GFDL Newsletter Archive
The GFDL Bulletin – Research Highlights from the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Community. Advancing the Modeling, Understanding, and Prediction of Weather and Climate.
Spring-Summer 2024
- The GFDL variable-resolution global chemistry-climate model for research at the nexus of US climate and air quality extremes
- Greenhouse gas forcing and climate feedback signatures identified in hyperspectral infrared satellite observations
- Changes in United States summer temperatures revealed by explainable neural networks
- Improvements in September Arctic sea ice predictions via assimilation of summer CryoSat-2 sea ice thickness observations
- Enhanced future vegetation growth with elevated carbon dioxide concentrations could increase fire activity
- Linking global terrestrial and ocean biogeochemistry with process-based, coupled freshwater algae-nutrient-solid dynamics in LM3-FANSY v1.0
Winter 2023-2024
- Poleward intensification of midlatitude extreme winds under warmer climate
- Anthropogenic forcing changes coastal tropical cyclone frequency
- Implementation and evaluation of a machine learned mesoscale eddy parameterization into a numerical ocean circulation model
- Skillful multiyear to decadal predictions of sea level in the North Atlantic Ocean and U.S. East Coast
- The importance of dynamic iron deposition in projecting climate change impacts on Pacific Ocean biogeochemistry
- A high-resolution physical-biogeochemical model for marine resource applications in the Northwest Atlantic (MOM6-COBALT-NWA12v1.0)
Fall 2023
- An emerging Asian aerosol dipole pattern reshapes the Asian summer monsoon and exacerbates northern hemisphere warming
- Coherent Mechanistic Patterns of Tropical Land Hydroclimate Changes
- Impacts of the North Atlantic biases on the upper troposphere/lower stratosphere over the extratropical North Pacific
- The role of upper-ocean variations of the Kuroshio-Oyashio Extension in seasonal-to-decadal air-sea heat flux variability
Summer 2023
- Seasonal prediction of North American wintertime cold extremes in the NOAA/GFDL SPEAR forecast system
- A global survey of rotating convective updrafts in the GFDL X-SHiELD 2021 global storm resolving model
- The long-term trends of global land precipitation in GFDL’s CM4 and ESM4 climate models
- Process-oriented diagnostics: principles, practice, community development and common standards
Spring 2023
- Increases in extreme precipitation over the northeast United States using high-resolution climate model simulations
- Assessment and constraint of mesozooplankton in CMIP6 earth system models
- Forcing, cloud feedbacks, cloud masking, and internal variability in the cloud radiative effect satellite record
- A mechanistic sea spray generation function based on the sea state and the physics of bubble bursting
Winter 2022-2023
- Probabilistic extreme SST and marine heatwave forecasts in Chesapeake Bay: A forecast model, skill assessment, and potential value
- Enhanced dust emission following large wildfires due to vegetation disturbance
- Ocean currents break up a tabular iceberg
- Integrated Dynamics-Physics Coupling for Weather to Climate Models: GFDL SHiELD With In-Line Microphysics
- National Academy of Science honors GFDL’s Kirk Bryan for pioneering ocean and climate science
Fall 2022
- A simple conceptual model for the self-sustained multidecadal AMOC variability
- A weakened AMOC may prolong greenhouse gas-induced Mediterranean drying even with significant and rapid climate change mitigation
- Impact of warmer sea surface temperature on the global pattern of intense convection: Insights from a global storm resolving model
- Reduction in near-surface wind speeds with increasing CO2 may worsen winter air quality in the Indo-Gangetic plain
Summer 2022
- Skillful seasonal prediction of North American heat extremes
- Tripling of western us particulate pollution from wildfires in a warming climate
- Substantial global influence of anthropogenic aerosols on tropical cyclones over the past 40 years
- Regional sensitivity patterns of arctic ocean acidification revealed with machine learning
- Oceanic and atmospheric drivers of post-El-Niño chlorophyll rebound in the equatorial pacific
- Sarah Kapnick named NOAA chief scientist
Spring 2022
- Possible anthropogenic enhancement of precipitation in the Sahel-Sudan savanna by remote agricultural irrigation
- Prospects for seasonal prediction of summertime trans-arctic sea ice path
- A study of AR-, TS-, and MCS-associated precipitation and extreme precipitation in present and warmer climates
- Important factors in the tracking of tropical cyclones in operational models
Winter 2021-2022
- Are multi-seasonal forecasts of atmospheric rivers possible?
- S2S prediction in GFDL SPEAR: MJO diversity and teleconnections
- Simulated global coastal ecosystem responses to a half-century increase in river nitrogen loads
- Bridging observations, theory and numerical simulation of the ocean using machine learning
Fall 2021
- Climate science & understanding: Manabe shares Nobel Prize in physics
- The effects of doubling the CO2 concentration on the climate of a general circulation model
- Can existing climate models be used to study anthropogenic changes in tropical cyclone climate?
- Low-frequency variability of surface air temperature in a 1000-year integration of a coupled atmosphere–ocean–land surface model
Summer 2021
- Horizontal circulation across density surfaces contributes substantially to the long-term mean northern Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
- Next-generation regional ocean projections for living marine resource management in a changing climate
- Two-moment bulk cloud microphysics with prognostic precipitation in GFDL’s Atmosphere Model AM4.0: Configuration and performance
- Anthropogenic forcing and response yield observed positive trend in earth’s energy imbalance
Spring 2021
- Climate change is probably increasing the intensity of tropical cyclones
- Ocean biogeochemistry in GFDL’s Earth System Model 4.1 and its response to increasing atmospheric CO2
- Assimilation of satellite-retrieved sea ice concentration and prospects for September predictions of arctic sea ice
- Enhanced climate response to ozone depletion from ozone-circulation coupling
Winter 2020-2021
- The GFDL Earth System Model version 4.1 (GFDL-ESM 4.1): Overall coupled model description and simulation characteristics
- The GFDL Global Atmospheric Chemistry-climate model AM4.1: Model description and simulation characteristics
- Simulations of atmospheric rivers, their variability and response to global warming using GFDL’s new high-resolution general circulation model
- Assessing the influence of COVID-19 on earth’s radiative balance
Fall 2020
- GFDL SHiELD: A unified system for weather-to-seasonal prediction
- A mechanism for the arctic sea ice spring predictability barrier
- Increased risk of the 2019 Alaskan July fires due to anthropogenic activity
- Estuarine forecasts at daily weather to subseasonal time scales
Summer 2020
- Detected climate change in global distribution of tropical cyclones
- Multiple hydrometeors all-sky microwave radiance assimilation in FV3GFS
- Susceptible supply limits the role of climate in the early SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19 pandemic
- Importance of wind and meltwater for observed chemical and physical changes in the Southern Ocean
Spring 2020
- Structure and performance of GFDL’s CM4.0 climate model
- Response of storm-related extreme sea level along the U.S. Atlantic coast to combined weather and climate forcing
- Spear: the next generation GFDL modeling system for seasonal to multidecadal prediction and projection
- Changes in extreme precipitation and landslides over high mountain Asia