Assessment Activities
- “Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change”, an assessment by a WMO Expert Team (Nature Geoscience, March 2010). For a copy of the full article, contact (email): nlomarda@wmo.int
- NOAA State of the Science Fact Sheet on “Atlantic Hurricanes, Climate Variability, and Global Warming”
Publications
- Bibliography (including .pdf versions of abstracts and some full articles)
Technical Notes
- A Note on 20th Century Equatorial Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures as Reconstructed in the LDEO and UKMO Data Sets
- FMS Slab Ocean Model Technical Documentation
Data Sets
- Simulated Atlantic basin and global tropical cyclone track and intensity data sets
- Adjusted observed Atlantic tropical storm or hurricane data sets
Climate Group Research
GFDL Global Warming Simulation
Thomas R. Knutson
Research Meteorologist
Group Leader: GFDL Climate Impacts and Extremes Group
Research Interests
- Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change:
- Has Global Warming Affected Atlantic Hurricane Activity? (Overview web page, Updated Mar. 2017)
- Global Projections of Intense Tropical Cyclone Activity for the Late Twenty-First Century from Dynamical Downscaling of CMIP5/RCP4.5 Scenarios (J. Climate, Sept. 2015).
- Dynamical Downscaling Projections of Twenty-First-Century Atlantic Hurricane Activity: CMIP3 and CMIP5 Model-Based Scenarios (J. Climate,Sept. 2013). See Research Highlight page (summary of article).
- Modeled Impact of Anthropogenic Warming on the Frequency of Intense Atlantic
Hurricanes. Science, Jan. 2010) - How well do we know past Atlantic hurricane activity? A web site on adjusting for “missing storms” in the past Atlantic hurricane data. Adjusted datasets are available here.
- Simulated Hurricane Animations Web Page
- Impacts of Greenhouse Gas-Induced Warming:
- Atlantic Hurricane Activity
- Global Tropical Cyclone Activity (J. Climate, 2015)
- Sahel Drought (Held et al. PNAS paper)
- Summertime Heat Index Values
- Coral Bleaching (Donner et al. PNAS paper)
- Arctic Sea Ice Extent (Zhang and Knutson, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 2013)
- Climate Change Detection and Attribution:
- Observed and simulated fingerprints of multidecadal climate variability, and their contributions to periods of global SST stagnation. Journal of Climate (2017) by M. Barcikowska, T. Knutson, and R. Zhang.
- Prospects for a prolonged slowdown in global warming in the early 21st century. Nature Communications (2016). Supplemental Material.
- Detection of anthropogenic influence on a summertime heat stress index. Climate Dynamics (2016). Supplemental Material.
- Record annual mean warmth over Europe, the northeast Pacific, and the northwest Atlantic during 2014: Assessment of anthropogenic influence. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. (2015)
- Multimodel assessment of extreme annual-mean warm anomalies during 2013 over regions of Australia and the western tropical Pacific. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. (2014).
- Seasonal and annual mean precipitation extremes occurring during
2013: A U.S. focused analysis. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. (2014). See also the Research Highlight. page.
- The Extreme March-May 2012 Warm Anotmaly over the Eastern United States: Global Context and Multimodel Trend Analysis. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. (2013) See Research Highlight page (article summary).
- Arctic Sea Ice Extent in 2012: The role of global climate change. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. (2013)
- Multimodel Assessment of Regional Surface Temperature Trends: CMIP3 and CMIP5 Twentieth-Century Simulations (J. Climate, Nov. 2013). See Research Highlight page (summary of article).
- Simulation of Early 20th Century Global Warming
- Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability and Trends
- Coral Bleaching (Donner et al. PNAS paper)
- Land cover change affects on climate (Findell et al. 2006)
- Observed and simulated fingerprints of multidecadal climate variability, and their contributions to periods of global SST stagnation. Journal of Climate (2017) by M. Barcikowska, T. Knutson, and R. Zhang.
