Mitch Bushuk

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Peer Reviewed Publications: (Google Scholar Profile)

• In Review
• Predicting September Arctic Sea Ice: A Multi-Model Seasonal Skill Comparison
  Bushuk, M., S. Ali, D. Bailey, Q. Bao, L. Batte, U. S. Bhatt, E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E. Blockley, G. Cawley, J. Chi, F. Counillon, P. Goulet Coulombe, R. Cullather, F. X. Diebold, A. Dirkson, E. Exarchou, M. Gobel, W. Gregory, V. Guemas, L. Hamilton, B. He, S. Horvath, M. Ionita, J. E. Kay, E. Kim, N. Kimura, D. Kondrashov, Z. M. Labe, W. Lee, Y. J. Lee, C. Li, X. Li, Y. Lin, Y. Liu, W. Maslowski, F. Massonnet, W. N. Meier, W. J. Merryfield, H. Myint, J. C. Acosta Navarro, A. Petty, F. Qiao, D. Schroder, A. Schweiger, Q. Shu, M. Sigmond, M. Steele, J. Stroeve, N. Sun, S. Tietsche, M. Tsamados, K. Wang, J. Wang, W. Wang, Y. Wang, Y. Wang, J. Williams, Q. Yang, X. Yuan, J. Zhang, and Y. Zhang, 2023, submitted.
• Improvements in September Arctic sea ice predictions via assimilation of summer CryoSat-2 sea ice thickness observations
  Yongfei Zhang, Mitchell Bushuk, Michael Winton, Bill Hurlin, William Gregory, Jack Landy, Liwei Jia, 2023, submitted.
• Open water in sea ice causes high bias in polar low-level clouds in GFDL CM4
  Xia Li, Zhihong Tan, Youtong Zheng, Mitchell Bushuk, Leo J. Donner, 2023, submitted.
• Machine learning for online sea ice bias correction within global ice-ocean simulations
  William Gregory, Mitchell Bushuk, Yongfei Zhang, Alistair Adcroft, Laure Zanna, 2023, submitted.
• Predictability of the Minimum Sea Ice Extent from winter Fram Strait Ice Area Export: Model vs Observations
  Trotechaud, S., B. Tremblay, J. Williams, J. Romanski, A. Romanou, M. Bushuk, R. Msadek, W. Merryfield, 2023, submitted.
• Skillful forecasts of springtime CONUS tornado activity up to a year in advance
  K.-C. Tseng, N. C. Johnson, A. T. Wittenberg, T. L. Delworth, S.-K. Lee, H. Lopez, D. Kim, A. Kumar, H. Wang, F. Lu, W. Cooke, A. Rosati, L. Zhang, C. McHugh, X. Yang, M. Harrison, F. Zeng, H. Murakami, M. Bushuk and L. Jia, 2023, submitted.

• 2023
• Comparing the impacts of Ozone Depleting Substances and Carbon Dioxide on Arctic Sea Ice loss
  Mitchell Bushuk, Lorenzo Polvani, and Mark England, 2023, Environmental Research: Climate, 2(4), 041001, DOI: 10.1088/2752-5295/aced61.
• Deep learning of systematic sea ice model errors from data assimilation increments
  William Gregory, Mitchell Bushuk, Alistair Adcroft, Yongfei Zhang, Laure Zanna, 2023, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15(10), 1-23, DOI: 10.1029/2023MS003757.
• Potential Predictability of the Spring Bloom in the Southern Ocean Sea Ice Zone
  Ben Buchovecky, Graeme MacGilchrist, Mitchell Bushuk, F. Alexander Haumann, Thomas Frolicher, Natacha Le Grix, and John P. Dunne, 2023, Geophysical Research Letters, 50, 1-10, DOI: 10.1029/2023GL105139.
• Forecast skill of the Sea Ice Outlook 2008-2022
  Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., M. Bushuk, F. Massonnet, L. Hamilton, C. M. Bitz, and U. Bhatt, 2023, Geophysical Research Letters, 50, 1-10, DOI: 10.1029/2022GL102531.
• Uncertain role of clouds in shaping summertime atmosphere-sea ice connections in reanalyses and CMIP6 models
  Rui Luo, Qinghua Ding, Xianyao Chen, Zhiwei Wu, Mitchell Bushuk, Hailong Wang, and Ian Baxter, 2023, Climate Dynamics, 61, 1973-1994, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-023-06785-9.
• Reducing the spring barrier in predicting summer Arctic sea ice
  J. Zeng, X. Li, Q. Yang, X. Yuan, M. Bushuk, D. Chen, 2023, Geophysical Research Letters, 50, 1-10, DOI: 10.1029/2022GL102115.
• SIPN South: five years of coordinated seasonal Antarctic sea ice predictions
  Massonnet, F., S. Barreira, A. Barthelemy, R. Bilbao, E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E. Blockley, D. Bromwich, M. Bushuk, X. Dong, H. F. Goessling, W. Hobbs, D. Iovino, W.-S. Lee, C. Li, W. Meier, W. Merryfield, E. Moreno-Chamarro, Y. Morioka, X. Li, B. Niraula, A. Petty, A. Sanna, M. Scilingo, Q. Shu, M. Sigmond, N. Sun, S. Tietsche, X. Wu, Q. Yang, X. Yuan, 2023, Frontiers in Marine Science, 10, 1-17, DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2023.1148899.
• Better synoptic and subseasonal sea ice thickness predictions are urgently required: a lesson learned from the YOPP data validation
  Q. Yang, Y. Xiu, H. Luo, J. Wang, J.C. Landy, M. Bushuk, Y. Wang, J. Liu and D. Chen, 2023, Environmental Research Letters (perspective), 18(7), 1-6, DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acdcaa.
• Subseasonal prediction of regional Antarctic sea ice by a deep learning model
  Yunhe Wang, Xiaojun Yuan, Yibin Ren, Mitchell Bushuk, Qi Shu, Cuihua Li, Xiaofeng Li, 2023, Geophysical Research Letters, 50, 1-10, DOI: 10.1029/2023GL104347.
• Comprehensive representation of tropical-extratropical teleconnections obstructed by tropical Pacific convection biases in CMIP6
  Xiaofang Feng, Qinghua Ding, Liguang Wu, Charles Jones, Huijun Wang, Mitchell Bushuk, and Daniel Topal, 2023, Journal of Climate, 36(20), 7041-7059, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0523.1.

• 2022
• Mechanisms of Regional Arctic Sea Ice Predictability in Two Dynamical Seasonal Forecast Systems
  Mitchell Bushuk, Yongfei Zhang, Michael Winton, Bill Hurlin, Thomas Delworth, Feiyu Lu, Liwei Jia, Liping Zhang, William Cooke, Matthew Harrison, Nathaniel C. Johnson, Sarah Kapnick, Colleen McHugh, Hiroyuki Murakami, Anthony Rosati, Kai-Chih Tseng, Andrew T. Wittenberg, Xiaosong Yang, Fanrong Zeng, 2022, Journal of Climate, 35, 13, 4207-4231, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0544.1.
• Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Sea Ice Forecast Skill Improvement from Sea Ice Concentration Assimilation
  Yongfei Zhang, Mitchell Bushuk, Michael Winton, Bill Hurlin, Thomas Delworth, Matthew Harrison, Liwei Jia, Feiyu Lu, Anthony Rosati, Xiaosong Yang, 2022, Journal of Climate, 35, 13, 4233-4252, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0548.1.
• Prospects for Seasonal Prediction of Summertime Trans-Arctic Sea Ice Path
  Michael Winton, Mitchell Bushuk, Yongfei Zhang, Bill Hurlin, Liwei Jia, Nathaniel C. Johnson, Feiyu Lu, 2022, Journal of Climate, 35, 13, 4253-4263, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0634.1.
• A year-round satellite sea-ice thickness record from CryoSat-2
  Jack C. Landy, Geoffrey J. Dawson, Michel Tsamados, Mitchell Bushuk, Julienne C. Stroeve, Stephen E. L. Howell, Thomas Krumpen, David G. Babb, Alexander S. Komarov, Harry D. B. S. Heorton, Yevgeny Aksenov, 2022, Nature, 609(7927), 517-522, DOI: 10.1038/s41586-022-05058-5.
• Roles of meridional overturning in subpolar Southern Ocean SST trends: Insights from ensemble simulations
  Liping Zhang, Thomas L. Delworth, Sarah Kapnick, Jie He, William Cooke, Andrew T. Wittenberg, Nathaniel C. Johnson, Anthony Rosati, Xiaosong Yang, Feiyu Lu, Mitchell Bushuk, Colleen McHugh, Hiroyuki Murakami, Fanrong Zeng, Liwei Jia, Kai-Chih Tseng, Yushi Morioka, 2022, Journal of Climate, 35, 5, 1577-1596, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0466.1.
• Reassessing seasonal sea ice predictability of the Pacific-Arctic sector using a Markov model
  Yunhe Wang, Xiaojun Yuan, Haibo Bi, Mitchell Bushuk, Yu Liang, Cuihua Li, and Haijun Huang, 2022, The Cryosphere, 16(3), 1141-1156, DOI: 10.5194/tc-16-1141-2022.
• The relative role of the subsurface Southern Ocean in driving negative Antarctic Sea ice extent anomalies in 2016-2021
  Liping Zhang, Thomas L. Delworth, Xiaosong Yang, Fanrong Zeng, Feiyu Lu, Yushi Morioka and Mitchell Bushuk, 2022, Communications Earth & Environment, 3, 1, 302, DOI: 10.1038/s43247-022-00624-1.

• 2021
• Seasonal prediction and predictability of regional Antarctic sea ice
  Mitchell Bushuk, Michael Winton, F. Alexander Haumann, Thomas Delworth, Feiyu Lu, Yongfei Zhang, Liwei Jia, Liping Zhang, William Cooke, Matthew Harrison, Bill Hurlin, Nathaniel C. Johnson, Sarah Kapnick, Colleen McHugh, Hiroyuki Murakami, Anthony Rosati, Kai-Chih Tseng, Andrew T. Wittenberg, Xiaosong Yang, Fanrong Zeng, 2021, Journal of Climate, 34, 6207-6233, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0965.1.
• Assimilation of Satellite-retrieved Sea Ice Concentration and New Prospects for September Predictions of Arctic Sea Ice
  Yong-Fei Zhang, Mitchell Bushuk, Michael Winton, Bill Hurlin, Xiaosong Yang, Tom Delworth, and Liwei Jia, 2021, Journal of Climate, 34, 2107–2126, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0469.1.
• Robust inter-hemispheric asymmetry in the response to symmetric volcanic forcing in model large ensembles
  Andrew Pauling, Mitchell Bushuk, Cecilia Bitz, 2021, Geophysical Research Letters, 48, 1-10, DOI: 10.1029/2021GL092558.
• The dependence of internal multidecadal variability in the Southern Ocean on the ocean background mean state
  Liping Zhang, Thomas L. Delworth, William Cooke, Hugues Goosse, Mitchell Bushuk, Yushi Morioka, Xiaosong Yang, 2021, Journal of Climate, 34, 1061–1080, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0049.1.
• Summertime atmosphere-sea ice coupling in the Arctic simulated by CMIP5/6 models: Importance of large scale circulation
  Rui Luo, Qinghua Ding, Zhiwei Wu, Ian Baxter, Mitchell Bushuk, Yiyi Huang, Xiquan Dong, 2021, Climate Dynamics, 1-19, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05543-5.
• An inter-comparison of the mass budget of the Arctic sea ice in CMIP6 models
  Ann Keen, Ed Blockley, David Bailey, Jens Boldingh Debernard, Mitchell Bushuk, Steve Delhaye, David Docquier, Daniel Feltham, François Massonnet, Siobhan O’Farrell, Leandro Ponsoni, José Rodriguez, David Schroeder, Neil Swart, Takahiro Toyoda, Hiroyuki Tsujino, Martin Vancoppenolle, and Klaus Wyser, 2021, The Cryosphere, 15, 951–982, DOI: 10.5194/tc-15-951-2021.
• Are multiseasonal forecasts of atmospheric rivers possible?
  K.-C. Tseng, N. C. Johnson, S. B. Kapnick, T. L. Delworth, F. Lu, W. F. Cooke, A. T. Wittenberg, A. Rosati, L. Zhang, C. McHugh, X. Yang, M. Harrison, F. Zeng, G. Zhang, H. Murakami, M. Bushuk, L. Jia, 2021, Geophysical Research Letters, 48, 1-12, DOI: 10.1029/2021GL094000.
• Seasonal Predictability of Baroclinic Wave Activity
  G. Zhang, H. Murakami, W. F. Cooke, Z. Wang, L. Jia, F. Lu, X. Yang, T. L. Delworth, A. T. Wittenberg, M. J. Harrison, M. Bushuk, C. McHugh, N. C. Johnson, S. B. Kapnick, K.-C. Tseng, and L. Zhang, 2021, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4(50), 1-11, DOI: 10.1038/s41612-021-00209-3.

• 2020
• A mechanism for the Arctic sea ice spring predictability barrier
  Mitchell Bushuk, Michael Winton, David B. Bonan, Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Thomas Delworth, 2020, Geophysical Research Letters, 47, 1-13, DOI: 10.1029/2020GL088335.
  (GFDL Research Highlight)
• SPEAR – the next generation GFDL modeling system for seasonal to multidecadal prediction and projection
  T. Delworth, W. Cooke, A. Adcroft, M. Bushuk, J-H Chen, P. Ginoux, R. Gudgel, R. Hallberg, L. Harris, M. Harrison, N. Johnson, S. Kapnick, S-J Lin, F. Lu, S. Malyshev, P. C. Milly, H. Murakami, V. Naik, S. Pascale, D. Paynter, A. Rosati, M. D. Schwarzkopf, E. Shevliakova, S. Underwood, A. Wittenberg, B. Xiang, X. Yang, F. Zeng, H. Zhang, L. Zhang, M. Zhao, 2020, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12, 1-36, DOI: 10.1029/2019MS001895.
  (GFDL Research Highlight)
• Arctic Sea Ice in CMIP6
  Sea-Ice Model Intercomparison Project Community (incl. M. Bushuk), 2020, Geophysical Research Letters, 47, 1-11, DOI: 10.1029/2019GL086749.
  (News Articles: Altmetric)
• GFDL’s SPEAR seasonal prediction system: ocean data assimilation (ODA), ocean tendency adjustment (OTA) and coupled initialization
  Feiyu Lu, Matt Harrison, Anthony Rosati, Thomas Delworth, Xiaosong Yang, William Cooke, Liwei Jia, Colleen McHugh, Nathaniel Johnson, Mitchell Bushuk, Yongfei Zhang, Alistair Adcroft, 2020, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 12, 1-31, DOI: 10.1029/2020MS002149.
  (GFDL Research Highlight)
• Integrating Models and Observations to Better Predict a Changing Arctic Sea Ice Cover
  Marika M. Holland, Mitchell Bushuk, Alexandra Jahn, Andrew Roberts, 2020, Arctic Report Card 2020, 123-129, DOI: 10.25923/bx13-ja71.

• 2019
• Ice Scallops: A Laboratory Investigation of the Ice-Water Interface
  Mitchell Bushuk, David M. Holland, Timothy P. Stanton, Alon Stern and Callum Gray, 2019, Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 873, 942-976, DOI: 10.1017/jfm.2019.398
  (JFM Cover Feature)
• The value of sustained ocean observations for sea-ice predictions in the Barents Sea
  Mitchell Bushuk, Xiaosong Yang, Michael Winton, Rym Msadek, Matt Harrison, Anthony Rosati, Rich Gudgel, 2019, Journal of Climate, 32, 7017-7035. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0179.1.
• A spring barrier for regional predictions of Arctic sea ice
  David Bonan, Mitchell Bushuk, and Michael Winton, 2019, Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 1-11, DOI: 10.1029/2019GL082947.
  (GFDL Research Highlight) (UW Research Highlight) (Climate.gov Feature)
• Fingerprints of internal drivers of Arctic sea ice loss in observations and model simulations
  Qinghua Ding, Axel Schweiger, Michelle L’Heureux, Eric J. Steig, David S. Battisti, Nathaniel C. Johnson, Eduardo Blanchard Wrigglesworth, Stephen Po-Chedley, Qin Zhang, Kirstin Harnos, Mitchell Bushuk, Bradley Markle, Ian Baxter, 2019, Nature Geoscience, 12(1), 28, DOI: 10.1038/s41561-018-0256-8.
• The GFDL Global Ocean and Sea Ice Model OM4.0: Model Description and Simulation Features
  A. Adcroft, W. Anderson, C. Blanton, M. Bushuk, C. O. Dufour, J. P. Dunne, S. M. Griffies, R. W. Hallberg, M. J. Harrison, I. Held, M. F. Jansen, J. John, J. P. Krasting, A. Langenhorst, S. Legg, Z. Liang, C. McHugh, A. Radhakrishnan, B. G. Reichl, T. Rosati, B. L. Samuels, A. Shao, R. Stouffer, M. Winton, A. T. Wittenberg, B. Xiang, N. Zadeh, R. Zhang, 2019, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11, 1-45, DOI: 10.1029/2019MS001726.
• Structure and Performance of GFDL’s CM4.0 Climate Model
  I.M. Held, H. Guo, A. Adcroft, J. P. Dunne, L. W. Horowitz, J. Krasting, E. Shevliakova, M. Winton, M. Zhao, M. Bushuk, A. T. Wittenberg, B. Wyman, B. Xiang, R. Zhang, W. Anderson, V. Balaji, L. Donner, K. Dunne, J. Durachta, P. Gauthier, P. Ginoux, J.-C. Golaz, S.M. Griffies, R. Hallberg, L. Harris, M. Harrison, W. Hurlin, J. John, P. Lin, S. J. Lin, S. Malyshev, R. Menzel, P.C.D. Milly, Y. Ming, V. Naik, D. Paynter, F. Paulot, V. Ramaswamy, B. Reichl, T. Robinson, A. Rosati, C. Seman, L. Silvers, S. Underwood, N. Zadeh, 2019, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11, 1-37, DOI: 10.1029/2019MS001829.
  (GFDL Research Highlight)

• 2018
• Regional Arctic sea-ice prediction: Potential versus operational seasonal forecast skill
  Mitchell Bushuk, Rym Msadek, Michael Winton, Gabriel Vecchi, Xiaosong Yang, Anthony Rosati, Rich Gudgel, 2018, Climate Dynamics, 1-23, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4288-y
  (Climate.gov Feature)
• Robustness of Arctic sea-ice predictability in GCMs
  Ed Blanchard-Wrigglesworth and Mitchell Bushuk, 2018, Climate Dynamics, 1–12, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4461-3

• 2017
• Skillful regional prediction of Arctic sea ice on seasonal timescales
  Mitchell Bushuk, Rym Msadek, Michael Winton, Gabriel Vecchi, Rich Gudgel, Anthony Rosati, Xiaosong Yang, 2017, Geophysical Research Letters, 44, 4953–4964. DOI: 10.1002/2017GL073155
  (Princeton News Article)
• The seasonality and interannual variability of Arctic sea-ice reemergence
  Mitchell Bushuk and Dimitrios Giannakis, 2017, Journal of Climate, 30, 4657–4676. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0549.1
• Summer enhancement of Arctic sea-ice volume anomalies in the September-ice zone
  Mitchell Bushuk, Rym Msadek, Michael Winton, Gabriel Vecchi, Rich Gudgel, Anthony Rosati, Xiaosong Yang, 2017, Journal of Climate, 30, 2341-2362. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0470.1
• GPS-derived estimates of surface mass balance and ocean-induced basal melt for Pine Island Glacier ice shelf, Antarctica
  David E. Shean, Knut Christianson, Kristine M. Larson, Stefan R.M. Ligtenberg, Ian R. Joughin, Benjamin E. Smith, C. Max Stevens, Mitchell Bushuk, David M. Holland, 2017, The Cryosphere, 11, 2655-2674. DOI: 10.5194/tc-2016-288

• 2016
• Sensitivity of Pine Island Glacier to observed ocean forcing.
  Knut Christianson, Mitchell Bushuk, Pierre Dutrieux, Byron R. Parizek, Ian R. Joughin, Richard B. Alley, David E. Shean, Povl Abrahamsen, Sridhar Anandakrishnan, Karen Heywood, Tae-Wan Kim, Sang Hoon Lee, Keith Nicholls, Tim Stanton, Martin Truffer, Benjamin Webber, Adrian Jenkins, Stan Jacobs, Robert Bindschadler, David M. Holland, 2016, Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 10817–10825. DOI: 10.1002/2016GL070500
  (Nature research highlight)
  (Washington Post article)

• 2015
• Sea-ice reemergence in a model hierarchy
  Mitchell Bushuk and Dimitrios Giannakis, 2015, Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 5337-5345. Movie S1, DOI: 10.1002/2015GL063972
  (NSIDC research highlight)
• Arctic Sea Ice Reemergence: The role of large-scale oceanic and atmospheric variability
  Mitchell Bushuk, Dimitrios Giannakis, and Andrew J. Majda, 2015, Journal of Climate, 28, 5477-5509. Movie 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. DOI: JCLI-D-14-00354.1

• 2014
• Reemergence mechanisms for North Pacific sea ice revealed through nonlinear Laplacian spectral analysis
  Mitchell Bushuk, Dimitrios Giannakis, and Andrew J. Majda, 2014, Journal of Climate, 27, 6265–6287. Movie 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. DOI: JCLI-D-13-00256.1

 

PhD Thesis:

• • A Statistical and Dynamical Study of Arctic Sea-Ice Variability, May 2015, New York University.