Hiroyuki “Hiro” Murakami [CV]

 

Research Physical Scientist

NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL),
Seasonal-to-Decadal Variability and Predictability Division

More detail about me: [Link]

Google Scholar

Official Email: Hiroyuki.Murakami@noaa.gov

Personal Email: hir.murakami@gmail.com

 

 

 

Research Interests

• Tropical cyclone climate projections and predictions
• Extreme hydroclimate events
• Numerical weather prediction

Research Highlights

• Anthropogenic effects on tropical cyclones near Western Europe, Aug 13, 2024
• Seasonal hurricane predictions at GFDL, Dec 6, 2023
• Anthropogenic forcing changes coastal tropical cyclone frequency, Nov 17, 2023
• Study: Reducing human-caused air pollution in North America & Europe brings surprise result: more hurricanes, May 11, 2022
• Patterns and frequency of projected future tropical cyclone genesis are governed by dynamic effects
  April 12, 2022
• A new book, “Climate Variability and Tropical Cyclone Activity,” from Cambridge University Press. ($79.99 via Amazon.com)
• 
• Detected Climatic Change in Global Distribution of Tropical Cyclones
  May 4, 2020
• Tropical Cyclone Motion in a Changing Climate
  April 22, 2020
• On the Mechanisms of the Active 2018 Tropical Cyclone Season in the North Pacific
  November 4, 2019
• Dynamical Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Activity: Robust Assessment of Prediction Skill and Predictability
  May 17, 2019
• Dominant Effect of Relative Tropical Atlantic Warming on Major Hurricane Occurrence
  September 27, 2018

Education

• Ph. D. Tsukuba University, Tsukuba, Japan – Mar 2011
  • Dissertation title: Tropical cyclone climate projections by 20-km mesh MRI/JMA atmospheric general circulation model. [PDF]
• M. Sc. Tsukuba University, Tsukuba, Japan – Mar 2000
• B. Sc. Tsukuba University, Tsukuba, Japan – Mar 1998

Professional Experience

• Research Physical Scientist: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, New Jersey, 2023-
• Project Scientist I, II, III: University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA, 2018-2023
• Associate Research Scholar: Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, USA, 2014-2018
• Postdoctoral Fellow: University of Hawaii at Manoa, IPRC, Honolulu, Hawaii, USA, 2012-2014
• Project Researcher: Meteorological Research Institute (MRI), Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan, 2007-2012
• Project Researcher: Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), Tokyo, Japan, 2002-2007

Selected Publications Since 2015 (Click here for the full list)

1. Xi, D., H. Murakami, N. Lin, and M. Openheimer, 2025: Shifts of future tropical cyclone genesis date in North Atlantic and North Pacific basins: An ensemble modeling investigation. npj Clim. Atmos. Sci., 8, 182.
2. Murakami, H., T. L. Delworth, N. C. Johnson, F. Lu, C. E. McHugh, and L. Jia, 2025: Seasonal forecasts of tropical cyclones using GFDL SPEAR and HiFLOR-S. J. Climate, 38, 2015-2030.
3. Murakami, H., 2024: Effect of regional anthropogenic aerosols on tropical cyclone frequency of occurrence. Geophys. Res. Lett., 51, e2024GL110443.
4. Murakami, H., W. Cooke, R. Mizuta, H. Endo, K. Yoshida, S. Wang, and P. Hsu, 2024: Robust future projections of global spatial distribution of major tropical cyclones and sea level pressure gradients. Nature Commun. Earth Environ., 5, 479.
5. Wang, S., H. Murakami, and W. F. Cooke, 2024: Anthropogenic effects on tropical cyclones near western Europe. npj Clim. Atmos. Sci., 7, 173.
6. Wang, S., H. Murakami, and W. F. Cooke, 2023: Anthropogenic forcing changes coastal tropical cyclone frequency. npj Clim. Atmos. Sci., 6, 187.
7. Murakami, H., 2022: Substantial global influence of anthropogenic aerosols on tropical cyclones over the past 40 years. Sci. Adv., 8, eabn9493.
8. Murakami, H., T. L. Delworth, W. F. Cooke, S. B. Kapnick, and P. -C. Hsu, 2022: Increasing frequency of anomalous precipitation events in Japan detected by a deep learning autoencoder. Earth’s Future, 10, e2021EF002481.
9. Murakami, H., and B. Wang, 2022: Patterns and frequency of projected future tropical cyclone genesis are governed by dynamic effects. Nature Commun. Earth Environ., 3, 77.
10. Murakami, H., 2022: “Tropical cyclones in changing climate.,” in Handbook on Air Quality and Climate Change, Akimoto, H., Ed., Springer.
11. Murakami, H., T. L. Delworth, W. F. Cooke, M. Zhao, B. Xiang, and P. -C. Hsu, 2020: Detected climatic change in global distribution of tropical cyclones. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA., 117(20), 10706-10714.
12. Zhang, G., H. Murakami, T. R. Knutson, R. Mizuta, and K. Yoshida, 2020: Tropical cyclone motion in a changing climate. Sci. Adv., 6(17), eaaz7610.
13. Murakami, H., E. Levin, T. Delworth, R. Gudgel, P.-H. Hsu, 2018: Dominant effect of relative tropical Atlantic warming on major hurricane occurrence. Science, 362, 794-799.
14. Murakami, H., G. A. Vecchi, and S. Underwood, 2017: Increasing frequency of extremely severe cyclonic storms over the Arabian Sea. Nat. Clim. Change, 7, 885-889.
15. Murakami, H., G. A. Vecchi, T. L. Delworth, A. T. Wittenberg, S. Underwood, R. Gudgel, X. Yang, L. Jia, F. Zeng, K. Paffendorf, and W. Zhang, 2017: Dominant role of subtropical Pacific warming on the extreme 2015 central Pacific hurricane season.  J. Climate, 30, 243-264.
16. Murakami, H., G. A. Vecchi, T. L. Delworth, R. Gudgel, S. Underwood, X. Yang, W. Zhang, and S. Lin, 2016: Seasonal forecasts of major hurricanes and landfalling tropical cyclones using a high-resolution GFDL coupled climate model. J. Climate, 29, 7977-7989.
17. Murakami, H., G. Villarini, G. A. Vecchi, W. Zhang, and R. Gudgel 2016: Statistical-dynamical seasonal forecast of North Atlantic hurricanes and U.S.  landfalling tropical cyclones using the high-resolution GFDL FLOR coupled model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 144, 2101-2123.
18. Murakami, H., G. A. Vecchi, T. Delworth, K. Paffendorf, R. Gudgel, L. Jia, and F. Zeng, 2015: Investigating the influence of anthropogenic forcing and natural variability on the 2014 Hawaiian hurricane season. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.
19. Murakami, H., G. A. Vecchi, S. Underwood, T. L. Delworth, A. T. Wittenberg, W. Anderson, J. -H. Chen, R. Gudgel, L. Harris, S. -J. Lin, and F. Zeng, 2015: Simulation and prediction of Category 4 and 5 hurricanes in the high-resolution GFDL HiFLOR coupled climate model. J. Climate, 28, 9058-9079. [PDF] [research summary]

See also GFDL Bibliography

Recent TV Interviews

	NBC24 (May 18, 2022) AccuWeather (May 15, 2022) NHK News (May 17, 2022, In Japanese) NHK News (May 9, 2022, In Japanese)