GFDL - Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory

Bibliography - P C D Milly

  1. Berg, Alexis, J Sheffield, and P C D Milly, January 2017: Divergent surface and total soil moisture projections under global warming. Geophysical Research Letters, 44(1), DOI:10.1002/2016GL071921 .
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  2. Jenni, K E., M B Goldhaber, J Betancourt, J S Baron, R S Bristol, Mary Cantrill, P E Exter, M J Focazio, J W Haines, L E Hay, Leslie Hsu, V F Labson, K D Lafferty, K A Ludwig, and P C D Milly, et al., June 2017: Grand challenges for integrated USGS science—A workshop report, Reston, VA: Open-File Report 2017-1076, U.S. Geological Survey, DOI:10.3133/ofr20171076 94pp.
  3. Milly, P C., and Krista A Dunne, August 2017: A Hydrologic Drying Bias in Water-Resource Impact Analyses of Anthropogenic Climate Change. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 53(4), DOI:10.1111/1752-1688.12538 .
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  4. Berg, Alexis, Kirsten L Findell, B R Lintner, A Giannini, S I Seneviratne, Bart van den Hurk, R Lorenz, A J Pitman, S Hagemann, A Meier, F Cheruy, A Ducharne, Sergey Malyshev, and P C D Milly, September 2016: Land–atmosphere feedbacks amplify aridity increase over land under global warming. Nature Climate Change, 6(9), DOI:10.1038/nclimate3029 .
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  5. Lee, M, Elena Shevliakova, Sergey Malyshev, P C D Milly, and P R Jaffe, July 2016: Climate variability and extremes, interacting with nitrogen storage, amplify eutrophication risk. Geophysical Research Letters, 43(14), DOI:10.1002/2016GL069254 .
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  6. Milly, P C., and Krista A Dunne, October 2016: Potential evapotranspiration and continental drying. Nature Climate Change, 6(10), DOI:10.1038/nclimate3046 .
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  7. Williamson, T N., E A Nystrom, and P C D Milly, November 2016: Sensitivity of the projected hydroclimatic environment of the Delaware River basin to formulation of potential evapotranspiration. Climatic Change, 139(2), DOI:10.1007/s10584-016-1782-2 .
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  8. Milly, P C., J Betancourt, M Falkenmark, R M Hirsch, Z W Kundzewicz, D Lettenmaier, Ronald J Stouffer, M D Dettinger, and V Krysanova, September 2015: On Critiques of “Stationarity is Dead: Whither Water Management?”. Water Resources Research, 51(9), DOI:10.1002/2015WR017408 .
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  9. Kapnick, Sarah B., Thomas L Delworth, M Ashfaq, Sergey Malyshev, and P C D Milly, November 2014: Snowfall less sensitive to warming in Karakoram than in Himalayas due to a unique seasonal cycle. Nature Geoscience, 7(11), DOI:10.1038/ngeo2269 .
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  10. Lee, M, Sergey Malyshev, Elena Shevliakova, P C D Milly, and D A Jaffe, October 2014: Capturing interactions between nitrogen and hydrological cycles under historical climate and land use: Susquehanna watershed analysis with the GFDL Land Model LM3-TAN. Biogeosciences, 11(20), DOI:10.5194/bg-11-5809-2014 .
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  11. Milly, P C., Sergey Malyshev, Elena Shevliakova, Krista A Dunne, Kirsten L Findell, T Gleeson, Zhi Liang, Peter Phillipps, Ronald J Stouffer, and S C Swenson, October 2014: An enhanced model of land water and energy for global hydrologic and earth-system studies. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 15(5), DOI:10.1175/JHM-D-13-0162.1 .
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  12. Subin, Zachary M., P C D Milly, B N Sulman, Sergey Malyshev, and Elena Shevliakova, in press: Resolving terrestrial ecosystem processes along a subgrid topographic gradient for an earth-system model. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions. DOI:10.5194/hessd-11-8443-2014. July 2014.
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  13. Dunne, John P., Jasmin G John, Elena Shevliakova, Ronald J Stouffer, John P Krasting, Sergey Malyshev, P C D Milly, Lori T Sentman, Alistair Adcroft, William F Cooke, Krista A Dunne, Stephen M Griffies, Robert Hallberg, Matthew J Harrison, Hiram Levy II, Andrew T Wittenberg, Peter Phillipps, and Niki Zadeh, April 2013: GFDL's ESM2 global coupled climate-carbon Earth System Models Part II: Carbon system formulation and baseline simulation characteristics. Journal of Climate, 26(7), DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00150.1 .
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  14. Dunne, John P., Jasmin G John, Alistair Adcroft, Stephen M Griffies, Robert Hallberg, Elena Shevliakova, Ronald J Stouffer, William F Cooke, Krista A Dunne, Matthew J Harrison, John P Krasting, Sergey Malyshev, P C D Milly, Peter Phillipps, Lori T Sentman, Bonita L Samuels, Michael J Spelman, Michael Winton, Andrew T Wittenberg, and Niki Zadeh, October 2012: GFDL's ESM2 global coupled climate-carbon Earth System Models Part I: Physical formulation and baseline simulation characteristics. Journal of Climate, 25(19), DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00560.1 .
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  15. Donner, Leo J., Bruce Wyman, Richard S Hemler, Larry W Horowitz, Yi Ming, Ming Zhao, J-C Golaz, Paul Ginoux, Shian-Jiann Lin, M Daniel Schwarzkopf, John Austin, G Alaka, William F Cooke, Thomas L Delworth, Stuart Freidenreich, C Tony Gordon, Stephen M Griffies, Isaac M Held, William J Hurlin, Stephen A Klein, Thomas R Knutson, Amy R Langenhorst, Hyun-Chul Lee, Yanluan Lin, B I Magi, Sergey Malyshev, P C D Milly, Vaishali Naik, Mary Jo Nath, R Pincus, Jeff J Ploshay, V Ramaswamy, Charles J Seman, Elena Shevliakova, Joseph J Sirutis, William F Stern, Ronald J Stouffer, R John Wilson, Michael Winton, Andrew T Wittenberg, and Fanrong Zeng, July 2011: The dynamical core, physical parameterizations, and basic simulation characteristics of the atmospheric component AM3 of the GFDL Global Coupled Model CM3. Journal of Climate, 24(13), DOI:10.1175/2011JCLI3955.1 .
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  16. Milly, P C., and Krista A Dunne, January 2011: On the hydrologic adjustment of climate-model projections: The potential pitfall of potential evapotranspiration. Earth Interactions, 15(1), DOI:10.1175/2010EI363.1 .
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  17. Milly, P C., et al., 2010: Terrestrial water-storage contributions to sea-level rise and variability In Understanding Sea-Level Rise and Variability, Oxford, UK, Wiley-Blackwell, 226-255.
  18. Lettenmaier, D, and P C D Milly, July 2009: Land waters and sea level. Nature Geoscience, 2, DOI:10.1038/ngeo567 .
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  19. Shevliakova, Elena, S W Pacala, Sergey Malyshev, P C D Milly, and Lori T Sentman, et al., June 2009: Carbon cycling under 300 years of land use change: Importance of the secondary vegetation sink. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 23, GB2022, DOI:10.1029/2007GB003176 .
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  20. Milly, P C., J Betancourt, M Falkenmark, R M Hirsch, Z W Kundzewicz, D Lettenmaier, and Ronald J Stouffer, 2008: Stationarity is dead: Whither water management? Science, 319(5863), DOI:10.1126/science.1151915 .
  21. Eng, K, and P C D Milly, 2007: Relating low-flow characteristics to the base flow recession time constant at partial record stream gauges. Water Resources Research, 43, W01201, DOI:10.1029/2006WR005293 .
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  22. Eng, K, P C D Milly, and G D Tasker, November 2007: Flood regionalization: A hybrid geographic and predictor-variable region-of-influence regression method. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 12(6), 585-591.
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  23. Findell, Kirsten L., Elena Shevliakova, P C D Milly, and Ronald J Stouffer, July 2007: Modeled impact of anthropogenic land cover change on climate. Journal of Climate, 20(14), DOI:10.1175/JCLI4185.1 .
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  24. Milly, P C., June 2007: Stationarity is dead. Ground Water News and Views, 4(1), 6, 8.
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  25. Delworth, Thomas L., Anthony J Broccoli, Anthony Rosati, Ronald J Stouffer, V Balaji, J A Beesley, William F Cooke, Keith W Dixon, John P Dunne, Krista A Dunne, J W Durachta, Kirsten L Findell, Paul Ginoux, Anand Gnanadesikan, C Tony Gordon, Stephen M Griffies, Richard G Gudgel, Matthew J Harrison, Isaac M Held, Richard S Hemler, Larry W Horowitz, Stephen A Klein, Thomas R Knutson, P J Kushner, Amy R Langenhorst, Hyun-Chul Lee, Shian-Jiann Lin, Jian Lu, Sergey Malyshev, P C D Milly, V Ramaswamy, J L Russell, M Daniel Schwarzkopf, Elena Shevliakova, Joseph J Sirutis, Michael J Spelman, William F Stern, Michael Winton, Andrew T Wittenberg, Bruce Wyman, Fanrong Zeng, and Rong Zhang, 2006: GFDL's CM2 Global Coupled Climate Models. Part I: Formulation and Simulation Characteristics. Journal of Climate, 19(5), DOI:10.1175/JCLI3629.1 .
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  26. Findell, Kirsten L., Thomas R Knutson, and P C D Milly, 2006: Weak simulated extratropical responses to complete tropical deforestation. Journal of Climate, 19(12), 2835-2850.
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  27. Swenson, S C., and P C D Milly, 2006: Climate model biases in seasonality of continental water storage revealed by satellite gravimetry. Water Resources Research, 42, W03201, DOI:10.1029/2005WR004628 .
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  28. Eng, K, G D Tasker, and P C D Milly, 2005: An analysis of region-of-influence methods for flood regionalization in the Gulf-Atlantic rolling plains. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 41(1), 135-143.
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  29. Milly, P C., March 2005: Trends in the water budget of the Mississippi River basin, 1949-1997 In U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet 2005-3020, 1-2.
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  30. Milly, P C., Krista A Dunne, and A V Vecchia, 2005: Global pattern of trends in streamflow and water availability in a changing climate. Nature, 438(7066), DOI:10.1038/nature04312 .
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  31. Potter, N J., L Zhang, P C D Milly, T A McMahon, and A J Jakeman, 2005: Effects of rainfall seasonality and soil moisture capacity on mean annual water balance for Australian catchments. Water Resources Research, 41, W06007, DOI:10.1029/2004WR003697 .
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  32. Anderson, Jeffrey L., V Balaji, Anthony J Broccoli, William F Cooke, Thomas L Delworth, Keith W Dixon, Leo J Donner, Krista A Dunne, Stuart Freidenreich, Stephen T Garner, Richard G Gudgel, C Tony Gordon, Isaac M Held, Richard S Hemler, Larry W Horowitz, Stephen A Klein, Thomas R Knutson, P J Kushner, Amy R Langenhorst, Ngar-Cheung Lau, Zhi Liang, Sergey Malyshev, P C D Milly, Mary Jo Nath, Jeff J Ploshay, V Ramaswamy, M Daniel Schwarzkopf, Elena Shevliakova, Joseph J Sirutis, Brian J Soden, William F Stern, Lori T Sentman, R John Wilson, Andrew T Wittenberg, and Bruce Wyman, December 2004: The New GFDL global atmosphere and land model AM2–LM2: Evaluation with prescribed SST simulations. Journal of Climate, 17(24), 4641-4673.
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  33. Cazenave, A, P C D Milly, H Douville, J Beaveniste, P Kosuth, and D Lettenmaier, 2004: Space techniques used to measure change in terrestrial waters. EOS, 85(6), 59.
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  34. Manabe, Syukuro, P C D Milly, and Richard T Wetherald, August 2004: Simulated long-term changes in river discharge and soil moisture due to global warming. Hydrological Sciences, 49(4), 625-642.
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  35. Manabe, Syukuro, Richard T Wetherald, P C D Milly, Thomas L Delworth, and Ronald J Stouffer, May 2004: Century-scale change in water availability: CO2-quadrupling experiment. Climatic Change, 64(1-2), DOI:10.1023/B:CLIM.0000024674.37725.ca .
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  36. Milly, P C., 2004: Groundwater Fluxes Across Interfaces, Washington, D.C.: The National Academy Press, 85 pp.
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  37. Milly, P C., A Cazenave, and M C Gennero, 2003: Contribution of climate-driven change in continental water storage to recent sea-level rise. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 100(23), 13158-13161.
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  38. Swenson, S C., J Wahr, and P C D Milly, 2003: Estimated accuracies of regional water storage variations inferred from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE). Water Resources Research, 39(8), 1223, DOI:10.1029/2002WR001808 .
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  39. Milly, P C., and Krista A Dunne, 2002: Macroscale water fluxes 1. Quantifying errors in the estimation of basin mean precipitation. Water Resources Research, 38(10), DOI:10.1029/2001/WR000759 .
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  40. Milly, P C., and Krista A Dunne, 2002: Macroscale water fluxes 2. Water and energy supply control of their interannual variability. Water Resources Research, 38(10), DOI:10.1029/2001/WR000760 .
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  41. Milly, P C., and A B Shmakin, 2002: Global modeling of land water and energy balances. Part I: The land dynamics (LaD) model. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 3(3), 283-299.
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  42. Milly, P C., and A B Shmakin, 2002: Global modeling of land water and energy balances. Part II: Land-characteristic contributions to spatial variability. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 3(3), 301-310.
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  43. Milly, P C., and Richard T Wetherald, 2002: Macroscale water fluxes 3. Effects of land processes on variability of monthly river discharge. Water Resources Research, 38(11), 1235, DOI:10.1029/2001WR000761 .
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  44. Milly, P C., Richard T Wetherald, Krista A Dunne, and Thomas L Delworth, 2002: Increasing risk of great floods in a changing climate. Nature, 415(6871), 514-517.
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  45. Schlosser, C A., and P C D Milly, 2002: A model-based investigation of soil moisture predictability and associated climate predictability. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 3(4), 483-501.
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  46. Shmakin, A B., P C D Milly, and Krista A Dunne, 2002: Global modeling of land water and energy balances. Part III: Interannual variability. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 3(3), 311-321.
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  47. Cubasch, U, G A Meehl, G J Boer, Ronald J Stouffer, M R Dix, A Noda, C A Senior, S C B Raper, K S Yap, A Abe-Ouchi, S Brinkop, M Claussen, M Collins, J Evans, I Fischer-Bruns, J C Fyfe, A Ganopolski, J M Gregory, Z-Z Hu, F Joos, Thomas R Knutson, R Knutti, C Landsea, L Mearns, P C D Milly, J F B Mitchell, T Nozawa, H Paeth, J Räisänen, R Sausen, S Smith, T F Stocker, A Timmermann, U Ulbrich, A J Weaver, J Wegner, P Whetton, T M L Wigley, Michael Winton, and F Zwiers, 2001: Projections of future climate change In Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge, UK, Cambridge University Press, 526-582.
  48. Koster, R D., P A Dirmeyer, P C D Milly, and G Russell, 2001: Comparing GCM-generated land surface water budgets using a simple common framework In Land Surface Hydrology, Meteorology, and Climate: Observations and Modeling, Water Science and Application, Vol. 3, Washington, DC, American Geophysical Union, 95-105.
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  49. Milly, P C., 2001: A minimalist probabilistic description of root zone soil water. Water Resources Research, 37(3), 457-463.
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  50. Milly, P C., and Krista A Dunne, 2001: Trends in evaporation and surface cooling in the Mississippi River basin. Geophysical Research Letters, 28(7), 1219-1222.
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  51. Van Dam, T, J Wahr, P C D Milly, A B Shmakin, G Blewitt, D Lavallée, and V E Larson, 2001: Crustal displacements due to continental water loading. Geophysical Research Letters, 28(4), 651-654.
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  52. Milly, P C., 1999: Comment on "Antiphasing between rainfall in Africa's Rift Valley and North America's Great Basin". Quaternary Research, 51(1), 104-107.
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  53. Milly, P C., 1999: Factors determining the partitioning of precipitation into evaporation and runoff In Global Energy and Water Cycles, Cambridge, UK, Cambridge University Press, 247-253.
  54. Milly, P C., and Krista A Dunne, 1998: Non-detectability of 20th-Century trends in river discharge from large basins: Observational and model-based results In Ninth Symposium on Global Change Studies and Namias Symposium on the Status and Prospects for Climate Prediction, Boston, MA, American Meteorological Society, 162-163.
  55. Chen, T H., and P C D Milly, et al., 1997: Cabauw experimental results from the Project for Intercomparison of Land-Surface Parameterization Schemes. Journal of Climate, 10(6), 1194-1215.
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  56. Koster, R D., and P C D Milly, 1997: The interplay between transpiration and runoff formulations in land surface schemes used with atmospheric models. Journal of Climate, 10(7), 1578-1591.
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  57. Milly, P C., 1997: Sensitivity of greenhouse summer dryness to changes in plant rooting characteristics. Geophysical Research Letters, 24(3), 269-271.
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  58. Milly, P C., 1994: Climate, interseasonal storage of soil water, and the annual water balance. Advances in Water Resources, 17, 19-24.
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  59. Milly, P C., 1994: Climate, soil water storage, and the average annual water balance. Water Resources Research, 30(7), 2143-2156.
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  60. Milly, P C., and Krista A Dunne, 1994: Sensitivity of the global water cycle to the water-holding capacity of land. Journal of Climate, 7(4), 506-526.
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  61. Scanlon, B R., and P C D Milly, 1994: Water and heat fluxes in desert soils 2. Numerical simulations. Water Resources Research, 30(3), 721-733.
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  62. Milly, P C., 1993: An analytic solution of the stochastic storage problem applicable to soil water. Water Resources Research, 29(11), 3755-3758.
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  63. Milly, P C., 1993: Sensitivity of the global water cycle to the water-holding capacity of soils In Exchange Processes at the Land Surface for a Range of Space and Time Scales, IAHS Publication No. 212, Yokohama, Japan, IAHS, 495-501.
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  64. Milly, P C., 1992: Land surface processes and climate variability. EOS, 73(15), 163.
  65. Milly, P C., 1992: Potential evaporation and soil moisture in general circulation models. Journal of Climate, 5(3), 209-226.
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  66. Blain, C A., and P C D Milly, 1991: Development and application of a hillslope hydrologic model. Advances in Water Resources, 14(4), 168-174.
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  67. Milly, P C., 1991: A refinement of the combination equations for evaporation. Surveys in Geophysics, 12, 145-154.
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