Subseasonal Forecast Improvements from Sea Ice Concentration Data Assimilation in the Antarctic
Y. Zhang, M. Bushuk, M. Winton, W. Gregory, B. Hurlin, L. Jia, and F. Lu, 2026, submitted.
A Framework for Hybrid Physics-AI Coupled Ocean Models
L. Zanna, W. Gregory, P. Perezhogin, A. Sane, C. Zhang, A. Adcroft, M. Bushuk, C. Fernandez-Granda, B. Reichl, D. Balwada, J. Busecke, W. Chapman, A. Connolly, D. Du, K. Everard, F. Falasca, R. Falga, D. Kamm, E. Meunier, Q. Liu, A.-A. Nasser, M. Pudig, A. Shao, J.L. Simpson, L. Vogt, J. Wu, 2026, submitted.
Numerical Simulations of Satellite-Sensed Surface Maps in the Marginal Ice Zone
J. Fogarty, E. Bou-Zeid, M. Bushuk, M. Calaf, M. Allouche, and K. Ghannam, 2026, submitted.
Skillful forecasts of springtime CONUS tornado activity up to a year in advance
K.-C. Tseng, N. C. Johnson, A. T. Wittenberg, T. L. Delworth, S.-K. Lee, H. Lopez, D. Kim, A. Kumar, H. Wang, F. Lu, W. Cooke, A. Rosati, L. Zhang, C. McHugh, X. Yang, M. Harrison, F. Zeng, H. Murakami, M. Bushuk and L. Jia, 2026, submitted.
The GFDL-CM4X climate model hierarchy, Part I: model description and thermal properties
S. M. Griffies, A. Adcroft, R. Beadling, M. Bushuk, C.-Y. Chang, H. Drake, R. Dussin, R. Hallberg, W. Hurlin, H. Khatri, J. Krasting, M. Lobo, G. MacGilchrist, B. Reichl, A. Sane, O. Sergienko, M. Sonnewald, J. Steinberg, J.-E. Tesdal, M. Thomas, K. E. Turner, M. L. Ward, M. Winton, N. Zadeh, L. Zanna, R. Zhang, W. Zhang, and M. Zhao, 2025, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 17 (10), 1-58, DOI: 10.1029/2024MS004861.
The GFDL-CM4X climate model hierarchy, Part II: case studies
S. M. Griffies, A. Adcroft, R. Beadling, M. Bushuk, C.-Y. Chang, H. Drake, R. Dussin, R. Hallberg, W. Hurlin, H. Khatri, J. Krasting, M. Lobo, G. MacGilchrist, B. Reichl, A. Sane, O. Sergienko, M. Sonnewald, J. Steinberg, J.-E. Tesdal, M. Thomas, K. E. Turner, M. L. Ward, M. Winton, N. Zadeh, L. Zanna, R. Zhang, W. Zhang, and M. Zhao, 2025, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 17 (10), 1-46, DOI: 10.1029/2024MS004862.
2024
Predicting September Arctic Sea Ice: A Multi-Model Seasonal Skill Comparison Bushuk, M., S. Ali, D. Bailey, Q. Bao, L. Batte, U. S. Bhatt, E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E. Blockley, G. Cawley, J. Chi, F. Counillon, P. Goulet Coulombe, R. Cullather, F. X. Diebold, A. Dirkson, E. Exarchou, M. Gobel, W. Gregory, V. Guemas, L. Hamilton, B. He, S. Horvath, M. Ionita, J. E. Kay, E. Kim, N. Kimura, D. Kondrashov, Z. M. Labe, W. Lee, Y. J. Lee, C. Li, X. Li, Y. Lin, Y. Liu, W. Maslowski, F. Massonnet, W. N. Meier, W. J. Merryfield, H. Myint, J. C. Acosta Navarro, A. Petty, F. Qiao, D. Schroder, A. Schweiger, Q. Shu, M. Sigmond, M. Steele, J. Stroeve, N. Sun, S. Tietsche, M. Tsamados, K. Wang, J. Wang, W. Wang, Y. Wang, Y. Wang, J. Williams, Q. Yang, X. Yuan, J. Zhang, and Y. Zhang, 2024, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105(7), 1170-1203, DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0163.1.
SIPN South: five years of coordinated seasonal Antarctic sea ice predictions
Massonnet, F., S. Barreira, A. Barthelemy, R. Bilbao, E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E. Blockley, D. Bromwich, M. Bushuk, X. Dong, H. F. Goessling, W. Hobbs, D. Iovino, W.-S. Lee, C. Li, W. Meier, W. Merryfield, E. Moreno-Chamarro, Y. Morioka, X. Li, B. Niraula, A. Petty, A. Sanna, M. Scilingo, Q. Shu, M. Sigmond, N. Sun, S. Tietsche, X. Wu, Q. Yang, X. Yuan, 2023, Frontiers in Marine Science, 10, 1-17, DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2023.1148899.
Seasonal prediction and predictability of regional Antarctic sea ice Mitchell Bushuk, Michael Winton, F. Alexander Haumann, Thomas Delworth, Feiyu Lu, Yongfei Zhang, Liwei Jia, Liping Zhang, William Cooke, Matthew Harrison, Bill Hurlin, Nathaniel C. Johnson, Sarah Kapnick, Colleen McHugh, Hiroyuki Murakami, Anthony Rosati, Kai-Chih Tseng, Andrew T. Wittenberg, Xiaosong Yang, Fanrong Zeng, 2021, Journal of Climate, 34, 6207-6233, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0965.1.
An inter-comparison of the mass budget of the Arctic sea ice in CMIP6 models
Ann Keen, Ed Blockley, David Bailey, Jens Boldingh Debernard, Mitchell Bushuk, Steve Delhaye, David Docquier, Daniel Feltham, François Massonnet, Siobhan O’Farrell, Leandro Ponsoni, José Rodriguez, David Schroeder, Neil Swart, Takahiro Toyoda, Hiroyuki Tsujino, Martin Vancoppenolle, and Klaus Wyser, 2021, The Cryosphere, 15, 951–982, DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-951-2021.
Are multiseasonal forecasts of atmospheric rivers possible?
K.-C. Tseng, N. C. Johnson, S. B. Kapnick, T. L. Delworth, F. Lu, W. F. Cooke, A. T. Wittenberg, A. Rosati, L. Zhang, C. McHugh, X. Yang, M. Harrison, F. Zeng, G. Zhang, H. Murakami, M. Bushuk, L. Jia, 2021, Geophysical Research Letters, 48, 1-12, DOI: 10.1029/2021GL094000.
Seasonal Predictability of Baroclinic Wave Activity
G. Zhang, H. Murakami, W. F. Cooke, Z. Wang, L. Jia, F. Lu, X. Yang, T. L. Delworth, A. T. Wittenberg, M. J. Harrison, M. Bushuk, C. McHugh, N. C. Johnson, S. B. Kapnick, K.-C. Tseng, and L. Zhang, 2021, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4(50), 1-11, DOI: 10.1038/s41612-021-00209-3.
The GFDL Global Ocean and Sea Ice Model OM4.0: Model Description and Simulation Features
A. Adcroft, W. Anderson, C. Blanton, M. Bushuk, C. O. Dufour, J. P. Dunne, S. M. Griffies, R. W. Hallberg, M. J. Harrison, I. Held, M. F. Jansen, J. John, J. P. Krasting, A. Langenhorst, S. Legg, Z. Liang, C. McHugh, A. Radhakrishnan, B. G. Reichl, T. Rosati, B. L. Samuels, A. Shao, R. Stouffer, M. Winton, A. T. Wittenberg, B. Xiang, N. Zadeh, R. Zhang, 2019, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11, 1-45, DOI: 10.1029/2019MS001726.
Structure and Performance of GFDL’s CM4.0 Climate Model
I.M. Held, H. Guo, A. Adcroft, J. P. Dunne, L. W. Horowitz, J. Krasting, E. Shevliakova, M. Winton, M. Zhao, M. Bushuk, A. T. Wittenberg, B. Wyman, B. Xiang, R. Zhang, W. Anderson, V. Balaji, L. Donner, K. Dunne, J. Durachta, P. Gauthier, P. Ginoux, J.-C. Golaz, S.M. Griffies, R. Hallberg, L. Harris, M. Harrison, W. Hurlin, J. John, P. Lin, S. J. Lin, S. Malyshev, R. Menzel, P.C.D. Milly, Y. Ming, V. Naik, D. Paynter, F. Paulot, V. Ramaswamy, B. Reichl, T. Robinson, A. Rosati, C. Seman, L. Silvers, S. Underwood, N. Zadeh, 2019, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11, 1-37, DOI: 10.1029/2019MS001829. (GFDL Research Highlight)
Sensitivity of Pine Island Glacier to observed ocean forcing.
Knut Christianson, Mitchell Bushuk, Pierre Dutrieux, Byron R. Parizek, Ian R. Joughin, Richard B. Alley, David E. Shean, Povl Abrahamsen, Sridhar Anandakrishnan, Karen Heywood, Tae-Wan Kim, Sang Hoon Lee, Keith Nicholls, Tim Stanton, Martin Truffer, Benjamin Webber, Adrian Jenkins, Stan Jacobs, Robert Bindschadler, David M. Holland, 2016, Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 10817–10825. DOI: 10.1002/2016GL070500 (Nature research highlight) (Washington Post article)