Most Recent GFDL Publications

October – December 2018

Bhatia, Kieran, Gabriel A Vecchi, Hiroyuki Murakami, Seth D Underwood, and J Kossin, October 2018: Projected Response of Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Intensification in a Global Climate Model. Journal of Climate, 31(20), DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0898.1 .

Bronselaer, Benjamin, Michael Winton, Stephen M Griffies, William J Hurlin, K B Rodgers, Olga V Sergienko, Ronald J Stouffer, and J L Russell, November 2018: Change in future climate due to Antarctic meltwater. Nature, 564(7734), DOI:10.1038/s41586-018-0712-z .

Claret, M, E D Galbraith, J B Palter, D Bianchi, K Fennel, D Gilbert, and John P Dunne, October 2018: Rapid coastal deoxygenation due to ocean circulation shift in the northwest Atlantic. Nature Climate Change, 8(10), DOI:10.1038/s41558-018-0263-1 .

Dupuis, Christopher, and C Schumacher, October 2018: Using Lomb-Scargle Analysis to Derive Empirical Orthogonal Functions from Gappy Meteorological Data. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 57(10), DOI:10.1175/JAMC-D-17-0250.1 .

FitzMaurice, A, and Alon A Stern, October 2018: Parameterizing the Basal Melt of Tabular Icebergs. Ocean Modelling, 130, DOI:10.1016/j.ocemod.2018.08.005 .

Fiore, Arlene M., E V Fischer, S P Deolal, O Wild, D A Jaffe, J Staehelin, O E Clifton, G P Milly, D J Bergmann, W J Collins, F Dentener, R Doherty, B N Duncan, B Fischer, S Gilge, P G Hess, and Larry W Horowitz, et al., October 2018: Peroxy acetyl nitrate (PAN) measurements at northern midlatitude mountain sites in April: a constraint on continental source–receptor relationships. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 18(20), DOI:10.5194/acp-18-15345-2018 .

Garner, Stephen T., October 2018: Ground-truth-model evaluation of sub-grid orographic base-flux parameterization. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 75(10), DOI:10.1175/JAS-D-17-0368.1 .

Hazelton, Andrew T., Morris A Bender, Matthew J Morin, Lucas Harris, and Shian-Jiann Lin, October 2018: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Forecasts From a High-Resolution Version of the GFDL fvGFS Model: Evaluation of Track, Intensity, and Structure. Weather and Forecasting, 33(5), DOI:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0056.1 .

Hill, S A., Yi Ming, and Ming Zhao, December 2018: Robust responses of the Sahelian hydrological cycle to global warming. Journal of Climate, 31(24), DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0238.1 .

Janoski, Tyler P., Anthony J Broccoli, Sarah B Kapnick, and Nathaniel C Johnson, November 2018: Effects of Climate Change on Wind-Driven Heavy Snowfall Events over Eastern North America. Journal of Climate, 31(22), DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0756.1 .

Jeevanjee, Nadir, and D M Romps, November 2018: Mean precipitation change from a deepening troposphere. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115(45), DOI:10.1073/pnas.1720683115 .

Krasting, John P., Ronald J Stouffer, Stephen M Griffies, Robert Hallberg, Sergey Malyshev, Bonita L Samuels, and Lori T Sentman, November 2018: Role of Ocean Model Formulation in Climate Response Uncertainty. Journal of Climate, 31(22), DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0035.1 .

Lee, Minjin, C Jung, Elena Shevliakova, and Sergey Malyshev, et al., October 2018: Control of Nitrogen Exports From River Basins to the Coastal Ocean: Evaluation of Basin Management Strategies for Reducing Coastal Hypoxia. Journal of Geophysical Research, 123(10), DOI:10.1029/2018JG004436 .

Li, Weiwei, Z Wang, G Zhang, M S Peng, S G Benjamin, and Ming Zhao, December 2018: Subseasonal Variability of Rossby Wave Breaking and Impacts on Tropical Cyclones during the North Atlantic Warm Season. Journal of Climate, 31(23), DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0880.1 .

Liao, W, X Liu, Dan Li, M Luo, D Wang, S Wang, and Jane Baldwin, et al., October 2018: Stronger Contributions of Urbanization to Heat Wave Trends in Wet Climates. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(20), DOI:10.1029/2018GL079679 .

Lim, Hyung-Gyu, Jong-Yeon Park, and J-S Kug, October 2018: Impact of chlorophyll bias on the tropical Pacific mean climate in an earth system model. Climate Dynamics, 51(7-8), DOI:10.1007/s00382-017-4036-8 .

Lu, Feiyu, and Zhengyu Liu, November 2018: Assessing Extratropical Influence on Observed El Nino-Southern Oscillation Events Using Regional Coupled Data Assimilation. Journal of Climate, 31(21), DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0849.1 .

Murakami, Hiroyuki, E Levin, Thomas L Delworth, Richard G Gudgel, and P-C Hsu, October 2018: Dominant effect of relative tropical Atlantic warming on major hurricane occurrence. Science, 362(6416), DOI:10.1126/science.aat6711 .

Ocko, I B., Vaishali Naik, and David J Paynter, October 2018: Rapid and reliable assessment of methane impacts on climate. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 18(21), DOI:10.5194/acp-18-15555-2018 .

Pascale, S, Sarah B Kapnick, S Bordoni, and Thomas L Delworth, October 2018: The influence of CO2 forcing on North American monsoon moisture surges. Journal of Climate, 31(19), DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0007.1 .

Ray, Sulagna, Andrew T Wittenberg, Stephen M Griffies, and Fanrong Zeng, December 2018: Understanding the Equatorial Pacific Cold Tongue Time-Mean Heat Budget, Part I: Diagnostic Framework. Journal of Climate, 31(24), DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0152.1 .

Ray, Sulagna, Andrew T Wittenberg, Stephen M Griffies, and Fanrong Zeng, December 2018: Understanding the Equatorial Pacific Cold Tongue Time-Mean Heat Budget, Part II: Evaluation of the GFDL-FLOR Coupled GCM. Journal of Climate, 31(24), DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0153.1 .

Reichl, Brandon G., and Robert Hallberg, December 2018: A Simplified Energetics Based Planetary Boundary Layer (ePBL) Approach for Ocean Climate Simulations. Ocean Modelling, 132, DOI:10.1016/j.ocemod.2018.10.004 .

Resplandy, Laure, R F Keeling, Y A Eddebbar, M K Brooks, R Wang, L Bopp, M Long, John P Dunne, W Koeve, and A Oschlies, November 2018: Quantification of ocean heat uptake from changes in atmospheric O2 and CO2 composition. Nature, 563(7729), DOI:10.1038/s41586-018-0651-8 .

Rieder, H E., Arlene M Fiore, O E Clifton, G Correa, Larry W Horowitz, and Vaishali Naik, November 2018: Combining model projections with site-level observations to estimate changes in distributions and seasonality of ozone in surface air over the USA. Atmospheric Environment, 193, DOI:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2018.07.042 .

Schenkel, B A., N Lin, D Chavas, and Gabriel A Vecchi, et al., October 2018: Lifetime Evolution of Outer Tropical Cyclone Size and Structure as Diagnosed from Reanalysis and Climate Model Data. Journal of Climate, 31(19), DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0630.1 .

Smith, D M., A A Scaife, E Hawkins, R Bilbao, G J Boer, M Caian, L-P Caron, G Danabasoglu, and Thomas L Delworth, et al., November 2018: Predicted chance that global warming will temporarily exceed 1.5°C. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(21), DOI:10.1029/2018GL079362 .

Smyth, J E., S A Hill, and Yi Ming, November 2018: Simulated Responses of the West African Monsoon and Zonal‐Mean Tropical Precipitation to Early Holocene Orbital Forcing. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(21), DOI:10.1029/2018GL080494 .

Sulman, Benjamin N., et al., November 2018: Multiple models and experiments underscore large uncertainty in soil carbon dynamics. Biogeochemistry, 141(2), DOI:10.1007/s10533-018-0509-z .

Sulpis, O, B P Boudreau, A Mucci, C Jenkins, D S Trossman, B K Arbic, and Robert M Key, November 2018: Current CaCO3 dissolution at the seafloor caused by anthropogenic CO2. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115(46), DOI:10.1073/pnas.1804250115 .

Tarshish, Nathaniel, R Abernathey, C Zhang, C O Dufour, I Frenger, and Stephen M Griffies, October 2018: Identifying Lagrangian Coherent Vortices in a Mesoscale Ocean Model. Ocean Modelling, 130, DOI:10.1016/j.ocemod.2018.07.001 .

Tong, Mingjing, et al., December 2018: Impact of Assimilating Aircraft Reconnaissance Observations on Tropical Cyclone Initialization and Prediction using Operational HWRF and GSI Ensemble-Variational Hybrid Data Assimilation. Monthly Weather Review, 146(12), DOI:10.1175/MWR-D-17-0380.1 .

Tsujino, H, S Urakawa, H Nakano, J Small, W M Kim, S G Yeager, G Danabasoglu, T Suzuki, J L Bamber, M Bentsen, C Boning, A Bozec, E P Chassignet, E N Curchitser, F B Dias, P J Durack, and Stephen M Griffies, et al., October 2018: JRA-55 based surface dataset for driving ocean–sea-ice models (JRA55-do). Ocean Modelling, 130, DOI:10.1016/j.ocemod.2018.07.002 .

van der Wiel, Karin, Sarah B Kapnick, Gabriel A Vecchi, J A Smith, P C D Milly, and Liwei Jia, October 2018: 100-yr Lower-Mississippi floods in a global climate model: characteristics and future changes. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 19(10), DOI:10.1175/JHM-D-18-0018.1 .

Van Oostende, N, R Dussin, Charles A Stock, Andrew D Barton, E N Curchitser, John P Dunne, and B B Ward, November 2018: Simulating the ocean’s chlorophyll dynamic range from coastal upwelling to oligotrophy. Progress in Oceanography, 168, DOI:10.1016/j.pocean.2018.10.009 .

Yamamoto, A, J B Palter, C O Dufour, Stephen M Griffies, D Bianchi, M Claret, John P Dunne, I Frenger, and E D Galbraith, October 2018: Roles of the ocean mesoscale in the horizontal supply of mass, heat, carbon and nutrients to the Northern Hemisphere subtropical gyres. Journal of Geophysical Research, 123(10), DOI:10.1029/2018JC013969 .

Yang, Xiaosong, Liwei Jia, Sarah B Kapnick, Thomas L Delworth, Gabriel A Vecchi, Richard G Gudgel, Seth D Underwood, and Fanrong Zeng, November 2018: On the seasonal prediction of the western United States El Niño precipitation pattern during the 2015/16 winter. Climate Dynamics, 51(9-10), DOI:10.1007/s00382-018-4109-3 .

Yoo, C, and Nathaniel C Johnson, et al., November 2018: Subseasonal Prediction of Wintertime East Asian Temperature Based on Atmospheric Teleconnections. Journal of Climate, 31(22), DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0811.1 .