Moss, R., et al., 2010: The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. Nature, 463, 747-756.
Taylor, K. E., R. J. Stouffer, and G. A. Meehl, 2012: An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93, 485-498.
CHAPTER 2 – Observations: Atmosphere and Surface
Knutson, T. R., et al., 2010: Tropical cyclones and climate change, Nature Geoscience, 3, 157-163.
Scinocca, J, D B Stephenson, T Bailey, and John Austin, November 2010: Estimates of past and future ozone trends from multi-model simulations using a flexible smoothing spline methodology. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115, D00M12, DOI:10.1029/2009JD013622
Vecchi, G.A., and T.R. Knutson (2008). On Estimates of Historical North Atlantic Topical Cyclone Activity. J. Climate, 21(14),3580-3600.
Vecchi, G.A., and T.R. Knutson (2011):Estimating annual numbers of Atlantic hurricanes missing from the HURDAT database (1878-1965) using ship track density. J. Climate, 24(6), 1736-1746, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3810.1
Vecchi, G.A., B.J. Soden, A.T. Wittenberg, I.M. Held, A. Leetmaa, and M.J. Harrison (2006). Weakening of tropical Pacific atmospheric circulation due to anthropogenic forcing. Nature. v.441, doi:10.1038/nature04744.
Vecchi, G.A., and B.J. Soden (2007). Increased Tropical Atlantic Wind Shear in Model Projections of Global Warming, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L08702, doi:10.1029/2006GL028905.
Villarini, G., J. Smith, and G. Vecchi, 2013: Changing Frequency of Heavy Rainfall over the Central United States. Journal of Climate, 26, 351-357.
CHAPTER 5 – Information from Paleoclimate Archives
DiNezio, P. N., A. Clement, G. A. Vecchi, B. Soden, A. J. Broccoli, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, and P. Braconnot, 2011: The response of the Walker circulation to Last Glacial Maximum forcing: Implications for detection in proxies. Paleoceanography, 26, PA3217.
Lamarque, J. F., et al., 2010: Historical (1850-2000) gridded anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions of reactive gases and aerosols: methodology and application. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10, 7017-7039.
Zhang, R., and T. L. Delworth, 2005: Simulated tropical response to a substantial weakening of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation. Journal of Climate, 18, 1853-1860.
Zhang, R., and T. L. Delworth, 2006: Impact of Atlantic multidecadal oscillations on India/Sahel rainfall and Atlantic hurricanes. Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L17712.
CHAPTER 6 – Carbon and Other Biogeochemical Cycles
Baker, D. F., et al., 2006: TransCom 3 inversion intercomparison: Impact of transport model errors on the interannual variability of regional CO2 fluxes, 1988?2003. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 20, GB1002.
Bianchi, D., J. P. Dunne, J. L. Sarmiento, and E. D. Galbraith, 2012: Data-based estimates of suboxia, denitrification and N2O production in the ocean and their sensitivity to dissolved O2. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 26, GB2009.
Cocco, V., et al., 2013: Oxygen and indicators of stress for marine life in multi-model global warming projections. Biogeosciences, 10, 1849-1868.
Crévoisier, C., D. Nobileau, A. M. Fiore, R. Armante, A. Chédin, and N. A. Scott, 2009: Tropospheric methane in the tropics – first year from IASI hyperspectral infrared observations. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 9, 6337-6350.
Dentener, F., et al., 2006: The global atmospheric environment for the next generation. Environmental Science & Technology, 40, 3586-3594.
Deutsch, C., J. L. Sarmiento, D. M. Sigman, N. Gruber, and J. P. Dunne, 2007: Spatial coupling of nitrogen inputs and losses in the ocean. Nature, 445, 163-167.
Dunne, J. P., et al., 2012a: GFDL’s ESM2 global coupled climate-carbon Earth System Models. Part II: Carbon system formation and baseline simulation characteristics. Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00150.1.10/12, in press.
Dunne, J. P., et al., 2012b: GFDL’s ESM2 global coupled climate-carbon Earth System Models Part I: Physical formulation and baseline simulation characteristics. Journal of Climate, 25, 6646-6665.
Friedlingstein, P., et al., 2006: Climate-carbon cycle feedback analysis: Results from the C4MIP model intercomparison.Journal of Climate, 19, 3337-3353.
Fung, I., J. John, J. Lerner, E. Matthews, M. Prather, L. P. Steele, and P. J. Fraser, 1991: Three-dimensional model synthesis of the global methane cycle. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 96, 13033-13065.
Gnanadesikan, A., J. P. Dunne, and J. John, 2012: Understanding why the volume of suboxic waters does not increase over centuries of global warming in an Earth System Model. Biogeosciences, 9, 1159-1172.
from the Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project (ACCMIP), Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 13, 2063-2090, 10.5194/acp-13-2063-2013, 2013.
Lamarque, J. F., et al., 2013: The Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project (ACCMIP): overview and description of models, simulations and climate diagnostics. Geoscience Model Development, 6, 179-206.
Sarmiento, J. L., T. M. C. Hughes, R. J. Stouffer, and S. Manabe, 1998: Simulated response of the ocean carbon cycle to anthropogenic climate warming. Nature, 393, 245-249.
Sentman, L. T., E. Shevliakova, R. J. Stouffer, and S. Malyshev, 2011: Time scales of terrestrial carbon response related to land-use application: Implications for initializing an Earth System Model. Earth Interactions, 15, 1-16.
Voulgarakis, A., et al., 2013: Analysis of present day and future OH and methane lifetime in the ACCMIP simulations. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 13, 2563-2587.
CHAPTER 7 – Clouds and Aerosols
Baughman, E., A. Gnanadesikan, A. Degaetano, and A. Adcroft, 2012: Investigation of the surface and circulation impacts of cloud-brightening geoengineering. Journal of Climate, 25, 7527-7543.
Donner, L. J., et al., 2011: The dynamical core, physical parameterizations, and basic simulation characteristics of the atmospheric component AM3 of the GFDL global coupled model CM3. Journal of Climate, 24, 3484–3519
Ghan, S. J., H. Abdul-Razzak, A. Nenes, Y. Ming, X. Liu, and M. Ovchinnikov, 2011: Droplet nucleation: Physicallybased parameterizations and comparative evaluation. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 3, M10001.
Golaz, J-C, V E Larson, and W R Cotton, December 2002: A PDF based model for boundary layer clouds. Part I: Method and model description. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 59(24), DOI:10.1175/1520-0469(2002)059<3519:SSAMVI>2.0.CO;2.
Golaz, J-C, M Salzmann, Leo J Donner, Larry W Horowitz, Yi Ming, and Ming Zhao, July 2011: Sensitivity of the aerosol indirect effect to subgrid variability in the cloud parameterization of the GFDL Atmosphere General Circulation Model AM3. Journal of Climate, 24(13), DOI:10.1175/2010JCLI3945.1.
Guo, Huan, J-C Golaz, Leo J Donner, D P Schanen, and B M Griffin, October 2010: Multi-variate probability density functions with dynamics for cloud droplet activation in large-scale models: Single column tests. Geoscientific Model Development, 3(2), DOI:10.5194/gmd-3-475-2010.
Hill, S., and Y. Ming, 2012: Nonlinear climate response to regional brightening of tropical marine stratocumulus. Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L15707.
Klein, Stephen A., and co-authors, May 2009: Intercomparisons of model simulations of mixed-phase clouds observed during the ARM Mixed-Phase Arctic Cloud Experiment. Part I: Single layer cloud. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 135(641), DOI:10.1002/qj.416.
Larson, V E., and J-C Golaz, et al., May 2001: Systematic biases in the microphysics and
thermodynamics of numerical models that ignore subgrid-scale variability. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 58(9), DOI:10.1175/1520-0469(2001)058<1117:SBITMA>2.0.CO;2.
Larson, V E., and J-C Golaz, April 2005: Using probability density functions to derive consistent closure relationships among higher-order moments. Monthly Weather Review, 133(4), DOI:10.1175/MWR2902.1.
Lee, Y. H., et al., 2013: Evaluation of preindustrial to present-day black carbon and its albedo forcing from Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project (ACCMIP). Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 13, 2607-2634
Ming, Y., V. Ramaswamy, P. A. Ginoux, L. W. Horowitz, and L. M. Russell, 2005: Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory general circulation model investigation of the indirect radiative effects of anthropogenic sulfate aerosol. Journal of Geophysical Research, 110, D22206.
Ming, Y., V. Ramaswamy, L. J. Donner, V. T. J. Phillips, S. A. Klein, P. A. Ginoux, and L. W. Horowitz, 2007b: Modeling the interactions between aerosols and liquid water clouds with a self-consistent cloud scheme in a general circulation model. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 64, 1189-1209.
Ming, Y., V. Ramaswamy, and G. Persad, 2010: Two opposing effects of absorbing aerosols on global-mean precipitation. Geophysical Research Letters, 37, L13701.
Ocko, I. B., V. Ramaswamy, P. Ginoux, Y. Ming, and L. W. Horowitz, 2012: Sensitivity of scattering and absorbing aerosol direct radiative forcing to physical climate factors. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117, D20203.
Randall, D. A., et al., 2007: Climate Models and Their Evaluation. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press.
Salzmann, M, Yi Ming, J-C Golaz, Paul Ginoux, H Morrison, A Gettelman, M Krämer, and Leo J Donner, August 2010: Two-moment bulk stratiform cloud microphysics in the GFDL AM3 GCM: description, evaluation, and sensitivity tests. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 10(16), DOI:10.5194/acp-10-8037-2010.
Seager, R., N. Naik and G.A. Vecchi (2010): Thermodynamic and dynamic mechanisms for large-scale changes in the hydrological cycle in response to global warming. J. Climate, 23(17), 4670-4687 doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3655.1
Shindell, D.T., J.-F. Lamarque, M. Schulz, M. Flanner, et al., 2013: Radiative forcing in the ACCMIP historical and future climate simulations, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 13, 2939-2974, doi:10.5194/acp-13-2939-2013
Soden, B.J., and G.A. Vecchi (2011): The Vertical Distribution of Cloud Feedback in Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Models. Geophys. Res. Lett., doi:10.1029/2011GL047632
Stephens, G L., T L’Ecuyer, J M Forbes, A Gettelman, J-C Golaz, A Bodas-Salcedo, K Suzuki, P Gabriel, and J Haynes, December 2010: Dreary state of precipitation in global models. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115, D24211, DOI:10.1029/2010JD014532.
Stevens, B, and co-authors, June 2005: Evaluation of large-eddy simulations via observations of nocturnal marine stratocumulus. Monthly Weather Review, 133(6), DOI:10.1175/MWR2930.1.
Xie, S.-P., C. Deser, G. A. Vecchi, J. Ma, H. Teng, and A. T. Wittenberg, 2010: Global warming pattern formation: Sea surface temperature and rainfall. Journal of Climate, 23, 966–986.
CHAPTER 8 – Anthropogenic and Natural Radiative Forcing
Bollasina, M. A., Y. Ming, and V. Ramaswamy, 2011: Anthropogenic Aerosols and the Weakening of the South Asian 42 Summer Monsoon. Science, doi:10.1126/science.1204994.
Bowman, K. W., et al., 2013: Evaluation of ACCMIP outgoing longwave radiation from tropospheric ozone using TES satellite observations, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 4057-4072.
Fiore, A. M., et al., 2009: Multimodel estimates of intercontinental source-receptor relationships for ozone pollution. J. Geophys. Res., 114, D04301.
Findell, K. L., E. Shevliakova, P. C. D. Milly, and R. J. Stouffer, 2007: Modeled impact of anthropogenic land cover change on climate. Journal of Climate, 20, 3621-3634.
WMO. 2010. Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion: 2010. Global Ozone Research and Monitoring Project-Report No. 52, Geneva, Switzerland: World Meteorological Organization.
Horowitz, L. W., 2006: Past, present, and future concentrations of tropospheric ozone and aerosols: Methodology, ozone evaluation, and sensitivity to aerosol wet removal. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 111, D22211.
Ming, Y., V. Ramaswamy, L. J. Donner, V. T. J. Phillips, S. A. Klein, P. A. Ginoux, and L. W. Horowitz, 2007b: Modeling the interactions between aerosols and liquid water clouds with a self-consistent cloud scheme in a general circulation model. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 64, 1189-1209.
Ming, Y., and V. Ramaswamy, 2012: Nonlocal component of radiative flux perturbation. Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L22706.
Ming, Y., V. Ramaswamy, and G. Chen, 2011: A Model Investigation of Aerosol-Induced Changes in Boreal Winter Extratropical Circulation. Journal of Climate, 24, 6077-6091.
Ming, Y., V. Ramaswamy, and G. Persad, 2010: Two opposing effects of absorbing aerosols on global-mean precipitation. Geophysical Research Letters, 37, L13701.
Naik, V., D. L. Mauzerall, L. W. Horowitz, M. D. Schwarzkopf, V. Ramaswamy, and M. Oppenheimer, 2007: On the sensitivity of radiative forcing from biomass burning aerosols and ozone to emission location. Geophysical Research Letters, 34, L03818
Shindell, D., M. Schulz, Y. Ming, T. Takemura, G. Faluvegi, and V. Ramaswamy, 2010: Spatial scales of climate response to inhomogeneous radiative forcing. Journal of Geophysical Research-
Atmospheres, 115, D19110.
Stenchikov, G., T. L. Delworth, V. Ramaswamy, R. J. Stouffer, A. Wittenberg, and F. R. Zeng, 2009: Volcanic signals in oceans. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 114, D16104.
Stevenson, D. S., P. J. Young, V. Naik, J. F. Lamarque, D. T. Shindell, A. Voulgarakis, et al., 2013: Tropospheric ozone changes, radiative forcing and attribution to emissions in the Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project (ACCMIP). Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 13, 3063-3085.
CHAPTER 9 – Evaluation of Climate Models
Austin, J., and R. J. Wilson, 2006: Ensemble simulations of the decline and recovery of stratospheric ozone. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 111, D16314.
Beare, R J., and co-authors, 2006: An intercomparison of large-eddy simulations of the stable boundary layer. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 118, DOI:10.1007/s10546-004-2820-6.
Bender, M. A., T. R. Knutson, R. E. Tuleya, J. J. Sirutis, G. A. Vecchi, S. T. Garner, and I. M. Held, 2010: Modeled Impact of Anthropogenic Warming on the Frequency of Intense Atlantic Hurricanes. Science, 327, 454-458.
Bollasina, M. A., and Y. Ming, 2013: The general circulation model precipitation bias over the southwestern equatorial Indian Ocean and its implications for simulating the South Asian monsoon. Climate Dynamics, 40, 823-838.
DiNezio, P.N., A.C. Clement, G.A. Vecchi, B.J. Soden, B.P. Kirtman, S.-K. Lee (2009): Climate Response of the Equatorial Pacific to Global Warming. J. Climate, doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2982.1
Dubovik, O., T. Lapyonok, Y. J. Kaufman, M. Chin, P. Ginoux, R. A. Kahn, and A. Sinyuk, 2008: Retrieving global aerosol sources from satellites using inverse modeling. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 8, 209–250.
Fox-Kemper, B, G Danabasoglu, R Ferrari, Stephen M Griffies, Robert W Hallberg, M M Holland, M E Maltrud, S L Peacock, and Bonita L Samuels, July 2011: Parameterization of mixed layer eddies. III: Implementation and impact in global ocean climate simulations. Ocean Modelling, 39(1-2), DOI:10.1016/j.ocemod.2010.09.002.
Fox-Kemper, B, R Ferrari, and Robert W Hallberg, 2008: Parameterization of mixed layer eddies. Part I: Theory and diagnosis. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 38(6), DOI:10.1175/2007JPO3792.1.
Eyring, V., et al., 2013: Long-term ozone changes and associated climate impacts in CMIP5 simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50316, in press.
Ginoux, P., D. Garbuzov, and N. C. Hsu, 2010: Identification of anthropogenic and natural dust sources using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Deep Blue level 2 data. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 115, D05204.
Ginoux, P., J. M. Prospero, T. E. Gill, N. C. Hsu, and M. Zhao, 2012a: Global-scale attribution of anthropogenic and natural dust sources and their emission rates based on MODIS Deep Blue aerosol products. Reviews of Geophysics, 50, RG3005.
Ginoux, P., L. Clarisse, C. Clerbaux, P.-F. Coheur, O. Dubovik, N. C. Hsu, and M. Van Damme, 2012b: Mixing of dust and NH3 observed globally over anthropogenic dust sources Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 12, 7351-7363.
Golaz, J-C, M Salzmann, Leo J Donner, Larry W Horowitz, Yi Ming, and Ming Zhao, July 2011: Sensitivity of the aerosol indirect effect to subgrid variability in the cloud parameterization of the GFDL Atmosphere General Circulation Model AM3. Journal of Climate, 24(13), DOI:10.1175/2010JCLI3945.1.
Grousset, F. E., P. Ginoux, A. Bory, and P. E. Biscaye, 2003: Case study of a Chinese dust plume reaching the French Alps. Geophysical Research Letters, 30, L22701.
Hallberg, R., and A. Adcroft, 2009: Reconciling estimates of the free surface height in Lagrangian vertical coordinate ocean models with mode-split time stepping. Ocean Modelling, 29, 15-26.
Chen, C. T., and T. Knutson, 2008: On the verification and comparison of extreme rainfall indices from climate models, Journal of Climate, 21, 1605-1621.
Chin, M., T. Diehl, P. Ginoux, and W. Malm, 2007: Intercontinental transport of pollution and dust aerosols: implications for regional air quality. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 7, 5501-5517.
Delworth, T. L., et al., 2006: GFDL’s CM2 global coupled climate models. Part I: Formulation and simulation characteristics. Journal of Climate, 19, 643–674.
Gurney, K. R., et al., 2003: TransCom 3 CO2 inversion intercomparison: 1. Annual mean control results and sensitivity to transport and prior flux information. Tellus Series B-Chemical and Physical Meteorology, 55, 555-579.
Hallberg, Robert W., and Anand Gnanadesikan, 2006: The role of eddies in determining the structure and response of the wind-driven Southern Hemisphere overturning: Results from the modeling eddies in the Southern Ocean (MESO) project. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 36(12), 2232-2252.
Henson, S. A., D. Raitsos, J. P. Dunne, and A. McQuatters-Gollop,2009: Decadal variability in biogeochemical models: Comparison with a 50-year ocean colour dataset. Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L21601.
Horowitz, L. W., et al., 2003: A global simulation of tropospheric ozone and related tracers: Description and evaluation of MOZART, version 2. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 108, 4784.
Ilicak, M., A. J. Adcroft, S. M. Griffies, and R. W. Hallberg, 2012: Spurious dianeutral mixing and the role of momentum closure. Ocean Modelling, 45-46, 37-58.
Jackson, L, Robert W Hallberg, and Sonya Legg, May 2008: A Parameterization of shear-driven turbulence for ocean climate models. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 38(5), DOI:10.1175/2007JPO3779.1.
Levy II, H., L. W. Horowitz, M. D. Schwarzkopf, Y. Ming, J.-C. Golaz, V. Naik, and V. Ramaswamy, 2013: The roles of aerosol direct and indirect effects in past and future climate change. Journal of Geophysical Research, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50192.
Milly, P. C. D., and A. B. Shmakin, 2002: Global modeling of land water and energy balances. Part I: the land dynamics (LaD) model. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 3, 283-299.
Legg, Sonya, Tal Ezer, Stephen M Griffies, Robert W Hallberg, and L Jackson, et al., May 2009: Improving oceanic overflow representation in climate models: The gravity current entrainment climate process team. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90(5), DOI:10.1175/2008BAMS2667.1.
Legg, Sonya, L Jackson, and Robert W Hallberg, 2008: Eddy-resolving modeling of overflows In Ocean Modeling in an Eddying Regime, Geophysical Monograph 177, M. W. Hecht, and H. Hasumi, eds., Washington, DC, American Geophysical Union, 63-82.
Levy II, Hiram, Larry W Horowitz, M Daniel Schwarzkopf, Yi Ming, J-C Golaz, Vaishali Naik, and V Ramaswamy, May 2013: The Roles of Aerosol Direct and Indirect Effects in Past and Future Climate Change. Journal of Geophysical Research, 118, DOI:10.1002/jgrd.50192.
Liu, J., D. L. Mauzerall, L. W. Horowitz, P. Ginoux, and A. M. Fiore, 2009: Evaluating inter-continental transport of 31 fine aerosols: (1) Methodology, global aerosol distribution and optical depth. Atmospheric Environment, 43, 32 4327-4338.
Lu, J., G. A. Vecchi, and T. Reichler, 2007: Expansion of the Hadley cell under global warming. Geophysical Research Letters, 34, L06805.
MacKinnon, J., et al., 2009: Using global arrays to investigate internal-waves and mixing. OceanObs09: Sustained Ocean Observations and Information for Society, Venice, Italy, ESAC
Meehl, G. A., G. J. Boer, C. Covey, M. Latif, and R. J. Stouffer, 2000: The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP). Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 81, 313-318.
Meehl, G. A., et al., 2007: The WCRP CMIP3 multimodel dataset – A new era in climate change research. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 88, 1383-1394.
Msadek, Rym, W E Johns, S G Yeager, G Danabasoglu, Thomas L Delworth, and Anthony Rosati, June 2013: The Atlantic Meridional Heat transport at 26.5° N and its relationship with the MOC in the RAPID array and the GFDL and NCAR coupled models. Journal of Climate, 26(12), DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00081.1.
Ocko, I. B., V. Ramaswamy, P. Ginoux, Y. Ming, and L. W. Horowitz, 2012: Sensitivity of scattering and absorbing aerosol direct radiative forcing to physical climate factors. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117, D20203.
Russell, J. L., R. J. Stouffer, and K. W. Dixon, 2006: Intercomparison of the Southern Ocean circulations in IPCC coupled model control simulations. Journal of Climate, 19, 4560-4575.
Seidel, D J., Y Zhang, A Beljaars, J-C Golaz, A R Jacobson, and B Medeiros, September 2012: Climatology of the planetary boundary layer over the continental United States and Europe. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117, D17106, DOI:10.1029/2012JD018143.
Torres, O., P. K. Bhartia, J. R. Herman, A. Sinyuk, P. Ginoux, and B. Holben, 2002: A long-term record of aerosol optical depth from TOMS observations and comparison to AERONET measurements. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 59, 398-413.
Vecchi, G. A., K. L. Swanson, and B. J. Soden, 2008: CLIMATE CHANGE Whither Hurricane Activity? Science, 322, 687-689.
Zhang, R., et al., 2013: Have aerosols caused the observed Atlantic multidecadal variability? Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-12-0331.1.
CHAPTER 10 – Detection and Attribution of Climate Change: from Global to Regional
Gregory, J. M., R. J. Stouffer, S. C. B. Raper, P. A. Stott, and N. A. Rayner, 2002: An observationally based estimate of the climate sensitivity. Journal of Climate, 15, 3117-3121.
Knutson, T. R., F. Zeng, and A. T. Wittenberg, 2013b: Multimodel assessment of regional surface temperature trends: CMIP3 and CMIP5 twentieth-century simulations. Journal of Climate, 26(22), 8709-8743. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00567.1
Mahajan, S., R. Zhang, and T. L. Delworth, 2011: Impact of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC on Arctic surface air temperature and sea ice variability. Journal of Climate, 24, 6573–6581.
Villarini, G., and G. A. Vecchi, 2012: Twenty-first-century projections of North Atlantic tropical storms from CMIP5 models. Nature Climate Change, 2, 604–607.
Villarini, G., and G. A. Vecchi, 2013: Projected increases in North Atlantic tropical cyclone intensity from CMIP5 models. Journal of Climate, 26, 3231-3240.
Young, P. J., et al., 2013: Pre-industrial to end 21st century projections of tropospheric ozone
Zhang, R., and T. L. Delworth, 2009: A new method for attributing climate variations over the Atlantic Hurricane Basin’s main development region. Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L06701.
CHAPTER 11 – Near-term Climate Change: Projections and Predictability
Bollasina, M. A., Y. Ming, and V. Ramaswamy, 2011: Anthropogenic Aerosols and the Weakening of the South Asian 42 Summer Monsoon. Science, doi:10.1126/science.1204994.
DelSole, T, Xiaosong Yang, and M K Tippett, January 2013: Is unequal weighting significantly better than equal weighting for multi-model forecasting? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 139(670), DOI:10.1002/qj.1961.
DiNezio, P., G. A. Vecchi, and A. Clement, 2013: Detectability of Changes in the Walker Circulation in Response to Global Warming. J. Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00531.1.
Fiore, A. M., J. J. West, L. W. Horowitz, V. Naik, and M. D. Schwarzkopf, 2008: Characterizing the tropospheric ozone response to methane emission controls and the benefits to climate and air quality. J. Geophys. Res., 113, D08307.
Fiore, A. M., D. J. Jacob, B. D. Field, D. G. Streets, S. D. Fernandes, and C. Jang, 2002: Linking ozone pollution and climate change: The case for controlling methane. Geophys. Res. Lett., 29, 1919.
Fiore, A. M., et al., 2012: Global air quality and climate. Chemical Society Reviews, 41, 6663-6683.
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John, J. G., A. M. Fiore, V. Naik, L. W. Horowitz, and J. P. Dunne, 2012: Climate versus emission drivers of methane lifetime from 1860–2100. Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 12.
Knutson, T., and S. Manabe, 1995: Time-mean response over the tropical Pacific to increased CO2 in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model, Journal of Climate, 2181-2199.
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Knutson, T. R., et al., 2006: Assessment of Twentieth-Century regional surface temperature trends using the GFDL CM2 coupled models. J. Climate, 19(9), DOI:10.1175/JCLI3709.1.
Lin, C. Y. C., D. J. Jacob, and A. M. Fiore, 2001: Trends in exceedances of the ozone air quality standard in the continental United States, 1980-1998. Atmospheric Environment, 35, 3217-3228.
Manabe, S., R. J. Stouffer, M. J. Spelman, and K. Bryan, 1991: Transient Responses of a Coupled Ocean Atmosphere Model to Gradual Changes of Atmospheric Co2 .1. Annual Mean Response. Journal of Climate, 4, 785-818.
Meehl, G. A., et al., 2009: DECADAL PREDICTION Can It Be Skillful? Bulletin of the American Meteorological
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CHAPTER 14 – Climate Phenomena and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate Change
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