NOAA GFDL - Geophysical Fluid Dynamics LaboratoryGFDL - Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory

Most Recent GFDL Publications

January 2026 - Present

  1. Anderson, Weston, Marybeth C Arcodia, Dillon J Amaya, Emily Becker, John Callahan, Jason C Furtado, Ben P Kirtman, Sanjiv Kumar, Michelle L L'Heureux, Sarah M Larson, Dan Li, Maria J Molina, Matthew Newman, Kathleen Pegion, Andrew W Robertson, Erin Towler, and Baoqiang Xiang, March 2026: The critical need for hindcast infrastructure in climate science and sectoral applications. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 107(3), doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0311.1E615-E627.
  2. Ceppi, Paulo, Sarah Wilson Kemsley, Hendrik Andersen, Timothy Andrews, Ryan J Kramer, Peer Nowack, Casey J Wall, and Mark D Zelinka, March 2026: Emerging low-cloud feedback and adjustment in global satellite observations. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 26(6), doi:10.5194/acp-26-4153-20264153-4171.
  3. Feng, Jing, David J Paynter, Raymond Menzel, and Ryan J Kramer, March 2026: A strong constraint on radiative forcing of well-mixed greenhouse gases. Nature, doi:10.1038/s41586-026-10289-x.
  4. Fridlind, Ann M., Gregory S Elsaesser, Marcus van Lier-Walqui, Grégory V Cesana, Elizabeth C Weatherhead, George Tselioudis, Gavin A Schmidt, Donifan Barahona, Brian Cairns, William D Collins, David B Considine, Lidia Cucurull, Larry DiGirolamo, Amber Emory, Otto Hasekamp, Shan He, and Ryan J Kramer, et al., March 2026: Towards a climate OSSE framework for satellite mission design. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 107(3), doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0242.1.
  5. Ghannam, Khaled, Sergey Malyshev, Elena Shevliakova, Zhihong Tan, Elie Bou-Zeid, and Nathaniel W Chaney, March 2026: Coupling subgrid-scale surface heterogeneity to the convective boundary layer in GFDL global modal (AM4.0-LM4.0): Parameterization development and climate impacts. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 18(3), doi:10.1029/2025MS005347.
  6. Ginis, Nathan, and Timothy Marchok, March 2026: A computationally efficient consensus model for improving hurricane track forecasting. Weather and Forecasting, 41(3), doi:10.1175/WAF-D-24-0176.1601-615.
  7. He, Jian, Li Zhang, Rebecca H Schwantes, Barry Baker, Larry W Horowitz, and Vaishali Naik, et al., March 2026: Incorporating gas-phase chemistry into the Unified Forecast System (UFS) for global air quality applications. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 18(3), doi:10.1029/2025MS005299.
  8. Jong, Bor-Ting, Zachary M Labe, Thomas L Delworth, and William F Cooke, March 2026: Reversal of extreme precipitation trends over the Northeast US in response to aggressive climate mitigation in GFDL SPEAR. Environmental Research Letters, 21(6), doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ae51a6.
  9. Roberts, Kelsey, Tyler Rohr, Morgan R Raven, Michael S Diamond, Daniele Visioni, Ben Kravitz, Ryan F Heneghan, Colleen M Petrik, Daniele Bianchi, Kelly Ortega-Cisneros, Monica A Morrison, Vanessa van Heerden, Nicola A Wiseman, Gouri Anil, Zachary J Cannizzo, Marta Coll, Joshua Coupe, Ryan Freedman, Kristen M Krumhardt, Lester Kwiatkowski, Nicole S Lovenduski, Jessica Y Luo, Holly C Olivarez, Alan Robock, Jeroen Steenbeek, and Cheryl S Harrison, March 2026: Potential impacts of climate interventions on marine ecosystems. Reviews of Geophysics, 64(1), doi:10.1029/2024RG000876.
  10. Sentman, Lori T., John P Dunne, Larry W Horowitz, Vaishali Naik, Fabien Paulot, Paul Ginoux, and Niki Zadeh, March 2026: Quantifying equilibrium climate sensitivity to atmospheric chemistry and composition representations in GFDL-CM4.0 and GFDL-ESM4.1. Geophysical Research Letters, 53(5), doi:10.1029/2025GL116545.
  11. Wu, Xian, Andrew T Wittenberg, Fanrong Zeng, Brandon G Reichl, and Feiyu Lu, March 2026: Tracing coupled GCM equatorial Pacific climatological biases via surface flux adjustments. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 18(3), doi:10.1029/2025MS005219.
  12. Wu, Jiarong, Pavel Perezhogin, David John Gagne, Brandon G Reichl, Aneesh C Subramanian, Elizabeth J Thompson, and Laure Zanna, March 2026: Data-driven probabilistic air-sea flux parameterization. Geophysical Research Letters, 53(6), doi:10.1029/2025GL120472.
  13. Gomez, Fabien A., Andrew C Ross, Sang-Ki Lee, Denis Volkov, Dongmin Kim, Jasmin G John, and Charles A Stock, February 2026: Wind control of the interannual ocean-biogeochemical variability in the South Atlantic Bight. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 131(2), doi:10.1029/2025JC023322.
  14. Joh, Youngji, Sang-Wook Yeh, Thomas L Delworth, Zachary M Labe, Andrew T Wittenberg, William F Cooke, Jiale Lou, and Young-Gyu Park, February 2026: Evolving synchronization of the Gulf Stream and Kuroshio-Oyashio Extension in a changing climate. Science Advances, 12(8), doi:10.1126/sciadv.adx6366.
  15. Liang, Wengui, Ming Zhao, Zhihong Tan, Thomas R Knutson, Wenhao Dong, and Bosong Zhang, February 2026: Confronting historical precipitation trends in models with observations: Forced signal and atmospheric internal variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 53(3), doi:10.1029/2025GL118712.
  16. Park, Mingyu, and Nathaniel C Johnson, February 2026: Projected changes in atmospheric pathways of Western North American heatwaves simulated from high-resolution coupled model simulations. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 9, 47, doi:10.1038/s41612-025-01319-y.
  17. Xu, Weixuan Rosa, Keith W Dixon, Nicole Zenes, and John R Lanzante, February 2026: Examining the impact of bias correction configurations on a multivariate meteorological index: A case study of Heat Index analysis in the Northeast U.S.. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 65(2), doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-25-0128.1269-284.
  18. Chang, Inseong, Young-Ho Kim, Young-Gyu Park, Hyunkeun Jin, Gyundo Pak, Andrew C Ross, and Robert Hallberg, January 2026: Assessing vertical coordinate system performance in the Regional Modular Ocean Model 6 configuration for Northwest Pacific. Geoscientific Model Development, 19(1), doi:10.5194/gmd-19-187-2026187-216.
  19. Comaniciu, Antonia, and Hiroyuki Murakami, January 2026: A novel method for improving seasonal Atlantic hurricane activity prediction based on convolutional neural networks and visualization maps. Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems, 5(1), doi:10.1175/AIES-D-25-0010.1.
  20. Feldl, Nicole, Jing Feng, and David J Paynter, January 2026: Explaining the transient and equilibrium longwave feedback with moist adiabatic theory and its deviations. Journal of Climate, 39(2), doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0228.1715-726.
  21. Gregory, William, Mitchell Bushuk, Yongfei Zhang, Alistair Adcroft, Laure Zanna, Colleen McHugh, and Liwei Jia, January 2026: Advancing global sea ice prediction capabilities using a fully coupled climate model with integrated machine learning. Science Advances, 12(1), doi:10.1126/sciadv.ady8957.
  22. Li, Xiaohan, Songmiao Fan, Huan Guo, and Paul Ginoux, January 2026: Resolving the roles of soot and dust in cirrus cloud ice formation at regional and global scales: insights from parcel and climate modeling. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 26(1), doi:10.5194/acp-26-95-202695-115.
  23. Reji, Linta, Matteo B Bertagni, Fabien Paulot, Qianhui Qin, and Xinning Zhang, January 2026: Global implications of a low soil moisture threshold for microbial hydrogen uptake. Nature Communications, 17, 515, doi:10.1038/s41467-025-67208-3.
  24. Szopa, Sophie, Vaishali Naik, and Michael J Prather, January 2026: Perspectives on IPCC assessment of SLCF role in climate. npj Clean Air, 2, 5, doi:10.1038/s44407-025-00046-1.
  25. Tan, Zhihong, and Ming Zhao, January 2026: Impact of the NCEP TKE-based eddy-diffusivity mass-flux boundary layer scheme on the climatology and warming response of GFDL AM4.0 model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 18(1), doi:10.1029/2025MS005168.
  26. Wei, Xinyue, and Rong Zhang, January 2026: Impacts of eastern Arctic Eurasian Basin water mass properties on the AMOC and Beaufort Sea Atlantic Water layer. Geophysical Research Letters, 53(2), doi:10.1029/2025GL119128.
  27. Yoon, Donghyuck, Jan-Huey Chen, Hsin Hsu, and Kirsten L Findell, January 2026: Variations in land-atmosphere coupling during drought-heatwave events. Communications Earth and Environment, 7, 1, doi:10.1038/s43247-025-02977-9.
  28. Zhang, Bosong, Brian J Soden, Haozhe He, and Ryan J Kramer, January 2026: Decoupling land surface effects from CO2 effective radiative forcing in a climate model. Journal of Climate, 39(1), doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0231.165-76.