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Hiroyuki “Hiro” Murakami [CV]

Research Physical Scientist

NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL),
Seasonal-to-Decadal Variability and Predictability Division

More detail about me: [Link]






Research Interests

  • Tropical cyclone climate projections and predictions
  • Extreme hydroclimate events
  • Numerical weather prediction

Research Highlights


  • Ph. D. Tsukuba University, Tsukuba, Japan – Mar 2011
    • Dissertation title: Tropical cyclone climate projections by 20-km mesh MRI/JMA atmospheric general circulation model. [PDF]
  • M. Sc. Tsukuba University, Tsukuba, Japan – Mar 2000
  • B. Sc. Tsukuba University, Tsukuba, Japan – Mar 1998

Professional Experience

Selected Publications Since 2015 (Click here for the full list)

  1. Wang, S., H. Murakami, and W. F. Cooke, 2023: Anthropogenic forcing changes coastal tropical cyclone frequency. npj Clim. Atmos. Sci., 6, 187.
  2. Murakami, H., 2022: Substantial global influence of anthropogenic aerosols on tropical cyclones over the past 40 years. Sci. Adv., 8, eabn9493.
  3. Murakami, H., T. L. Delworth, W. F. Cooke, S. B. Kapnick, and P. -C. Hsu, 2022: Increasing frequency of anomalous precipitation events in Japan detected by a deep learning autoencoder. Earth’s Future, 10, e2021EF002481.
  4. Murakami, H., and B. Wang, 2022: Patterns and frequency of projected future tropical cyclone genesis are governed by dynamic effects. Nature Commun. Earth Environ., 3, 77.
  5. Murakami, H., 2022: “Tropical cyclones in changing cliamte.,” in Handbook on Air Quality and Climate Change., Akimoto, H., Ed., Springer.
  6. Murakami, H., T. L. Delworth, W. F. Cooke, M. Zhao, B. Xiang, and P. -C. Hsu, 2020: Detected climatic change in global distribution of tropical cyclones. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA., 117(20), 10706-10714.
  7. Zhang, G., H. Murakami, T. R. Knutson, R. Mizuta, and K. Yoshida, 2020: Tropical cyclone motion in a changing climate. Sci. Adv., 6(17), eaaz7610.
  8. Murakami, H., E. Levin, T. Delworth, R. Gudgel, P.-H. Hsu, 2018: Dominant effect of relative tropical Atlantic warming on major hurricane occurrence. Science, 362, 794-799.
  9. Murakami, H., G. A. Vecchi, and S. Underwood, 2017: Increasing frequency of extremely severe cyclonic storms over the Arabian Sea. Nat. Clim. Change, 7, 885-889.
  10. Murakami, H., G. A. Vecchi, T. L. Delworth, A. T. Wittenberg, S. Underwood, R. Gudgel, X. Yang, L. Jia, F. Zeng, K. Paffendorf, and W. Zhang, 2017: Dominant role of subtropical Pacific warming on the extreme 2015 central Pacific hurricane season.  J. Climate, 30, 243-264.
  11. Murakami, H., G. A. Vecchi, T. L. Delworth, R. Gudgel, S. Underwood, X. Yang, W. Zhang, and S. Lin, 2016: Seasonal forecasts of major hurricanes and landfalling tropical cyclones using a high-resolution GFDL coupled climate model. J. Climate, 29, 7977-7989l
  12. Murakami, H., G. Villarini, G. A. Vecchi, W. Zhang, and R. Gudgel 2016: Statistical-dynamical seasonal forecast of North Atlantic hurricanes and U.S.  landfalling tropical cyclones using the high-resolution GFDL FLOR coupled model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 144, 2101-2123.
  13. Murakami, H., G. A. Vecchi, T. Delworth, K. Paffendorf, R. Gudgel, L. Jia, and F. Zeng, 2015: Investigating the influence of anthropogenic forcing and natural variability on the 2014 Hawaiian hurricane season. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.
  14. Murakami, H., G. A. Vecchi, S. Underwood, T. L. Delworth, A. T. Wittenberg, W. Anderson, J. -H. Chen, R. Gudgel, L. Harris, S. -J. Lin, and F. Zeng, 2015: Simulation and prediction of Category 4 and 5 hurricanes in the high-resolution GFDL HiFLOR coupled climate model. J. Climate, 28, 9058-9079. [PDF] [research summary]

See also GFDL Bibliography

Recent TV Interviews

  • NBC24 (May 18, 2022)
  • AccuWeather (May 15, 2022)
  • NHK News (May 17, 2022, In Japanese)
  • NHK News (May 9, 2022, In Japanese)