Most Recent GFDL Publications

July-August 2017

Bender, Morris A., Timothy Marchok, C R Sampson, J A Knaff, and Matthew J Morin, August 2017: Impact of storm size on prediction of storm track and intensity using the 2016 Operational GFDL Hurricane Model. Weather and Forecasting, 32(4), DOI:10.1175/WAF-D-16-0220.1 .

Black, J, and Nathaniel C Johnson, et al., July 2017: The Predictors and Forecast Skill of Northern Hemisphere Teleconnection Patterns for Lead Times of 3-4 Weeks. Monthly Weather Review, 145(7), DOI:10.1175/MWR-D-16-0394.1 .

Blanchard, J L., R A Watson, E A Fulton, R S Cottrell, K L Nash, A Bryndum-Buchholz, M Buchner, D A Carozza, W W L Cheung, J Elliott, L N K Davidson, N K Dulvy, and John P Dunne, et al., August 2017: Linked sustainability challenges and trade-offs among fisheries, aquaculture and agriculture. Nature Ecology & Evolution, 1(9), DOI:10.1038/s41559-017-0258-8 .

Choi, Hyun-Deok, H Liu, A J Crawford, D B Considine, D J Allen, B N Duncan, and Larry W Horowitz, et al., July 2017: Global O3-CO Correlations in a Chemistry and Transport Model during July–August: Evaluation with TES Satellite Observations and Sensitivity to Input Meteorological Data and Emissions. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 17(13), DOI:10.5194/acp-17-8429-2017 .

de Guenni, L B., M Garcia, and Á G Muñoz, et al., August 2017: Predicting monthly precipitation along coastal Ecuador: ENSO and transfer function models. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 129(3-4), DOI:10.1007/s00704-016-1828-4 .

Dogar, M, G Stenchikov, S Osipov, Bruce Wyman, and Ming Zhao, August 2017: Sensitivity of the Regional Climate in the Middle East and North Africa to Volcanic perturbations. Journal of Geophysical Research, 122(15), DOI:10.1002/2017JD026783 .

Grieve, B D., J A Hare, and Vincent S Saba, July 2017: Projecting the effects of climate change on Calanus finmarchicus distribution within the U.S. Northeast Continental Shelf. Scientific Reports, 7, 6264, DOI:10.1038/s41598-017-06524-1 .

Hill, S A., Yi Ming, Isaac M Held, and Ming Zhao, August 2017: A moist static energy budget-based analysis of the Sahel rainfall response to uniform oceanic warming. Journal of Climate, 30(15), DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0785.1 .

Jeevanjee, Nadir, P Hassanzadeh, and S A Hill, et al., August 2017: A perspective on climate model hierarchies. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 9(4), DOI:10.1002/2017MS001038 .

Johnson, K S., J N Plant, John P Dunne, L D Talley, and Jorge L Sarmiento, August 2017: Annual nitrate drawdown observed by SOCCOM profiling floats and the relationship to annual net community production. Journal of Geophysical Research, 122(8), DOI:10.1002/2017JC012839 .

Karspeck, A R., D Stammer, A Köhl, G Danabasoglu, M Alonso Balmaseda, D M Smith, Y Fujii, Shaoqing Zhang, B Giese, H Tsujino, and Anthony Rosati, August 2017: Comparison of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation between 1960 and 2007 in six ocean reanalysis products. Climate Dynamics, 49(3), DOI:10.1007/s00382-015-2787-7 .

L’Heureux, M L., K Takahashi, A B Watkins, A Barnston, E Becker, T E Di Liberto, F Gamble, J Gottschalck, M S Halpert, B Huang, K Mosquera-Vásquez, and Andrew T Wittenberg, July 2017: Observing and Predicting the 2015/16 El Niño. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98(7), DOI:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0009.1 .

Laufkötter, C, Jasmin G John, Charles A Stock, and John P Dunne, July 2017: Temperature and oxygen dependence of the remineralization of organic matter. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 31(7), DOI:10.1002/2017GB005643 .

Mahowald, N, and Daniel S Ward, et al., September 2017: Are the impacts of land use on warming underestimated in climate policy?Environmental Research Letters, 12(9), DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/aa836d .

Marsooli, R, P M Orton, and George L Mellor, July 2017: Modeling wave attenuation by salt marshes in Jamaica Bay, New York, using a new rapid wave model. Journal of Geophysical Research, 122(7), DOI:10.1002/2016JC012546 .

Metcalf, C J., K S Walter, A Wesolowski, C O Buckee, and Elena Shevliakova, et al., August 2017: Identifying climate drivers of infectious disease dynamics: recent advances and challenges ahead. Proceedings of the Royal Society B, 284(1860), DOI:10.1098/rspb.2017.0901 .

Milly, P C., and Krista A Dunne, August 2017: A Hydrologic Drying Bias in Water-Resource Impact Analyses of Anthropogenic Climate Change. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 53(4), DOI:10.1111/1752-1688.12538 .

Muñoz, Á G., M C Thomson, A M Stewart-Ibarra, Gabriel A Vecchi, X Chourio, P Najera, Z Moran, and Xiaosong Yang, July 2017: Could the Recent Zika Epidemic Have Been Predicted? Frontiers in Microbiology, 8, DOI:10.3389/fmicb.2017.01291 .

Pan, Fang, X Huang, S S Leroy, Pu Lin, L Larrabee Strow, Yi Ming, and V Ramaswamy, August 2017: The stratospheric changes inferred from 10 years of AIRS and AMSU-A radiances. Journal of Climate, 30(15), DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0037.1 .

Paulot, Fabien, David J Paynter, Paul Ginoux, Vaishali Naik, S Whitburn, M Van Damme, L Clarisse, P-F Coheur, and Larry W Horowitz, August 2017: Gas-aerosol partitioning of ammonia in biomass burning plumes: implications for the interpretation of spaceborne observations of ammonia and the radiative forcing of ammonium nitrate. Geophysical Research Letters, 44(15), DOI:10.1002/2017GL074215 .

Prather, M J., X Zhu, C Flynn, S Strode, J Rodriguez, S Steenrod, J Liu, J F Lamarque, Arlene M Fiore, Larry W Horowitz, and Jingqiu Mao, et al., June 2017: Global Atmospheric Chemistry – Which Air Matters. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 17(14), DOI:10.5194/acp-17-9081-2017.

Pu, Bing, and Paul Ginoux, July 2017: Projection of American dustiness in the late 21st century due to climate change. Scientific Reports, 7, 5553, DOI:10.1038/s41598-017-05431-9 .

Rallabandi, B, Z Zheng, Michael Winton, and H Stone, July 2017: Formation of sea ice bridges in narrow straits in response to wind and water stresses. Journal of Geophysical Research, 122(7), DOI:10.1002/2017JC012822 .

Salas, E A L., V A Seamster, N M Harings, K G Boykin, G Alvarez, and Keith W Dixon, August 2017: Projected Future Bioclimate-Envelope Suitability for Reptile and Amphibian Species of Concern in South Central USA. Herpetological Conservation and Biology, 12(2), 522-547.

Schmidt, G A., D Bader, Leo J Donner, G S Elsaesser, and J-C Golaz, et al., September 2017: Practice and philosophy of climate model tuning across six U.S. modeling centers. Geoscientific Model Development Discussion, 10(9), DOI:10.5194/gmd-10-3207-2017 .

Schulte, J A., N Georgas, Vincent S Saba, and P Howell, July 2017: Meteorological Aspects of the Eastern North American Pattern with Impacts on Long Island Sound Salinity. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, 5(3), 26, DOI:10.3390/jmse5030026 .

Sergienko, Olga V., August 2017: Behavior of flexural gravity waves on ice shelves: Application to the Ross Ice Shelf. Journal of Geophysical Research, 122(8), DOI:10.1002/2017JC012947 .

Silva, R A., J J West, J F Lamarque, D Shindell, W J Collins, G Faluvegi, G Folberth, Larry W Horowitz, T Nagashima, and Vaishali Naik, et al., September 2017: Future global mortality from changes in air pollution attributable to climate change. Nature Climate Change, 7(9), DOI:10.1038/nclimate3354 .

Sinha, E, A M Michalak, and V Balaji, July 2017: Eutrophication will increase during the 21st century as a result of precipitation changes. Science, 357(6349), DOI:10.1126/science.aan2409 .

Spence, P, R Holmes, A McC Hogg, Stephen M Griffies, K D Stewart, and M H England, August 2017: Localized rapid warming of West Antarctic subsurface waters by remote winds. Nature Climate Change, 7(8), DOI:10.1038/nclimate3335 .

Stern, Alon A., Alistair Adcroft, Olga V Sergienko, and G Marques, August 2017: Modeling tabular icebergs submerged in the ocean. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 9(4), DOI:10.1002/2017MS001002 .

Sugi, M, Hiroyuki Murakami, and K Yoshida, July 2017: Projection of future changes in the frequency of intense tropical cyclones. Climate Dynamics, 49(1-2), DOI:10.1007/s00382-016-3361-7 .

Sulman, B N., E R Brzostek, C Medici, and Elena Shevliakova, et al., August 2017: Feedbacks between plant N demand and rhizosphere priming depend on type of mycorrhizal association. Ecology Letters, 20(8), DOI:10.1111/ele.12802 .

Tamsitt, V, H F Drake, Adele K Morrison, L D Talley, C O Dufour, A R Gray, Stephen M Griffies, M R Mazloff, and Jorge L Sarmiento, et al., August 2017: Spiraling pathways of global deep waters to the surface of the Southern Ocean. Nature Communications, 8, 172, DOI:10.1038/s41467-017-00197-0 .

Vecchi, Gabriel A., and Thomas L Delworth, August 2017: Origins of Atlantic decadal swings: Integrate the whole system. Nature, 548(7667), DOI:10.1038/nature23538 .

Wagner, Till J., and Alon A Stern, et al., September 2017: On the representation of capsizing in iceberg models. Ocean Modelling, 117, DOI:10.1016/j.ocemod.2017.07.003 .

Xu, F-H, Y Yuan, Lie-Yauw Oey, and Yanluan Lin, August 2017: Impacts of preexisting ocean cyclonic circulation on sea surface Chlorophyll-a concentration off northeastern Taiwan following episodic typhoon passages. Journal of Geophysical Research, 122(8), DOI:10.1002/2016JC012625 .

Xue, Y, C. Wen, Xiaosong Yang, D Behringer, A Kumar, Gabriel A Vecchi, Anthony Rosati, and Richard G Gudgel, August 2017: Evaluation of tropical Pacific observing systems using NCEP and GFDL ocean data assimilation systems. Climate Dynamics, 49(3), DOI:10.1007/s00382-015-2743-6 .

Zhang, Liping, Thomas L Delworth, Xiaosong Yang, Richard G Gudgel, Liwei Jia, Gabriel A Vecchi, and Fanrong Zeng, July 2017: Estimating decadal predictability for the Southern Ocean using the GFDL CM2.1 model. Journal of Climate, 30(14), DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0840.1 .

Zhang, Rong, August 2017: On the Persistence and Coherence of Subpolar Sea Surface Temperature and Salinity Anomalies Associated with the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 44(15), DOI:10.1002/2017GL074342 .