Most Recent GFDL Publications

October 2024 - Present

1. Santos, Luan F., Joseph Mouallem, and Pedro S Peixoto, February 2025: Analysis of finite-volume transport schemes on cubed-sphere grids and an accurate scheme for divergent winds. Journal of Computational Physics, 522, 113618, doi:10.1016/j.jcp.2024.113618.
2. Dussin, Raphael, January 2025: Four generations of ECMWF reanalyses: An overview of the successes in modeling precipitation and remaining challenges for freshwater budget of ocean models. Earth and Space Science, 12(1), doi:10.1029/2024EA003844.
3. Tong, Mingjing, Linjiong Zhou, Kun Gao, Lucas Harris, Alex Kaltenbaugh, Xi Chen, and Baoqiang Xiang, January 2025: Improved weather predictions through data assimilation for GFDL SHiELD. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, doi:10.1002/qj.4930.
4. Abramowitz, Gab, Anna Ukkola, Sanaa Hobeichi, Jon Cranko Page, Mathew Lipson, Martin G De Kauwe, Samuel Green, Claire Brenner, Jonathan Frame, Grey Nearing, Martyn Clark, Martin Best, Peter Anthoni, Gabriele Arduini, Souhail Boussetta, Silvia Caldararu, Kyeungwoo Cho, Matthias Cuntz, David Fairbairn, Craig Ferguson, Hyungjun Kim, Yeonjoo Kim, Jürgen Knauer, David Lawrence, Xiangzhong Luo, and Sergey Malyshev, et al., December 2024: On the predictability of turbulent fluxes from land: PLUMBER2 MIP experimental description and preliminary results. Biogeosciences, 21(23), doi:10.5194/bg-21-5517-20245517-5528.
5. Gao, Kun, Joseph Mouallem, and Lucas Harris, December 2024: What are the finger-like clouds in the hurricane inner-core region? Geophysical Research Letters, 51(23), doi:10.1029/2024GL110810.
6. Krasting, John P., Stephen M Griffies, Jan-Erik Tesdal, Graeme A MacGilchrist, Rebecca L Beadling, and Christopher M Little, December 2024: Steric sea level rise and relationships with model drift and water mass representation in GFDL CM4 and ESM4. Journal of Climate, 37(24), doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0591.1.
7. Labe, Zachary M., Thomas L Delworth, Nathaniel C Johnson, and William F Cooke, December 2024: Exploring a data-driven approach to identify regions of change associated with future climate scenarios. JGR Machine Learning and Computation, 1(4), doi:10.1029/2024JH000327.
8. Lanzante, John R., December 2024: Efficient and accurate shortcuts for calculating the extended heat index. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 63(12), doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-24-0081.11589-1594.
9. Lanzante, John R., December 2024: A new heat stress index for climate change assessment. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105(12), doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0030.1.
10. Martin, Adrian P., Angela Bahamondes Dominguez, Chelsey A Baker, Chloé M J Baumas, Kelsey M Bisson, Emma Cavan, Mara Freilich, Eric D Galbraith, Martí Galí, Stephanie A Henson, Karin F Kvale, Carsten Lemmen, and Jessica Y Luo, et al., December 2024: When to add a new process to a model – and when not: A marine biogeochemical perspective. Ecological Modelling, 498, doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2024.110870.
11. Merlis, Timothy M., Ilai Guendelman, Kai-Yuan Cheng, Lucas Harris, Yan-Ting Chen, Christopher S Bretherton, Maximilien Bolot, Linjiong Zhou, Alex Kaltenbaugh, Spencer K Clark, and Stephan Fueglistaler, December 2024: The vertical structure of tropical temperature change in global storm-resolving model simulations of climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 51(23), doi:10.1029/2024GL111549.
12. Morioka, Yushi, Liping Zhang, William F Cooke, Masami Nonaka, Swadhin K Behera, and Syukuro Manabe, December 2024: Role of anthropogenic forcing in Antarctic sea ice variability simulated in climate models. Nature Communications, 15, 10511, doi:10.1038/s41467-024-54485-7.
13. Ross, Andrew C., Charles A Stock, Vimal Koul, Thomas L Delworth, Feiyu Lu, Andrew T Wittenberg, and Michael A Alexander, December 2024: Dynamically downscaled seasonal ocean forecasts for North American east coast ecosystems. Ocean Science, 20(6), doi:10.5194/os-20-1631-20241631-1656.
14. Sillmann, Jana, Timothy H Raupach, and Kirsten L Findell, et al., December 2024: Climate extremes and risks: links between climate science and decision-making. Frontiers in Climate, 6, doi:10.3389/fclim.2024.1499765.
15. Silvy, Yona, Thomas L Frölicher, Jens Terhaar, Fortunat Joos, Friedrich A Burger, Fabrice Lacroix, Myles Allen, Raffaele Bernardello, Laurent Bopp, Victor Brovkin, Jonathan R Buzan, Patricia Cadule, Martin R Dix, John P Dunne, Pierre Friedlingstein, Goran Georgievski, Tomohiro Hajima, Stuart Jenkins, Michio Kawamiya, Nancy Y Kiang, Vladimir Lapin, Donghyun Lee, Paul Lerner, Nadine Mengis, Estela A Monteiro, David J Paynter, Glen P Peters, Anastasia Romanou, Jörg Schwinger, Sarah Sparrow, Eric Stofferahn, Jerry Tjiputra, Etienne Tourigny, and Tilo Ziehn, December 2024: AERA-MIP: Emission pathways, remaining budgets, and carbon cycle dynamics compatible with 1.5 and 2 °C global warming stabilization. Earth System Dynamics, 15(6), doi:10.5194/esd-15-1591-20241591-1628.
16. Sospedra-Alfonso, Reinel, William J Merryfield, Matthew Toohey, Claudia Timmreck, Jean-Paul Vernier, Ingo Bethke, Yiguo Wang, Roberto Bilbao, Markus G Donat, Pablo Ortega, Jason N S Cole, Woo-Sung Lee, Thomas L Delworth, David J Paynter, Fanrong Zeng, and Liping Zhang, et al., December 2024: Decadal prediction centers prepare for a major volcanic eruption. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105(12), doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0111.1.
17. Yoon, Donghyuck, Jan-Huey Chen, and Eunkyo Seo, December 2024: Contribution of land-atmosphere coupling in 2022 CONUS compound drought-heatwave events and implications for forecasting. Weather and Climate Extremes, 46, 100722, doi:10.1016/j.wace.2024.100722.
18. Zhang, Shipeng, Vaishali Naik, David J Paynter, Simone Tilmes, and Jasmin G John, December 2024: Assessing GFDL-ESM4.1 climate responses to a stratospheric aerosol injection strategy intended to avoid overshoot 2.0°C warming. Geophysical Research Letters, 51(23), doi:10.1029/2024GL113532.
19. Zhou, Linjiong, Lucas Harris, Jan-Huey Chen, Kun Gao, Kai-Yuan Cheng, Mingjing Tong, Alex Kaltenbaugh, Matthew J Morin, Joseph Mouallem, Lauren Chilutti, and Lily Johnston, December 2024: Bridging the gap between global weather prediction and global storm-resolving simulation: Introducing the GFDL 6.5-km SHiELD. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 16(12), doi:10.1029/2024MS004430.
20. Beadling, Rebecca L., Pu Lin, John P Krasting, William Ellinger, Anna Coomans, James Milward, Katherine Turner, Xiaoqi Xu, Torge Martin, and Maria J Molina, November 2024: From the surface to the stratosphere: Large-scale atmospheric response to Antarctic meltwater. Geophysical Research Letters, 51(21), doi:10.1029/2024GL110157.
21. Dong, Wenhao, Ming Zhao, Lucas Harris, Kai-Yuan Cheng, Linjiong Zhou, and V Ramaswamy, November 2024: Contrasting response of mesoscale convective systems occurrence over tropical land and ocean to increased sea surface temperature. Geophysical Research Letters, 51(21), doi:10.1029/2024GL109251.
22. Hou, Yurong, Shang-Ping Xie, Nathaniel C Johnson, Chunzai Wang, Changhyun Yoo, Kaiqiang Deng, Weijun Sun, and Xichen Li, November 2024: Unveiling the Indian Ocean forcing on winter eastern warming – western cooling pattern over North America. Nature Communications, 15, 9654, doi:10.1038/s41467-024-53921-y.
23. Kalashnikov, Dmitri A., Frances V Davenport, Zachary M Labe, Paul C Loikith, John T Abatzoglou, and Deepti Singh, November 2024: Predicting cloud-to-ground lightning in the western United States from the large-scale environment using explainable neural networks. JGR Atmospheres, 129(22), doi:10.1029/2024JD042147.
24. Li, Shouwei, Liping Zhang, Thomas L Delworth, William F Cooke, Se-Yong Song, and Qinxue Gu, November 2024: Mitigation-driven global heat imbalance in the late 21st century. Communications Earth and Environment, 5, 651, doi:10.1038/s43247-024-01849-y.
25. Lopez, Hosmay, Sang-Ki Lee, Robert West, Dongmin Kim, Gregory R Foltz, Ghassan J Alaka Jr, and Hiroyuki Murakami, November 2024: Projected increase in the frequency of extremely active Atlantic hurricane seasons. Science Advances, 10(46), doi:10.1126/sciadv.adq7856.
26. Mahowald, Natalie M., and Paul Ginoux, et al., November 2024: Letter to the Editor regarding Chappell et al., 2023, “Satellites reveal Earth's seasonally shifting dust emission sources”. Science of the Total Environment, 949, 174792, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174792.
27. Morioka, Yushi, Syukuro Manabe, Liping Zhang, Thomas L Delworth, William F Cooke, Masami Nonaka, and Swadhin K Behera, November 2024: Antarctic sea ice multidecadal variability triggered by Southern Annular Mode and deep convection. Communications Earth and Environment, 5, 633, doi:10.1038/s43247-024-01783-z.
28. Murakami, Hiroyuki, November 2024: Effect of regional anthropogenic aerosols on tropical cyclone frequency of occurrence. Geophysical Research Letters, 51(21), doi:10.1029/2024GL110443.
29. Negrete-García, Gabriela, Jessica Y Luo, Colleen M Petrik, Manfredi Manizza, and Andrew D Barton, November 2024: Changes in Arctic Ocean plankton community structure and trophic dynamics on seasonal to interannual timescales. Biogeosciences, 21(22), doi:10.5194/bg-21-4951-20244951-4973.
30. Sanderson, Benjamin, Ben B B Booth, and John P Dunne, et al., November 2024: The need for carbon-emissions-driven climate projections in CMIP7. Geoscientific Model Development, 17(22), doi:10.5194/gmd-17-8141-2024.
31. Schreck, Carl J., David R Easterling, Joseph J Barsugli, David A Coates, Andrew Hoell, Nathaniel C Johnson, Kenneth E Kunkel, Zachary M Labe, John Uehling, Russell S Vose, and Xiangdong Zhang, November 2024: A rapid response process for evaluating causes of extreme temperature events in the United States: The 2023 Texas/Louisiana heat wave as a prototype. Environmental Research Climate, 3(4), doi:10.1088/2752-5295/ad8028.
32. Wei, Xinyue, and Rong Zhang, November 2024: Weakening of the AMOC and strengthening of Labrador Sea deep convection in response to external freshwater forcing. Nature Communications, 15, 10357, doi:10.1038/s41467-024-54756-3.
33. Wu, Xian, Stephen G Yeager, Clara Deser, Antonietta Capotondi, Andrew T Wittenberg, and Michael J McPhaden, November 2024: Predictability of tropical Pacific decadal variability is dominated by oceanic Rossby waves. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7, 292, doi:10.1038/s41612-024-00851-7.
34. Zhang, Wei, Baoqiang Xiang, Kai-Chih Tseng, Nathaniel C Johnson, Lucas Harris, Thomas L Delworth, and Ben P Kirtman, November 2024: Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) prediction of atmospheric rivers in the northern winter. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7, 275, doi:10.1038/s41612-024-00827-7.
35. Zhao, Yixin, P Daniël van Denderen, Rémy Denéchère, Jonathan E Falciani, Nis Sand Jacobsen, Themistoklis Konstantinopoulos, Daniel Ottman, Colleen M Petrik, Karline Soetaert, Charles A Stock, and Ken H Andersen, November 2024: FEISTY Fortran library and R package to integrate fish and fisheries with biogeochemical models. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, doi:10.1111/2041-210X.14465.
36. Allen, Robert J., Xueying Zhao, Cynthia A Randles, Ryan J Kramer, Bjørn H Samset, and Christopher J Smith, October 2024: Present-day methane shortwave absorption mutes surface warming relative to preindustrial conditions. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 24(19), doi:10.5194/acp-24-11207-2024.
37. Catalano, Katrina A., Elizabeth J Drenkard, Enrique N Curchitser, Allison C Dedrick, Michelle R Stuart, Humberto R Montes Jr, and Malin L Pinsky, October 2024: The contribution of nearshore oceanography to temporal variation in larval dispersal. Ecology, 105(10), doi:10.1002/ecy.4412.
38. Gu, Qinxue, Liping Zhang, Liwei Jia, Thomas L Delworth, Xiaosong Yang, Fanrong Zeng, William F Cooke, and Shouwei Li, October 2024: Exploring multiyear-to-decadal North Atlantic sea level predictability and prediction using machine learning. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7, 255, doi:10.1038/s41612-024-00802-2.
39. Malsang, Manon, Laure Resplandy, Laurent Bopp, Yangyang Zhao, Sam J Ditkovsky, Fan Yang, Fabien Paulot, and Marina Lévy, October 2024: Contemporary decline in northern Indian Ocean primary production weakly offset by rising atmospheric nitrogen deposition. Frontiers in Marine Science, 11, doi:10.3389/fmars.2024.1418634.
40. Reichl, Brandon G., Andrew T Wittenberg, Stephen M Griffies, and Alistair Adcroft, October 2024: Improving equatorial upper ocean vertical mixing in the NOAA/GFDL OM4 model. Earth and Space Science, 11(10), doi:10.1029/2023EA003485.
41. van Denderen, P D., Nis Sand Jacobsen, Ken H Andersen, Julia L Blanchard, Camilla Novaglio, Charles A Stock, and Colleen M Petrik, October 2024: Estimating fishing exploitation rates to simulate global catches and biomass changes of pelagic and demersal fish. Earth's Future, 12(10), doi:10.1029/2024EF004604.
42. Zhou, Xuan, Lu Wang, Pang-Chi Hsu, Tim Li, and Baoqiang Xiang, October 2024: Understanding the factors controlling MJO prediction skill across events. Journal of Climate, 37(20), doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0635.15323-5336.
43. Zorzetto, Enrico, Sergey Malyshev, Paul Ginoux, and Elena Shevliakova, October 2024: A global–land snow scheme (GLASS) v1.0 for the GFDL Earth System Model: formulation and evaluation at instrumented sites. Geoscientific Model Development, 17(19), doi:10.5194/gmd-17-7219-20247219-7244.