyclone gale wind radii estimates for the western North Pacific. Weather and Forecasting, 32(3), DOI:10.1175/WAF-D-16-0196.1.
    Abstract
  12. Bernardet, L, Vijay Tallapragada, S Bao, S Trahan, Y Kwon, Q Liu, Mingjing Tong, M Biswas, T Brown, D Stark, L Carson, R Yablonsky, E Uhlhorn, Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan, X Zhang, and Timothy Marchok, et al., June 2015: Community Support and Transition of Research to Operations for the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF) Model. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96(6), DOI:10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00093.1.
    Abstract
  13. Sampson, C R., P A Wittmann, H L Tolman, E A Serra, J Schauer, and Timothy Marchok, February 2013: Evaluation of Wave Forecasts Consistent with Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Wind Forecasts. Weather and Forecasting, 28(1), DOI:10.1175/WAF-D-12-00060.1.
    Abstract
  14. Gall, J S., Isaac Ginis, Shian-Jiann Lin, Timothy Marchok, and Jan-Huey Chen, December 2011: Experimental tropical cyclone prediction using the GFDL 25km resolution global atmospheric model. Weather and Forecasting, 26(6), DOI:10.1175/WAF-D-10-05015.1.
    Abstract
  15. Lloyd, I D., Timothy Marchok, and Gabriel A Vecchi, November 2011: Diagnostics comparing sea surface temperature feedbacks from operational hurricane forecasts to observations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 3, M11002, DOI:10.1029/2011MS000075.
    Abstract
  16. Villarini, Gabriele, J A Smith, M L Baeck, Timothy Marchok, and Gabriel A Vecchi, December 2011: Characterization of rainfall distribution and flooding associated with U.S. landfalling tropical cyclones: Analyses of hurricanes Frances, Ivan, and Jeanne (2004). Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 116, D23116, DOI:10.1029/2011JD016175.
    Abstract
  17. Buckingham, Christian E., Timothy Marchok, Isaac Ginis, L Rothstein, and D Rowe, December 2010: Short and medium-range prediction of tropical and transitioning cyclone tracks within the NCEP Global Ensemble Forecasting System. Weather and Forecasting, 25(6), DOI:10.1175/2010WAF2222398.1.
    Abstract
  18. Lin, Ning, J A Smith, Timothy Marchok, Gabriele Villarini, and M L Baeck, October 2010: Modeling extreme rainfall, winds, and surge from Hurricane Isabel (2003). Weather and Forecasting, 25(5), DOI:10.1175/2010WAF2222349.1.
    Abstract
  19. Rogers, Robert, Frank D Marks, and Timothy Marchok, 2009: Tropical Cyclone Rainfall In Encyclopedia of Hydrological Sciences [M.G. Anderson and J.J. McDonnell (eds.)], DOI:10.1002/0470848944.hsa030.
    Abstract
  20. Bender, Morris A., Isaac Ginis, Robert E Tuleya, Biju Thomas, and Timothy Marchok, December 2007: The operational GFDL coupled hurricane–ocean prediction system and a summary of its performance. Monthly Weather Review, 135(12), DOI:10.1175/2007MWR2032.1.
    Abstract
  21. Knaff, J A., C R Sampson, M DeMaria, Timothy Marchok, J M Gross, and C J McAdie, 2007: Statistical Tropical Cyclone Wind Radii Prediction Using Climatology and Persistence. Weather and Forecasting, 22(4), DOI:10.1175/WAF1026.1.
    Abstract
  22. Lonfat, M, Robert Rogers, Timothy Marchok, and Frank D Marks, 2007: A Parametric Model for Predicting Hurricane Rainfall. Monthly Weather Review, 135(9), DOI:10.1175/MWR3433.1.
    Abstract
  23. Marchok, Timothy, Robert Rogers, and Robert E Tuleya, 2007: Validation Schemes for Tropical Cyclone Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts: Evaluation of Operational Models for U.S. Landfalling Cases. Weather and Forecasting, 22(4), DOI:10.1175/WAF1024.1.
    Abstract
  24. Toth, Z, Y Zhu, and Timothy Marchok, 2001: The use of ensembles to identify forecasts with small and large uncertainty. Weather and Forecasting, 16(4), 463-477.
    Abstract
  25. Szunyogh, I, Z Toth, Kerry A Emanuel, C H Bishop, C Snyder, R E Morse, J Woolen, and Timothy Marchok, 1999: Ensemble-based targeting experiments during FASTEX: The effect of dropsonde data from the Lear jet. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 125(561), 3189-3217.
    Abstract PDF

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