GFDL - Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory

Future Carbon Uptake Publications

Krasting, John P., John P Dunne, Elena Shevliakova, and Ronald J Stouffer, in press: Trajectory Sensitivity of the Transient Climate Response to Cumulative Carbon Emission. Geophysical Research Letters. 2/14.

Parsons, L A., J Yin, J T Overpeck, Ronald J Stouffer, and Sergey Malyshevin press: Influence of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation on the Monsoon Rainfall and Carbon Balance of the American Tropics. Geophysical Research Letters. DOI:10.1002/2013GL058454. 12/13.

Frolicher, Thomas L.Michael Winton, and Jorge L Sarmiento, in press: Continued global warming after COemissions stoppage. Nature Climate Change. DOI:10.1038/nclimate2060. 12/13.

Gerber, S, L O Hedin, S G Keel, S W Pacala, and Elena Shevliakova, October 2013: Land-use change and nitrogen feedbacks constrain the trajectory of the land carbon sink. Geophysical Research Letters,  40(19), DOI:10.1002/grl.50957.

Shevliakova, ElenaRonald J StoufferSergey MalyshevJohn P Krasting, G C Hurtt, and S W Pacala, October 2013: Historical warming reduced due to enhanced land carbon uptake. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 110(42), DOI:10.1073/pnas.1314047110.

Bony, S, Isaac M Held, and Stephen M Griffies, et al., September 2013: Carbon Dioxide and Climate: Perspectives on a Scientific Assessment In Climate Science for Serving Society Research, Modeling and Prediction Priorities,  DOI:10.1007/978-94-007-6692-1_14.

Resplandy, L, L Bopp, James C Orr, and John P Dunne, June 2013: Role of mode and intermediate waters in future ocean acidification: analysis of CMIP5 models. Geophysical Research Letters40(12), DOI:10.1002/grl.50414.

Dunne, John P.Jasmin JohnElena ShevliakovaRonald J StoufferJohn P KrastingSergey MalyshevP C D MillyLori T SentmanAlistair Adcroft, William F CookeKrista A DunneStephen M GriffiesRobert W HallbergMatthew J HarrisonHiram Levy II, Andrew T Wittenberg, Peter Phillipps, and  Niki Zadeh, April 2013: GFDL’s ESM2 global coupled climate-carbon Earth System Models Part II: Carbon system formulation and baseline simulation characteristicsJournal of Climate, 26(7), DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00150.1.

Winton, MichaelStephen M GriffiesBonita L SamuelsJorge L Sarmiento, and Thomas L Frolicher, April 2013: Connecting Changing Ocean Circulation with Changing Climate. Journal of Climate,  26(7), DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00296.1.

Keller, K M., Thomas L Frolicher, and John P Dunne, et al., December 2012: Variability of the ocean carbon cycle in response to the North Atlantic Oscillation. Tellus B, DOI:10.3402/tellusb.v64i0.18738.

Sentman, Lori T.Elena ShevliakovaRonald J Stouffer, and  Sergey Malyshev, October 2011: Time scales of terrestrial carbon response related to land-use application: Implications for initializing an earth system model. Earth Interactions, 15(30), DOI:10.1175/2011EI401.1.

Kwon, E Y., Jorge L SarmientoJ Robert Toggweiler, and T DeVries, September 2011: The control of atmospheric pCO2 by ocean ventilation change: The effect of the oceanic storage of biogenic carbon. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 25, GB3026, DOI:10.1029/2011GB004059.

Galbraith, E D., E Y Kwon, Anand Gnanadesikan, K B RodgersStephen M Griffies, D BianchiJorge L SarmientoJohn P Dunne, J SimeonRichard D SlaterAndrew T Wittenberg, and Isaac M Held, August 2011: Climate Variability and Radiocarbon in the CM2Mc Earth System Model. Journal of Climate, 24(16), DOI:10.1175/2011JCLI3919.1.

Shevliakova, Elena, S W Pacala, Sergey MalyshevP C D Milly, and Lori T Sentman, et al., June 2009: Carbon cycling under 300 years of land use change: Importance of the secondary vegetation sink. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 23, GB2022, DOI:10.1029/2007GB003176.

Anand GnanadesikanJorge L SarmientoJ Robert Toggweiler, M J Follows, and B K Mignone, July 2008: Impact of oceanic circulation on biological carbon storage in the ocean and atmospheric pCO2Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 22, GB3007, DOI:10.1029/2007GB002958.

Gnanadesikan, Anand, and I Marinov, 2008: Export is not enough: Nutrient cycling and carbon sequestration. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 364, DOI:10.3354/meps07550.

Crevoisier, C, M Gloor, E Gloaquen, Larry W HorowitzJorge L Sarmiento, C Sweeney, and P P Tans, 2006: A direct carbon budgeting approach to infer carbon sources and sinks. Design and synthetic application to complement the NACP observation network. Tellus B, 58B(5), DOI:10.1111/j.1600-0889.2006.00214.x.

Lamarque, J F., J T Kiehl, G P Brasseur, T Butler, P Cameron-Smith, W D Collins, W J Collins, C Granier, D Hauglustaine, P G Hess, E A Holland, Larry W Horowitz, M G Lawrence, D McKenna, P Merilees, M J Prather, K M AchutaRao, D Rotman, D Shindell, and P Thornton, 2005: Assessing future nitrogen deposition and carbon cycle feedback using a multimodel approach: Analysis of nitrogen depositionJournal of Geophysical Research, 110, D19303, DOI:10.1029/2005JD005825.

Matsumoto, K, Jorge L SarmientoRobert M Key, O Aumont, J L Bullister, K Caldeira, J-M Campin, S C Doney, H Drange, J-C Dutay, M J Follows, Y Gao, Anand Gnanadesikan, Nicolas Gruber, A Ishida, F Joos, K Lindsay, E Maier-Reimer, J Marshall, R Matear, Patrick Monfray, A Mouchet, R G Najjar, G-K Plattner, R Schlitzer, Richard D Slater, P S Swathi, I J Totterdell, M-F Weirig, Y Yamanaka, A Yool, and James C Orr, 2004: Evaluation of ocean carbon cycle models with data-based metricsGeophysical Research Letters, 31, L07303, DOI:10.1029/2003GL018970.

Mignone, B K., Jorge L SarmientoRichard D Slater, and  Anand Gnanadesikan, 2004: Sensitivity of sequestration efficiency to mixing processes in the global ocean. Energy, 29(9-10), 1467-1478.

Gnanadesikan, AnandJorge L Sarmiento, and  Richard D Slater, 2003: Effects of patchy ocean fertilization on atmospheric carbon dioxide and biological production. Global Biogeochemical Cycles17(2), 1050, DOI:10.1029/2002GB001940.

Toggweiler, J R.Anand Gnanadesikan, S Carson, R Murnane, and Jorge L Sarmiento, 2003: Representation of the carbon cycle in box models and GCMs: 1. Solubility pump. Global Biogeochemical Cycles17(1), 1026, DOI:10.1029/2001GB001401.

Toggweiler, J R., R Murnane, S Carson, Anand Gnanadesikan, and Jorge L Sarmiento, 2003: Representation of the carbon cycle in box models and GCMs: 2. Organic pump. Global Biogeochemical Cycles17(1), 1027, DOI:10.1029/2001GB001841.

Matsumoto, K, Anand Gnanadesikan, Nicolas Gruber, Robert M Key, and Jorge L Sarmiento, 2003: Inconsistent model uptake of anthropogenic tracers in the Southern Ocean. Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta67(18), Suppl 1, A278.

Orr, James C., E Maier-Reimer, U Mikolajewicz, Patrick Monfray, Jorge L SarmientoJ Robert Toggweiler, N K Taylor, J Palmer, Nicolas Gruber, C L Sabine, C Le Quéré, Robert M Key, and J Boutin, 2001: Estimates of anthropogenic carbon uptake from four three-dimensional global ocean models. Global Biogeochemical Cycles15(1), 43-60.

Stouffer, Ronald J., and Syukuro Manabe, 1999: Response of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model to increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide: Sensitivity to the rate of increase. Journal of Climate, 12(8), 2224-2237.

Sarmiento, Jorge L., T M C HughesRonald J Stouffer, and  Syukuro Manabe, 1998: Simulated response of the ocean carbon cycle to anthropogenic climate warming. Nature, 393(6682), 245-249.

Holland, E A., and Hiram Levy II, et al., July 1997: Variations in the predicted spatial distribution of atmospheric nitrogen deposition and their impact on carbon uptake by terrestrial ecosystems. Journal of Geophysical Research, 102(D13), 15,849-15,866.

Toggweiler, J R., 1995: Anthropogenic CO2: The natural carbon cycle reclaims center stage. Reviews of Geophysics, 33(Supplement), 1249-1252.

Manabe, Syukuro, and  Ronald J Stouffer, 1994: Multiple-century response of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model to an increase of atmospheric carbon dioxide. Journal of Climate7(1), 5-23.

Manabe, SyukuroRonald J Stouffer, and  Michael J Spelman, 1994: Response of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model to increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide. Ambio, 23(1), 44-49.

Cess, R D., and Richard T Wetherald, et al., 1993: Uncertainties in carbon dioxide radiative forcing in atmospheric general circulation models. Science262(5137), 1252-1255.

Stephenson, D B., and Isaac M Held, 1993: GCM response of northern winter stationary waves and storm tracks to increasing amounts of carbon dioxide. Journal of Climate6(10), 1859-1870.

Toggweiler, J R., 1993: Carbon overconsumption. Nature363(6426), 210-211.

Manabe, SyukuroRonald J StoufferMichael J Spelman, and  Kirk Bryan, 1992: Response of a coupled ocean-atmosphere-land surface model to a gradual increase of atmospheric carbon dioxide In The Global Role of Tropical Rainfall, Hampton, Virginia, Deepak Publishing,  93-103.

Manabe, SyukuroRonald J StoufferMichael J Spelman, and  Kirk Bryan, 1992: Transient response of a coupled ocean-atmosphere-land surface model to increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide In Advances in Theoretical Hydrology: A Tribute to Jim Dooge, The Netherlands, Elsevier Science Publishers, 159-173.

Stouffer, Ronald J.Syukuro Manabe, and  Kirk Bryan, 1991: Climatic response to a gradual increase of atmospheric carbon dioxide In Greenhouse-Gas-Induced Climatic Change: A Critical Appraisal of Simulations and Observations, The Netherlands, Elsevier Science Publishers, 129-136.

Wetherald, Richard T., 1991: Changes of temperature and hydrology caused by an increase of atmospheric carbon dioxide as predicted by general circulation models In Global Climate Change and Life on Earth, New York, NY, Chapman and Hall, 1-17.

Manabe, SyukuroKirk Bryan, and  Michael J Spelman, 1990: Transient response of a global ocean-atmosphere model to a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 20(5), 722-749.

Toggweiler, J R., 1990: Bombs and ocean carbon cycles. Nature347, 122-123.

Toggweiler, J R.Keith W Dixon, and  Kirk Bryan, 1989: Simulations of radiocarbon in a coarse-resolution world ocean model 2. Distributions of bomb-produced carbon 14. Journal of Geophysical Research, 94(C6), 8243-8264.

Sarmiento, Jorge L.J Robert Toggweiler, and R G Najjar, 1988: Ocean carbon-cycle dynamics and atmospheric pCO2. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, A, 325, 3-21.

Toggweiler, J R., 1988: Deep-sea carbon, a burning issue. Nature334, 468.

Manabe, Syukuro, and Richard T Wetherald, 1987: Large-scale changes of soil wetness induced by an increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 44(8), 1211-1235.

Manabe, Syukuro, and Richard T Wetherald, 1986: Reduction in summer soil wetness induced by an increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide. Science, 232, 626-628.

Sarmiento, Jorge L., and  J Robert Toggweiler, 1986: A preliminary model of the role of upper ocean chemical dynamics in determining oceanic oxygen and atmospheric carbon dioxide levels In Dynamic Processes in the Chemistry of the Upper Ocean, Plenum Press, 233-240.

Toggweiler, J R., and  Jorge L Sarmiento, 1985: Glacial to interglacial changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide: The critical role of ocean surface water in high latitudes In The Carbon Cycle and Atmospheric CO2: Natural Variations Archean to Present, Geophysical Monograph 32, Washington, DC, American Geophysical Union, 163-184.

Manabe, Syukuro, 1983: Carbon dioxide and climate. Advances in Geophysics, 25, 39-82.

Bryan, Kirk, F G KomroSyukuro Manabe, and  Michael J Spelman, 1982: Transient climate response to increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide. Science, 215, 56-58.

Fels, S, Jerry D MahlmanM Daniel Schwarzkopf, and R W Sinclair, 1980: Stratospheric sensitivity to perturbations in ozone and carbon dioxide: Radiative and dynamical response. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 37(10), 2265-2297.

Manabe, Syukuro, 1971: Estimates of future change of climate due to the increase of carbon dioxide concentration in the air In Man’s Impact on the Climate, Cambridge, MA, The MIT Press, 249-264.

Manabe, Syukuro, 1968: The dependence of atmospheric temperature on the concentrationof carbon dioxide In Global Effects of Environmental Pollution, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, D. Reidel Publishing Co., 25-29.