Most Recent GFDL Publications

April 2024 - Present

1. Bushuk, Mitchell, Sahara Ali, David A Bailey, Qing Bao, Lauriane Batté, Uma S Bhatt, Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Ed Blockley, Gavin Cawley, Junhwa Chi, François Counillon, Philippe Goulet Coulombe, Richard I Cullather, Francis X Diebold, Arlan Dirkson, Eleftheria Exarchou, Maximilian Göbel, William Gregory, Virginie Guemas, Lawrence C Hamilton, Bian He, Sean Horvath, Monica Ionita, Jennifer E Kay, Eliot Kim, Noriaki Kimura, Dmitri Kondrashov, Zachary M Labe, Woo-Sung Lee, Younjoo J Lee, Cuihua Li, Xuewei Li, Yongcheng Lin, Yanyun Liu, Wieslaw Maslowski, François Massonnet, Walter N Meier, William J Merryfield, Hannah Myint, Juan C Acosta Navarro, Alek Petty, Fangli Qiao, David Schröder, Axel Schweiger, Qi Shu, Michael Sigmond, Michael Steele, Julienne Stroeve, Nico Sun, Steffen Tietsche, Michel Tsamados, Keguang Wang, Jianwu Wang, Wanqui Wang, Yiguo Wang, Yun Wang, James Williams, Qinghua Yang, Xiaojun Yuan, Jinlun Zhang, and Yongfei Zhang, July 2024: Predicting September Arctic sea ice: A multi-model seasonal skill comparison. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105(7), doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0163.1.
2. Cerutti-Pereyra, Florencia, Elizabeth J Drenkard, Mario Espinoza, Brittany Finucci, Felipe Galván-Magaña, Ana Hacohen-Domené, Alexander Hearn, Mauricio E Hoyos-Padilla, James T Ketchum, Paola A Mejía-Falla, Ana V Moya-Serrano, Andres F Navia, Diana A Pazmiño, Deni Ramírez-Macías, Jodie L Rummer, Pelayo Salinas-de-León, Oscar Sosa-Nishizaki, Charles A Stock, and Andrew Chin, July 2024: Vulnerability of Eastern Tropical Pacific chondrichthyan fish to climate change. Global Change Biology, 30(7), doi:10.1111/gcb.17373.
3. Lee, Minjin, Charles A Stock, John P Dunne, and Elena Shevliakova, July 2024: Linking global terrestrial and ocean biogeochemistry with process-based, coupled freshwater algae-nutrient-solid dynamics in LM3-FANSY v1.0. Geoscientific Model Development, 17(13), doi:10.5194/gmd-17-5191-20245191-5224.
4. Menemenlis, Sofia, Gabriel A Vecchi, Kun Gao, James A Smith, and Kai-Yuan Cheng, July 2024: Extreme rainfall risk in Hurricane Ida's extratropical stage: An analysis with convection-permitting ensemble hindcasts. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 81(7), doi:10.1175/JAS-D-23-0160.1.
5. Clark, Joseph P., Pu Lin, and Spencer A Hill, June 2024: ITCZ response to disabling parameterized convection in global fixed-SST GFDL-AM4 aquaplanet simulations at 50 and 6 km resolutions. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 16(6), doi:10.1029/2023MS003968.
6. Dugenne, Mathilde, Marco Corrales-Ugalde, Jessica Y Luo, Rainer Kiko, Todd D O'Brien, Jean-Olivier Irisson, Fabien Lombard, Lars Stemmann, and Charles A Stock, et al., June 2024: First release of the Pelagic Size Structure database: global datasets of marine size spectra obtained from plankton imaging devices. Earth System Science Data, 16(6), doi:10.5194/essd-16-2971-20242971-2999.
7. Fan, Songmiao, Xiaodan Chen, and Judah Cohen, June 2024: Boreal winter extratropical weather regime changes during 1979–2019 and their weather impacts and possible linkages to sea-ice in the Nordic Seas. JGR Atmospheres, 129(11), doi:10.1029/2023JD039868.
8. Hwang, Jiwon, Dong-Hyun Cha, Donghyuck Yoon, Tae-Young Goo, and Sueng-Pil Jung, June 2024: Effects of initial and boundary conditions on heavy rainfall simulation over the Yellow Sea and the Korean Peninsula: Comparison of ECMWF and NCEP analysis data effects and verification with dropsonde observation. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, doi:10.1007/s00376-024-3232-9.
9. Khatri, Hermant, Stephen M Griffies, Benjamin A Storer, Michele Buzzicotti, Hussein Aluie, Maike Sonnewald, Raphael Dussin, and Andrew Shao, June 2024: A scale-dependent analysis of the barotropic vorticity budget in a global ocean simulation. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 16(6), doi:10.1029/2023MS003813.
10. Lee, Minjin, Charles A Stock, Elena Shevliakova, Sergey Malyshev, Maureen Beaudor, and Nicolas Vuichard, June 2024: Uneven consequences of global climate mitigation pathways on regional water quality in the 21st century. Nature Communications, 15, 5464, doi:10.1038/s41467-024-49866-x.
11. Mariotti, Annarita, David Bader, Susanne E Bauer, Gokhan Danabasoglu, John P Dunne, Brian D Gross, L Ruby Leung, S Pawson, William M Putman, V Ramaswamy, Gavin A Schmidt, and Vijay Tallapragada, June 2024: Envisioning U.S. climate predictions and projections to meet new challenges. Earth's Future, 12(6), doi:10.1029/2023EF004187.
12. Merlis, Timothy M., Kai-Yuan Cheng, Ilai Guendelman, Lucas Harris, Christopher S Bretherton, Maximilien Bolot, Linjiong Zhou, Alex Kaltenbaugh, Spencer K Clark, Gabriel A Vecchi, and Stephan Fueglistaler, June 2024: Climate sensitivity and relative humidity changes in global storm-resolving model simulations of climate change. Science Advances, 10(26), doi:10.1126/sciadv.adn5217.
13. Nikumbh, Akshaya C., Pu Lin, David J Paynter, and Yi Ming, June 2024: Does increasing horizontal resolution improve the simulation of intense tropical rainfall in GFDL's AM4 model? Geophysical Research Letters, 51(12), doi:10.1029/2023GL106708.
14. Ren, Fangxuan, Jintai Lin, Chenghao Xu, Jamiu A Adeniran, Jingxu Wang, Randall V Martin, Aaron Van Donkelaar, Melanie S Hammer, and Larry W Horowitz, et al., June 2024: Evaluation of CMIP6 model simulations of PM2.5 and its components over China. Geoscientific Model Development, 17(12), doi:10.5194/gmd-17-4821-20244821-4836.
15. Song, Qianqian, Paul Ginoux, Maria Gonçalves Ageitos, Ron L. Miller, Vincenzo Obiso, and Carlos Pérez Garcia-Pando, June 2024: Modeling impacts of dust mineralogy on fast climate response. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 24(12), doi:10.5194/acp-24-7421-2024.
16. Yang, Xiaosong, Thomas L Delworth, Liwei Jia, Nathaniel C Johnson, Feiyu Lu, and Colleen McHugh, June 2024: Skillful seasonal prediction of wind energy resources in the contiguous United States. Communications Earth and Environment, 5, 313, doi:10.1038/s43247-024-01457-w.
17. Zhang, Wenda, Stephen M Griffies, Robert Hallberg, Yi-Hung Kuo, and Christopher L P Wolfe, June 2024: The role of surface potential vorticity in the vertical structure of mesoscale eddies in wind-driven ocean circulations. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 54(6), doi:10.1175/JPO-D-23-0203.11243-1266.
18. Zhao, Ming, and Thomas R Knutson, June 2024: Crucial role of sea surface temperature warming patterns in near-term high-impact weather and climate projection. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7, 130, doi:10.1038/s41612-024-00681-7.
19. Zhao, Sen, Fei-Fei Jin, Malte F Stuecker, Philip R Thompson, Jong-Seong Kug, Michael J McPhaden, Mark Cane, Andrew T Wittenberg, and Wenju Cai, June 2024: Explainable El Niño predictability from climate mode interactions. Nature, 630, doi:10.1038/s41586-024-07534-6.
20. Abraham, Subil, Ryan Prout, Thomas E Robinson, Chris Blanton, and Matthew Davis, May 2024: Evaluating integration and performance of containerized climate applications on a Hewlett Packard Enterprise Cray system. Concurrency and Computation: Practice and Experience, doi:10.1002/cpe.7966.
21. Dong, Wenhao, Yi Ming, Yi Deng, and Zhaoyi Shen, May 2024: Recent wetting trend over Taklamakan and Gobi Desert dominated by internal variability. Nature Communications, 15, 4379, doi:10.1038/s41467-024-48743-x.
22. Gao, Kun, Lucas Harris, Mingjing Tong, Linjiong Zhou, Jan-Huey Chen, and Kai-Yuan Cheng, May 2024: A Flexible Tropical Cyclone Vortex Initialization Technique for GFDL SHiELD. Frontiers in Earth Science, 12, doi:10.3389/feart.2024.1396390.
23. Gentile, Emanuele S., Ming Zhao, Vincent E Larson, Colin M Zarzycki, and Zhihong Tan, May 2024: The effect of coupling between CLUBB turbulence scheme and surface momentum flux on global wind simulations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 16(5), doi:10.1029/2024MS004295.
24. Hagstrom, George I., Charles A Stock, Jessica Y Luo, and Simon A Levin, May 2024: Impact of Dynamic Phytoplankton Stoichiometry on Global Scale Patterns of Nutrient Limitation, Nitrogen Fixation, and Carbon Export. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 38(5), doi:10.1029/2023GB007991.
25. Lee, Jiwoo, Peter J Gleckler, Min-Seop Ahn, Ana Ordonez, Paul A Ullrich, Kenneth R Sperber, Karl E Taylor, Yann Y Planton, Eric Guilyardi, Paul J Durack, Céline Bonfils, Mark D Zelinka, Li-Wei Chao, Bo Dong, Charles Doutriaux, Chengzhu Zhang, Tom Vo, Jason Boutte, Michael F Wehner, Angeline G Pendergrass, Daehyun Kim, Zeyu Xue, Andrew T Wittenberg, and John P Krasting, May 2024: Systematic and objective evaluation of Earth system models: PCMDI Metrics Package (PMP) version 3. Geoscientific Model Development, 17(9), doi:10.5194/gmd-17-3919-20243919–3948.
26. Lemoine, Derek, and Sarah B Kapnick, May 2024: Financial markets value skillful forecasts of seasonal climate. Nature Communications, 15, 4059, doi:10.1038/s41467-024-48420-z.
27. Lennon, Jay T., Rose Z Abramoff, Steven D Allison, Rachel M Burckhardt, Kristen M DeAngelis, and John P Dunne, et al., May 2024: Priorities, opportunities, and challenges for integrating microorganisms into Earth system models for climate change prediction. mBio, 15(5), doi:10.1128/mbio.00455-24.
28. Schmitt, Julian, Kai-Chih Tseng, Mimi Hughes, and Nathaniel C Johnson, May 2024: Illuminating snow droughts: The future of western United States snowpack in the SPEAR large ensemble. JGR Atmospheres, 129(10), doi:10.1029/2023JD039754.
29. Wang, Hai, Xiao-Tong Zheng, Wenju Cai, Zi-Wen Han, Shang-Ping Xie, Sarah M Kang, Yu-Fan Geng, Fukai Liu, Chuan-Yang Wang, Yue Wu, Baoqiang Xiang, and Lei Zhou, May 2024: Atmosphere teleconnections from abatement of China aerosol emissions exacerbate Northeast Pacific warm blob events. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 121(21), doi:10.1073/pnas.2313797121.
30. Zhang, Liping, Thomas L Delworth, Xiaosong Yang, Fanrong Zeng, Qinxue Gu, and Shouwei Li, May 2024: Causes and multiyear predictability of the rapid acceleration of U.S. Southeast Sea level rise after 2010. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7, 113, doi:10.1038/s41612-024-00670-w.
31. Zhao, Ming, May 2024: Cloud radiative effects associated with daily weather regimes. Geophysical Research Letters, 51(10), doi:10.1029/2024GL109090.
32. Cheng, Kai-Yuan, Shian-Jiann Lin, Lucas Harris, and Linjiong Zhou, April 2024: Supercells and tornado-like vortices in an idealized global atmosphere model. Earth and Space Science, 11(5), doi:10.1029/2023EA003368.
33. Cooper, Vincent T., Kyle Armour, Gregory J Hakim, Jessica E Tierney, Matthew B Osman, Cristian Proistosescu, Yue Dong, Natalie J Burls, Timothy Andrews, Daniel E Amrhein, Jiang Zhu, Wenhao Dong, Yi Ming, and Philip Chmielowiec, April 2024: Last Glacial Maximum pattern effects reduce climate sensitivity estimates. Science Advances, 10(16), doi:10.1126/sciadv.adk9461.
34. Guendelman, Ilai, Timothy M Merlis, Kai-Yuan Cheng, Lucas Harris, Christopher S Bretherton, Maximilien Bolot, Linjiong Zhou, Alex Kaltenbaugh, Spencer K Clark, and Stephan Fueglistaler, April 2024: The precipitation response to warming and CO2 increase: A comparison of a global storm resolving model and CMIP6 models. Geophysical Research Letters, 51(7), doi:10.1029/2023GL107008.
35. Jong, Bor-Ting, Hiroyuki Murakami, Thomas L Delworth, and William F Cooke, April 2024: Contributions of tropical cyclones and atmospheric rivers to extreme precipitation trends over the northeast US. Earth's Future, 12(4), doi:10.1029/2023EF004370.
36. Lin, Meiyun, Larry W Horowitz, Ming Zhao, Lucas Harris, Paul Ginoux, John P Dunne, Sergey Malyshev, Elena Shevliakova, Hamza Ahsan, Stephen T Garner, Fabien Paulot, Arman Pouyaei, Steven J Smith, Yuanyu Xie, Niki Zadeh, and Linjiong Zhou, April 2024: The GFDL variable-resolution global chemistry-climate model for research at the nexus of US climate and air quality extremes. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 16(4), doi:10.1029/2023MS003984.
37. Paulot, Fabien, Gabrielle Pétron, Andrew M Crotwell, and Matteo B Bertagni, April 2024: Reanalysis of NOAA H2 observations: Implications for the H2 budget. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 24(7), doi:10.5194/acp-24-4217-20244217-4229.
38. Wang, He, Robert Hallberg, A Wallcraft, Brian K Arbic, and Eric P Chassignet, April 2024: Improving global barotropic tides with sub-grid scale topography. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 16(4), doi:10.1029/2023MS004056.
39. Willson, Justin L., Kevin A Reed, Christiane Jablonowski, James Kent, Peter H Lauritzen, Ramachandran Nair, Mark A Taylor, Paul A Ullrich, Colin M Zarzycki, David M Hall, Don Dazlich, Ross Heikes, Celal Konor, David A Randall, Thomas Dubos, Yann Meurdesoif, Xi Chen, and Lucas Harris, et al., April 2024: DCMIP2016: The tropical cyclone test case. Geoscientific Model Development, 17(7), doi:10.5194/gmd-17-2493-20242493-2507.
40. Xiang, Baoqiang, Bin Wang, Guosen Chen, and Thomas L Delworth, April 2024: Prediction of diverse boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation in GFDL SPEAR model. Journal of Climate, 37(7), doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0601.12217–2230.