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Most Recent GFDL Publications

September – November 2021

  1. Abalos, M., Calvo, N., Benito-Barca, S., Garny, H., Hardiman, S. C., Lin, P., et al. (2021). The Brewer-Dobson circulation in CMIP6. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21(17), 13571-13591. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-13571-2021.
  2. Callaghan, M., Schleussner, C.-F., Nath, S., Lejeune, Q., Knutson, T. R., et al. (2021). Machine-learning-based evidence and attribution mapping of 100,000 climate impact studiesNature Climate Change. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01168-6.
  3. Chen, H.-C., Jin, F.-F., Zhao, S., Wittenberg, A. T., & Xie, S. (2021). ENSO dynamics in the E3SM-1-0, CESM2, and GFDL-CM4 climate models. Journal of Climate, 34(23), 9365-9384. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0355.1.
  4. Cheng, W., Hermann, A., Hollowed, A. B., Holsman, K., Kearney, K. A., Pilcher, D. J., Stock, C. A., & Aydin, K. Y. (2021). Eastern Bering Sea shelf environmental and lower trophic level responses to climate forcing: Results of dynamical downscaling from CMIP6. Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography, 193. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2021.104975.
  5. Chu, W., Lin, Y., & Zhao, M. (2021). Implementation and evaluation of a double-plume convective parameterization in NCAR CAM5. Journal of Climate. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0267.1.
  6. Gao, K., Harris, L., Zhou, L., Bender, M. A., & Morin, M. J. (2021). On the sensitivity of hurricane intensity and structure to horizontal tracer advection schemes in FV3. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 78(9), 3007-3021. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-20-0331.1.
  7. Jeevanjee, N., Seeley, J. T., Paynter, D. J., & Fueglistaler, S. (2021). An analytical model for spatially varying clear-sky CO2 forcing. Journal of Climate, 34(23), 9463-9480. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0756.1.
  8. Jing, R., Lin, N., Emanuel, K. A., Vecchi, G. A, & Knutson, T. R. (2021). A comparison of tropical cyclone projections in a high-resolution global climate model and from downscaling by statistical and statistical-deterministic methods. Journal of Climate, 34(23). https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0071.1.
  9. Kang, S. M., Xie, S.-P., Deser, C., & Xiang, B. (2021). Zonal mean and shift modes of historical climate response to evolving aerosol distribution. Science Bulletin, 66(23), 2405-2411. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scib.2021.07.013.
  10. Khatri, H., Griffies, S. M., et al. (2021). Role of mixed-layer instabilities in the seasonal evolution of eddy kinetic energy spectra in a global submesoscale permitting simulation. Geophysical Research Letters, 48(18). https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL094777.
  11. Klose, M., Jorba, O., Gonçalves Ageitos, M., Escribano, J., Dawson, M. L., Obiso, V., Di Tomaso, E., Basart, S., Montané Pinto, G., Macchia, F., & Ginoux, P., et al. (2021). Mineral dust cycle in the Multiscale Online Nonhydrostatic AtmospheRe CHemistry model (MONARCH) version 2.0. Geoscientific Model Development, 14(10), 6403–6444. https://doi.org10.5194/gmd-14-6403-2021.
  12. Lee, J., Planton, Y. Y., Gleckler, P. J., Sperber, K. R., Guilyardi, E., Wittenberg, A. T., McPhaden, M. J., & Pallotta, G. (2021). Robust evaluation of ENSO in climate models: How many ensemble members are needed? Geophysical Research Letters, 48(20). https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL095041.
  13. Liu, X., Stock, C. A., Dunne, J. P., Lee, M., Shevliakova, E., Malyshev, S., & Milly, P. C. D. (2021). Simulated global coastal ecosystem responses to a half-century increase in river nitrogen loads. Geophysical Research Letters, 48(17). https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL094367.
  14. Marchok, T. (2021). Important factors in the tracking of tropical cyclones in operational models. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 60(9), 1265-1284. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-20-0175.1.
  15. McDougall, T. J., Barker, P. M., Holmes, R. M., Pawlowicz, R., Griffies, S. M., & Durack, P. J. (2021). The interpretation of temperature and salinity variables in numerical ocean model output and the calculation of heat fluxes and heat content. Geoscientific Model Development14(10). https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-6445-2021.
  16. McKim, B. A., Jeevanjee, N., & Vallis, G. K. (2021). Joint dependence of longwave feedback on surface temperature and relative humidity. Geophysical Research Letters, 48(18). https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL094074.
  17. Melet, A., Hallberg, R., & Marshall, D. (2021). Role of ocean mixing in climate change. In Ocean Mixing: Drivers, Mechanisms and Impacts [Meredith, M. P. and A. Naraveira Garabato (eds.)], Elsevier.
  18. Nazzaro, L., Slesinger, E., Kohut, J., Saba, G. K., & Saba, V. S. (2021). Sensitivity of marine fish thermal habitat models to fishery data sources. Ecology and Evolution. https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.7817.
  19. Pascale, S.Kapnick, S. B.Delworth, T. L., Hidalgo, H. G., & Cooke, W. F. (2021). Natural variability vs forced signal in the 2015–2019 Central American drought. Climatic Change168, 16. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03228-4.
  20. Power, S. B., Lengaigne, M., Capotondi, A., Khodri, M., Vialard, J., Jebri, B., Guilyardi, E., McGregor, S., Kug, J.-S., Newman, M., McPhaden, M. J., Meehl, G. A., Smith, D., Cole, J., Emile-Geay, J., Vimont, D., Wittenberg, A. T., et al. (2021). Decadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific: Characteristics, causes, predictability, and prospects. Science, 374(6563). https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aay9165.
  21. Ramaswamy, V., Ming, Y., & Schwarzkopf, M. D. (2021). Forcing of global hydrological changes in the twentieth and twenty-first centuries. In A. Pandey, S. Kumar, & A. Kumar (Eds). Hydrological Aspects of Climate Change (pp. 61-76). Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-0394-5.
  22. Sand, M., Samset, B. H., Myhre, G., Gliß, J., Bauer, S. E., Bian, H., Chin, M., Checa-Garcia, R., Ginoux, P., et al. (2021). Aerosol absorption in global models from AeroCom phase III. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21(20), 15929-15947. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-15929-2021.
  23. Smyth, J. E. & Ming, Y. (2021). Investigating the impact of land surface characteristics on monsoon dynamics with idealized model simulations and theories. Journal of Climate, 34(19), 7943-7958. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0954.1.
  24. Song, Q., Zhang, Z., Yu, H., Ginoux, P., & Shen, J. (2021). Global dust optical depth climatology derived from CALIOP and MODIS aerosol retrievals on decadal timescales: Regional and interannual variability. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21(17), 13369-13395. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-13369-2021.
  25. Su, W., Liang, L., Myhre, G., Thorsen, T. J., Loeb, N. G., Schuster, G. L., Ginoux, P., Paulot, F., et al. (2021). Understanding top-of-atmosphere flux bias in the AeroCom phase III models: A clear-sky perspective. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 13(9). https://doi.org/10.1029/2021MS002584.
  26. Tittensor, D. P., Novaglio, C., Harrison, C. S., Heneghan, R. F., Barrier, N., Bianchi, D., Bopp, L., Bryndum-Buchholz, A., Britten, G. L., Büchner, M., Cheung, W. W. L., Christensen, V., Coll, M., Dunne, J. P., Eddy, T. D., Everett, J. D., Fernandes-Salvador, J. A., Fulton, E. A., Galbraith, E. D., Gascuel, D., Guiet, J., John, J. G., Link, J. S., Lotze, H. K., Maury, O., Ortega-Cisneros, K., Palacios-Abrantes, J., Petrik, C. M., du Pontavice, H., Rault, J., Richardson, A. J., Shannon, L, Shin, Y.-J., Steenbeek, J., Stock, C. A., & Blanchard, J. L. (2021). Next-generation ensemble projections reveal higher climate risks for marine ecosystems. Nature Climate Change, 11, 973-981. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01173-9.
  27. Tseng, K.-C., Johnson, N. C., Kapnick, S. B., Delworth, T. L., Lu, F., Cooke, W. F., Wittenberg, A. T., Rosati, A., Zhang, L., McHugh, C., Yang, X., Harrison, M. J., Zeng, F., Zhang, G., Murakami, H., Bushuk, M., & Jia, L. (2021). Are multiseasonal forecasts of atmospheric rivers possible? Geophysical Research Letters, 48(17). https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL094000.
  28. van Denderen, P. D., Petrik, C. M., Stock, C. A., & Andersen, K. H. (2021). Emergent global biogeography of marine fish food webs. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 30(9). https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.13348.
  29. Yang, X., Delworth, T. L., Zeng, F., Zhang, L., Cooke, W. F., Harrison, M. J., Rosati, A., Underwood, S. D., Compo, G. P., & McColl, C. (2021). On the development of GFDL’s decadal prediction system: Initialization approaches and retrospective forecast assessment. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 13(11). https://doi.org/10.1029/2021MS002529.
  30. Yin, J. & Zhao, M., (2021). Influence of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation on the U.S. extreme cold weather. Communications Earth and Environment, 2, 218. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00290-9.
  31. Zhang, G., Murakami, H., Cooke, W. F., Wang, Z., Jia, L., Lu, F., Yang, X., Delworth, T. L., Wittenberg, A. T., Harrison, M. J., Bushuk, M., McHugh, C., Johnson, N. C., Kapnick, S. B., Tseng, K.-C., & Zhang, L. (2021). Seasonal predictability of baroclinic wave activity. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4, 50. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-021-00209-3.
  32. Zhang, P., Chen, G., & Ming, Y. (2021). Quantifying the mechanisms of atmospheric circulation response to greenhouse gas increases in a forcing–feedback framework. Journal of Climate, 34(17), 7005-7022. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0778.1.
  33. Zhang, P., Chen, G., Ma, W., Ming, Y., & Wu, Z. (2021). Robust atmospheric river response to global warming in idealized and comprehensive climate models. Journal of Climate, 34(18), 7717-7734. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-1005.1.
  34. Zhao, M. (2021). A study of AR, TS, and MCS associated precipitation and extreme precipitation in present and warmer climates. Journal of Climate. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0145.1.