NOAA GFDL - Geophysical Fluid Dynamics LaboratoryGFDL - Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory

Most Recent GFDL Publications

April 2026 - Present

  1. Coulson, Sophie, Andrew Lloyd, Xiyuan Bao, Jerry X Mitrovica, Sönke Dangendorf, Linda Pan, Natasha Valencic, Mark E Tamisiea, David Al-Attar, and Daniel Heathcotte, August 2026: Inverting sea surface height data yields Greenland ice mass changes (1993–2019): A proof of concept. Geophysical Journal International, 246(2), doi:10.1093/gji/ggag187.
  2. Chang, Chuan-Chieh, Zhuo Wang, Ziyu Yan, Ming Zhao, and L Ruby Leung, July 2026: Future projection of tropical upper-tropospheric troughs and implications for tropical cyclone activity. Journal of Climate, 39(13), doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0579.13749-3773.
  3. Lee, Jaeyeon, Xiaosong Yang, Edmund K M Chang, Hiroyuki Murakami, and William F Cooke, July 2026: Sensitivity of northern hemisphere extratropical cyclone properties to atmospheric resolution in the GFDL SPEAR model. Journal of Climate, 39(13), doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0770.13615-3630.
  4. Li, Shouwei, Wei Liu, Liping Zhang, William J M Seviour, and Gavin A Schmidt, July 2026: Stratospheric ozone depletion causes Southern Ocean surface cooling. Geophysical Research Letters, 53(13), doi:10.1029/2025GL120200.
  5. Chu, Wenchao, Jorge L García-Franco, Suzana J Camargo, Chia-Ying Lee, Michael K Tippett, Hiroyuki Murakami, Jane Baldwin, and Samantha Frucht, June 2026: Historical and projected tropical cyclone characteristics in SPEAR large ensemble simulations. Earth's Future, 14(6), doi:10.1029/2025EF007720.
  6. Duncan, James P C, Elynn Wu, Surya Dheeshjith, Adam Subel, Troy Arcomano, Spencer K Clark, Brian Henn, Anna Kwa, Jeremy McGibbon, W Andre Perkins, William Gregory, Carlos Fernandez-Granda, Julius J M Busecke, Oliver Watt-Meyer, William J Hurlin, Alistair Adcroft, Laure Zanna, and Christopher S Bretherton, June 2026: SamudrACE: Fast and accurate coupled climate modeling with 3D ocean and atmosphere emulators. Geophysical Research Letters, 53(11), doi:10.1029/2025GL119340.
  7. Gao, Kun, Lucas Harris, Ping Zhu, Linjiong Zhou, and Joseph Mouallem, June 2026: Integrating a three-dimensional TKE-based subgrid diffusion scheme into GFDL FV3. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 18(6), doi:10.1029/2026MS005916.
  8. He, Shan, Edmund K M Chang, Cheng Zheng, Jaeyeon Lee, and Xiaosong Yang, June 2026: Revealing weekly-scale drivers of North American winter storm-track variability using a causal discovery framework. Journal of Climate, 39(11), doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0497.12969-2983.
  9. Kim, Dongmin, Andrew C Ross, Sang-ik Shin, Fabien A Gomez, Jasmin G John, Denis Volkov, Sang-Ki Lee, Michael A Alexander, and Charles A Stock, June 2026: Dynamically downscaled future projections of the Northwest Atlantic Ocean across low to high emissions scenarios. Ocean Science, 22(3), doi:10.5194/os-22-1987-20261987-2009.
  10. Zhao, Mengnan, Christopher M Little, and John P Krasting, June 2026: An improved approach for evaluating ocean and climate model errors in mean dynamic sea level. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 43(6), doi:10.1175/JTECH-D-25-0086.1687-700.
  11. Chen, Yan-Ting, Timothy M Merlis, Tra Dinh, Stephen M Griffies, John P Krasting, Raphael Dussin, Niki Zadeh, and Stephan Fueglistaler, May 2026: Assessing Earth's energy imbalance trend in the early 21st century in two high-resolution coupled models. Geophysical Research Letters, 53(9), doi:10.1029/2025GL121277.
  12. Chua, Glen, Vaishali Naik, and Larry W Horowitz, May 2026: Role of future climate change, air pollution control, and methane mitigation in driving hydroxyl radical (OH) and methane lifetime. Geophysical Research Letters, 53(9), doi:10.1029/2025GL120136.
  13. Du, Danni, Feiyu Lu, and Alistair Adcroft, May 2026: Reducing model biases with machine learning corrections derived from ocean data assimilation increments. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 18(5), doi:10.1029/2026MS005736.
  14. Gentile, Emanuele S., Vincent E Larson, Ming Zhao, Colin M Zarzycki, Gunilla Svensson, and Leo J Donner, May 2026: Enhancing Great Plains nocturnal precipitation and low-level jets in AM4 with an extended CLUBB closure. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 18(5), doi:10.1029/2025MS005417.
  15. Hosek, Michael J., Kimberly Hoogewind, Adam J Clark, Lucas Harris, Kai-Yuan Cheng, and Linjiong Zhou, May 2026: Quantifying the value of convection-allowing global-nested ensembles for extended-range severe weather forecasting. Weather and Forecasting, 41(5), doi:10.1175/WAF-D-25-0093.1897-917.
  16. Jeevanjee, Nadir, May 2026: Stratospheric cooling explained. Nature Geoscience, doi:10.1038/s41561-026-01951-0.
  17. Joshi, Rajat, and Rong Zhang, May 2026: Impact of the AMOC weakening on upper troposphere/lower stratosphere warming over the extratropical North Pacific. Geophysical Research Letters, 53(9), doi:10.1029/2026GL122116.
  18. Kramer, Ryan J., Chris Smith, and Timothy Andrews, May 2026: The Radiative Forcing Model Intercomparison Project (RFMIP2.0) for CMIP7. Geoscientific Model Development, 19(10), doi:10.5194/gmd-19-4447-20264447-4466.
  19. Pan, Linda, Emma J MacKie, Jerry X Mitrovica, Stewart S R Jamieson, Olga V Sergienko, Robert P Ackert Jr, and Kaighin A McColl, May 2026: Impacts of glacial isostatic adjustment on Antarctic subglacial water routing since the Last Glacial Maximum. JGR Earth Surface, 131(5), doi:10.1029/2025JF008982.
  20. Raju, Meena, David J Cannon, Peter Alsip, He Wang, Jia Wang, Theresa J Cordero, Robert Hallberg, Charles A Stock, and Joseph A Langan, May 2026: Development of a next-generation general ocean circulation model for the Great Lakes. Geoscientific Model Development, 19(10), doi:10.5194/gmd-19-4331-20264331-4356.
  21. Sane, Aakash, Brandon G Reichl, Alistair Adcroft, and Laure Zanna, May 2026: Machine learned equations for vertical mixing coefficients in the ocean surface boundary layer. Geophysical Research Letters, 53(10), doi:10.1029/2026GL122106.
  22. Sun, Liqiang, Keith W Dixon, Kenneth E Kunkel, Xia Sun, and David R Easterling, May 2026: Comparative assessment of LOCA2 and STAR-ESDM downscaled surface temperature over the conterminous United States. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 65(5), doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-25-0176.1633-650.
  23. Zhang, Yating, and Zachary M Labe, May 2026: Chapter 6: Adapting Infrastructure to a Changing Climate with Extreme Event Attribution Assessments Climate-Resilient Structures and Infrastructures [Wang, C, B. Ayyub, and M. Beer (Eds.)], Boca Raton: CRC Press, doi:10.1201/978100356733220pp.
  24. Zhang, Gan, Kuanhui Elaine Lin, Dan Fu, Thomas R Knutson, Jörg Franke, and Wan-Ling Tseng, May 2026: Contextualizing contemporary seasonality variations in East Asian tropical cyclone landfalls with a multi-century historical baseline. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 9, 119, doi:10.1038/s41612-026-01354-3.
  25. Ali Jisan, Mansur, Isaac Ginis, and Kun Gao, April 2026: Impact of land friction on surface wind structure during hurricane landfall. JGR Atmospheres, 131(7), doi:10.1029/2025JD045162.
  26. Chang, Inseong, Young-Ho Kim, Young-Gyu Park, Hyunkeun Jin, Gyundo Pak, Andrew C Ross, and Robert Hallberg, April 2026: Impact of vertical coordinate systems on simulations of barotropic and baroclinic tides in the Yellow Sea using a regional MOM6 configuration for the Northwest Pacific. Geoscientific Model Development, 19(8), doi:10.5194/gmd-19-3053-20263053–3074.
  27. Dingley, Beth, James Anstey, Marta Abalos, Carsten Abraham, Tommi Bergman, Lisa Bock, Sonya Fiddes, Birgit Hassler, Ryan J Kramer, Fei Luo, Fiona M O'Connor, Petr Šácha, Isla Simpson, Laura J Wilcox, and Mark D Zelinka, April 2026: CMIP7 data request: Atmosphere priorities and opportunities. Geoscientific Model Development, 19(7), doi:10.5194/gmd-19-2945-20262945–2984.
  28. Fiedler, Stephanie, Fiona M O'Connor, Duncan Watson-Parris, Robert J Allen, William J Collins, Paul T Griffiths, Matthew Kasoar, Jarmo Kikstra, Jasper F. Kok, Lee T Murray, Fabien Paulot, Maria Sand, Steven T Turnock, James Weber, Laura J Wilcox, and Vaishali Naik, April 2026: AerChemMIP2 – unraveling the role of reactive gases, aerosol particles, and land use for air quality and climate change in CMIP7. Geoscientific Model Development, 19(8), doi:10.5194/gmd-19-3477-20263477-3508.
  29. Findell, Kirsten L., Chaim I Garfinkel, June-Yi Lee, Erik Behrens, Leonard F Borchert, Lijing Cheng, Annalisa Cherchi, Leandro B Diaz, Andrea Dittus, Stephanie Fiedler, Erich Fischer, Alexia Karwat, Yukiko Imada, Fei Luo, Shoshiro Minobe, Suyeon Moon, Scott Osprey, James Risbey, Tiffany A Shaw, Doug Smith, Andrea Steiner, Zhuo Wang, Maureen Wanzala, Jonathon S Wright, and Jeongeun Yun, April 2026: Toward improved understanding and attribution of large-scale circulation changes and associated extremes: Challenges and opportunities. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 107(4), doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-26-0009.1E778-E787.
  30. Friedel, Marina, Gabriel Chiodo, Konstantin Weber, Lorenzo M Polvani, John S Daniel, N Luke Abraham, Sean Davis, Makoto Deushi, Naga Oshima, Larry W Horowitz, Jean-Francois Lamarque, James Keeble, Larissa Nazarenko, and Clara Orbe, April 2026: Confirming the substantial contribution of ozone-depleting halocarbon emissions to global warming during the second half of the 20th century. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 9, 106, doi:10.1038/s41612-026-01398-5.
  31. Jeevanjee, Nadir, David J Paynter, John P Dunne, Lori T Sentman, and John P Krasting, April 2026: On the utility of the transient climate response. Geophysical Research Letters, 53(8), doi:10.1029/2025GL121354.
  32. Morlighem, Mathieu, Raphaelle Charrassin, Niccolo Maffezzoli, Romain Millan, Helen Ockenden, Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel, Helene Seroussi, and Mike Wood, April 2026: New high-resolution subglacial bed topography and coastal bathymetry of the Antarctic and Greenland Ice Sheets. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 384(2319), doi:10.1098/rsta.2024.0538.
  33. Myhre, Gunnar, Øivind Hodnebrog, Srinath Krishnan, Maria Sand, Marit Sandstad, Ragnhild B Skeie, Lieven Clarisse, Bruno Franco, Dylan B Millet, Kelley C Wells, Alexander T Archibald, Hannah Bryant, Alex T Chaudhri, David S Stevenson, Didier Hauglustaine, Michael J Prather, J Christopher Kaiser, Dirk Olivié, Michael Schulz, Oliver Wild, Ye Wang, Thérèse Salameh, Jason E Williams, Philippe Le Sager, Fabien Paulot, Kostas Tsigaridis, and Haley E Plaas, April 2026: Introducing Volatile Organic Compound Model Intercomparison Project (VOCMIP). Geoscientific Model Development, 19(6), doi:10.5194/gmd-19-2577-20262577–2591.
  34. Pacheco, Mariana M., Oliver D Andrews, Ivy Frenger, John P Dunne, Bastien Y Queste, and Fanny M Monteiro, April 2026: The role of ocean model resolution in simulating marine biogeochemical extremes. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 131(4), doi:10.1029/2025JC023261.
  35. Yung, Claire K., Xylar S Asay-Davis, Alistair Adcroft, Christopher Y S Bull, Jan De Rydt, Michael S Dinniman, Benjamin K Galton-Fenzi, Daniel N Goldberg, David E Gwyther, Robert Hallberg, Matthew J Harrison, Tore Hattermann, David M Holland, Denise Holland, Paul R Holland, James R Jordan, Nicolas C Jourdain, Kazuya Kusahara, Gustavo Marques, Pierre Mathiot, Dimitris Menemenlis, Adele K Morrison, Yoshihiro Nakayama, Olga V Sergienko, Robin S Smith, Alon A Stern, Ralph Timmermann, and Qin Zhou, April 2026: Results of the second Ice Shelf-Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (ISOMIP+). The Cryosphere, 20(4), doi:10.5194/tc-20-2053-20262052-2088.
  36. Zhang, Aidi, Da Yang, Hing Ong, and Zhihong Tan, April 2026: Understanding the evolution of global atmospheric rivers with a vapor kinetic energy framework. Geophysical Research Letters, 53(7), doi:10.1029/2025GL119841.